Aluminum alloy futures dip slightly, ADC12 prices expected to remain stable with a slight upward trend

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In the futures market, today aluminum alloy 2608 contract opened at 23,110 yuan/ton, then quickly surged, reaching a high of 23,445 yuan/ton, followed by a oscillating decline, with the lowest near 23,000 yuan/ton, and finally closed at 23,120 yuan/ton, down slightly by 0.04%.
In the spot market, today SMM ADC12 price remained steady at 23,900 yuan/ton.
On one hand, today’s Shanghai aluminum and aluminum alloy futures prices fluctuated within a narrow range, with limited volatility in scrap aluminum costs; on the other hand, downstream die-casting companies’ procurement pace remained relatively stable, and market transactions mainly covered just-in-time replenishments.
However, in the short term, the tight supply of invoices and increasingly strict regulatory supervision are unlikely to ease soon, and raw material and tax burden costs will remain high; if the shortage of invoices on the supply side continues to ferment, industry production cuts will further expand, coupled with low social inventories and the closure of import windows, making it difficult for spot circulation to increase effectively.
But demand remains weak, suppressing price increases.
In the short term, ADC12 prices have limited downside space, and upward breakthroughs lack effective demand-side support.
Overall, the market is expected to operate in a stable but slightly firm trend. (Shanghai Nonferrous Metals Network)
XAL-2.57%
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