#特朗普支持CFTC管辖预测市场 Ten-Year Warehouse Keeper 3650 Days | Day 80 Check-in

Trump clearly backs CFTC jurisdiction over prediction markets, further shaping the crypto regulatory landscape

Trump publicly stated his support for the CFTC (U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission) to take unified jurisdiction over prediction markets. This sets a compliance path for platforms such as Polymarket and Kalshi, sending a clear regulatory signal to the crypto and event prediction industry.

## 1. Core of the Event

- Trump’s stance: Although he says he “doesn’t like gambling,” he recognizes the financial attributes of prediction markets, supports regulation led by the CFTC, and opposes fragmented jurisdiction.
- Regulatory shift: CFTC Chair Seliger (appointed by Trump) drives new rules, clearly setting the tone of “lawful innovation + compliant operations,” providing platforms with a path toward licensing.
- Family connections: His eldest son, Donald Trump Jr., serves as an advisor to Polymarket and holds venture capital shares; Trump Media Group plans to move into prediction betting, with interests deeply intertwined.

## 2. Market Impact (From a Crypto Perspective)

1. Higher compliance certainty: Prediction markets (including crypto event contracts) are brought under CFTC oversight. Illegal platforms are cleared out, and licensing accelerates, increasing participants’ willingness to deploy capital.
2. Indirect positive for BTC/ETH: Clearer regulation reduces policy uncertainty. Institutional capital (ETFs, spot) is more willing to set up positions, helping support the market as it stabilizes after volatility.
3. Event prediction becomes a new track: Bets on political, economic, and geopolitical events surpass $2 billion in scale. The linkage between on-chain data and fundamentals strengthens, and trading strategies can add an additional event dimension.

## 3. Quick Glance at Today’s Market

- BTC: Ranging around $75,200; support remains solid. Institutional sentiment is cautious, waiting for regulatory implementation as a catalyst.
- ETH: Fluctuating within the $2,060 range; ETF fund outflows slow down, and ecosystem development (tokenized assets) continues.

## 4. Trading Ideas (Holding Firm for Day 80)

- Big principle: Follow the regulatory trend, swing with light positions, and prioritize risk control.
- Strategy: Core-zone grid + small event-driven positions—no betting on one-sided moves, no holding positions stubbornly; pay attention to the details of the CFTC’s new rules and the flow of on-chain capital.
- Mindset: Day 80—rules don’t change, rhythm stays steady. Walk alongside the thousand-figure warehouse keepers, ride through volatility, and quietly wait for compounding returns.