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$SAHARA drops 47% in one day, yet I dare to take the plunge; $VELVET surges 30%, but I don’t chase the high; $4 falls 28%, and I actually add to my position. Real holdings: +12.3% (contributed by VELVET) / -8.7% (bottom fishing SAHARA) / -15.2% (additional position in 4), total profit and loss -3.6%. The allocation logic for the three tokens: chase the strong, supplement the weak, but the positions vary greatly.
【$VELVET - The strongest momentum target】0.4066, 24h trading volume 380 million. Yesterday broke through 0.45, then retraced to 0.40 to confirm support; the shrinking volume doji star signals buildup. Operation: currently holding 20% position, stop loss at 0.38 (-6.5%), take profit at two levels: 0.45/0.52. Prediction A: if volume increases and breaks through 0.42, add 10% to chase long; Prediction B: if it falls below 0.38 with no rebound strength, close all positions and switch to short.
【$SAHARA - Extreme oversold rebound play】0.0182, despite large decline, 280 million volume indicates active turnover; the wide range from 0.0124 to 0.0361 suggests market manipulators controlling the price. Operation: only 5% position betting on a rebound, stop loss at 0.012 (-34%), take profit at 0.025. Prediction A: if volume shrinks and dips back to 0.015 without breaking, add 5% for mid-term; Prediction B: if it directly breaks below the previous low of 0.0124, cut losses and exit without holding.
【$4 - Weak asset stubborn hold type】0.0087, dropped from 0.013 with 30% volume decrease, main force did not run. Operation: holding 10%, no additional or supplementary positions, stop loss at 0.007 (-19%), take profit at 0.011. Prediction A: if volume increases and recovers above 0.0095, indicating the end of the shakeout, hold until 0.013; Prediction B: if it continues to decline with shrinking volume to 0.007, cut losses and reallocate.
Core position logic: VELVET focuses on breakout plays, SAHARA on sentiment arbitrage, 4 on long-term betting. Total position no more than 35%, keeping 65% cash to prevent black swan events. I bet VELVET will drive sentiment recovery next Monday, but if the market continues to collapse, cash is life.
Update results in the comment section. $