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⚠️ Market caution today
Today is one of those days where forcing trades makes little sense.
With the CPI release ahead, volatility can spike in both directions and completely ignore short-term technical setups. Even good entries can get stopped out before the real move begins.
From a technical perspective:
🔴 Bitcoin remains below the 4H EMA
🔴 Market structure is still bearish after the recent breakdown
🔴 Every bounce so far looks corrective rather than impulsive
🔴 USDT Dominance continues to look constructive, which is generally pressure on risk assets
What I'm watching:
📉 If USDT.D continues higher after CPI, we could see another wave of selling across crypto.
📉 BTC losing the recent local lows would increase the probability of a move toward lower liquidity zones.
📈 Bulls need to reclaim the breakdown area and show strong follow-through after the news release. Until then, rallies should be treated cautiously.
For me, today is more about capital preservation than forcing opportunities.
The market will still be here tomorrow.
The best trade is often doing nothing when risk is elevated and the outcome depends more on a macro event than on chart structure.
🎯 Plan:
Stay patient before CPI
Let volatility settle
Wait for the market to reveal direction
Trade confirmation, not prediction
Sometimes avoiding a bad trade is just as profitable as catching a good one.