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#Polymarket每日热点 Based on multiple on-chain data analyses: HYPE is likely to fluctuate widely between $58 and $75 by the end of May, with a risk of rapid pullback after extreme surges. The final closing price is most likely to fall within the $62-$68 range.
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🐋 Loracle Whales’ Long and Short Battle
Loracle’s $143 million short position has become a "clear target" for the entire market. The average holding price is about $42.5, with a liquidation price as high as $89 (after multiple margin calls). This obvious whale has a "double-edged sword" effect on the price:
· Short-term short squeeze fuel: The market has formed a strong "whale hunting" consensus— as long as the short position remains open, the price will be pushed higher to trigger a liquidation and ignite a "death spiral" of short covering.
· Mid-term hidden danger: Once the short is forced to close, the core driver of the market will be instantly exhausted, and major players are likely to distribute at high levels, causing a sharp correction.
💡 Strategy Reminder
The current market has shifted from "fundamental showdown" to a stage of "sentiment battle" centered around whale positions, with volatility expected to increase sharply. Existing longs are advised to take profits gradually during rapid rises; those who missed the move should not chase the high, and it is especially important not to short against the trend. With only a few days left until the end of May, pay close attention to the liquidity impact of approximately 7.88 million HYPE tokens (about $500 million) unlocking on May 29. In such emotion-driven extreme market conditions, the risk for last buyers is no less than that of liquidators.