Why can't you catch the 100x stocks?

Why can't you catch the 100x stocks? Yesterday I shared some content about Bitcoin in the task group. I said that no one can hold Bitcoin long-term unless they understand it very well; especially need it; if you're a liberalist, you just want something like that, and then it appears—it's your soulmate. Otherwise, as soon as it skyrockets or crashes, you'll definitely sell—absolutely.

People often ask me "what to buy," but the key point is that I say what to buy, it may not be suitable for you, because the time we can hold it is different, financial situations are different, position sizes are different—like I buy my soulmate, I can hold it for a long time, but it may not be your soulmate. You might get anxious because of someone else's words, a not-so-impressive earnings report, or an external interpretation, and lose sleep every day—this hesitation, in most cases, will cause you to sell at an inopportune time. Even if you initially chose the right target, it’s useless—there are many "right" targets, the key is whether your understanding of it is deep enough, and whether it aligns with your values, temperament, and preferences.

Some people's buying decisions are often simply because of a recommendation from a friend around them, and their reason for accepting the recommendation is not because they hear some information and logic about the target that they also strongly agree with, but purely because of two things: 1. I trust him; 2. It can go up.

Is it possible for investments to succeed solely through excellent judgment of people, rather than understanding and recognizing the target? In theory, it’s not impossible, but practically it’s very difficult, because your investment always has a layer of separation, and each layer increases the uncertainty of holding.

For example, I often see situations where someone says they bought a target because they trust me, and then this target drops in the short term. They go crazy leaving messages in my background, asking if they can still hold, if I’ve sold, or why it keeps falling, or someone else says this target is bad. First, they don’t understand the target and lack trust in it. Second, I am not the only person they trust. They will keep encountering others they trust but whose views are completely opposite to mine—so their reason for holding the target is simply because they trust me. But I can’t be the only person they trust in the world. When someone else they trust but whose opinion contradicts mine appears, the only reason they had for holding the target might also disappear.

That’s how logic works. All decisions based on "who to trust" rather than "initially trust who, but eventually, through self-research, shifted to trust the target itself" are unlikely to yield good results in this target.

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