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This Week's Key Events: Aheads of Time for Everyone
Core Event Preview
Time TBA | The US and Iran are about to reach a preliminary agreement!
(The core variable for easing geopolitical risks, directly affecting oil prices, inflation expectations, and risk asset sentiment)
Monday
- U.S. stock markets are closed for a holiday (market liquidity is low, volatility may increase)
Tuesday
- 22:00 U.S. May Conference Board Consumer Confidence Index
- 22:30 U.S. May Dallas Fed Manufacturing Activity Index
(These two data points reflect consumer spending and business activity, indirectly influencing market perceptions of the U.S. economy)
Wednesday
- 08:00 Bank of Japan Governor Ueda Kazuo speaks at monetary policy meeting
- 22:00 U.S. May Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index
(The Bank of Japan's speech may impact the yen and U.S. Treasury yields; manufacturing data is one of the leading indicators of the U.S. economy)
Thursday (This week's super data day! Focus closely)
- 20:30 U.S. weekly initial jobless claims through May 23
- 20:30 U.S. April Core PCE Price Index Year-over-Year and Month-over-Month
(The Fed's preferred inflation indicator, directly affecting rate cut expectations)
- 20:30 U.S. Q1 Real GDP Annualized Quarter-over-Quarter Revision
- 20:30 U.S. April Durable Goods Orders Month-over-Month
- 20:30 U.S. April Personal Spending Month-over-Month
- 20:55 FOMC Permanent Voting Member and New York Fed President Williams delivers speech
(This is the most important window this week; PCE data + Fed officials' speeches will directly influence market expectations for rate cuts and are key catalysts for risk assets like BTC)
Friday
- 21:10 U.S. Federal Reserve Governor Bowman speaks
- 21:45 U.S. May Chicago PMI
(Fed officials' speeches release policy signals; PMI data signals the end of economic activity expansion)