【Market Overview】

🟠 BTC $63,199 | 24h +3.93%
Resistance $64,351 / $65,533 | Support $62,120 / $61,332
🔵 ETH $1,684 | 24h +7.58%
Resistance $1,717 / $1,854 | Support $1,591 / $1,538
🟡 BNB $604 | 24h +5.06%
Resistance $615 / $659 | Support $585 / $578
【Macro】
Gold $4,347 / Crude Oil $92.7 / DXY 100.09 / Fear & Greed 15 (Extreme Fear) / BTC.D 58.21% / Total Market Cap $2.18T (+3.78%)
Gold broke below the 200-day moving average, a strong dollar + high US bond yields combination is not a typical safe-haven structure.
【Top News】
1️⃣ Iran launched ballistic missiles at Israel for the first time since April (attacking Ramat David Air Force Base), ceasefire broken; Israel will "respond forcefully," Syria/Iraq temporarily close airspace; Brent crude oil intraday +3%
2️⃣ US May Non-Farm Payrolls added 172k (expected 85k), April data revised upward; Unemployment rate 4.3%; hopes for rate cuts are completely wiped out, probability of rate hikes increases within the year
【Strategy】
🟠 BTC bearish bias (64%)：Strong NFP + Iran missile attack, rebound structure fragile
Short $63,661-$64,167 → Target $59,581 Stop Loss $65,130 (R/R 3.56)
Long $59,328-$59,834 → Target $63,914 Stop Loss $58,438 (R/R 3.79)
🔵 ETH bearish bias (72%)：1H RSI 70.9 overbought, hitting daily resistance $1,717
Short $1,702-$1,720 → Target $1,540 Stop Loss $1,746 (R/R 4.89)
🟡 BNB neutral to slightly bearish (54%)
Short $626-$631 → Target $585 Stop Loss $640 (R/R 3.78)
Long $583-$588 → Target $629 Stop Loss $574 (R/R 3.78)
⚠️ Risks: Israel's "forceful response" to Iran could open at any time; next Tuesday-Wednesday (6/16-17) FOMC meeting, after strong NFP, market may price in hawkish stance $BTC $ETH ‌#比特币回升5% ‌ ‌