#Gate广场五月交易分享

My ETH Intraday Swing Trading Plan
1. Current Market Conditions: ETH current price $2,221.59, down 1.66% in 24 hours. Over the past 7 days, it has continuously fallen from the $2,382 high to $2,221, hitting a 7-day low, with a decline of about 6.8%, underperforming BTC (BTC down about 3.8%).
2. Core Swing Trading Basis:
15-minute CCI -115 (severely oversold) → Higher probability of short-term rebound
1-hour CCI -79, 4-hour CCI -78 (approaching oversold) → Multi-level oversold signals
Daily RSI oversold → Medium-term rebound demand exists
ETH's decline is greater than BTC, showing relative weakness, so reduce position size
3. Swing Trading Range (Four Levels):
Buy-the-dip zone $2,200 - $2,230 → Aggressive long (support near recent three-day lows) Watch zone $2,230 - $2,270 → Hold position and wait, no new entries High-sell zone $2,270 - $2,310 → Reduce position or lightly short (1-hour SAR resistance at $2,276.79) Strong resistance zone $2,310 - $2,340 → Only break volume-wise and lightly chase after a breakout, very high risk
Primary strategy — buy the dip and go long: $2,210 - $2,225 stabilize and go long → Target $2,270 → Stop loss $2,195 (risk-reward ratio about 3:1, 25% position)
Alternative strategy — sell the high and short: $2,280 - $2,300 encounter resistance and short → Target $2,240 → Stop loss $2,320 (risk-reward ratio about 1.5:1, 20% position)
Secondary buy-the-dip: $2,230 - $2,250 stabilize and go long → Target $2,280 → Stop loss $2,210 (risk-reward ratio about 2:1, 20% position)
Key support levels: $2,250.30 (15-minute SAR), $2,205.09 (24-hour low), $2,200 (psychological level), $2,195 (long entry stop loss), $2,180 (trend reversal to short)
Key resistance levels: $2,276.79 (1-hour SAR), $2,280 (psychological level), $2,300 (round number), $2,319.29 (previous day high)
4. Risk Control Iron Law (More Strict Than BTC):
Single position 25% (5% lower than BTC), daily profit target 2% (0.5% lower than BTC)
Long stop loss $2,195, short stop loss $2,320
Break below $2,180 → trend turns short, abandon longs
After 1% profit, move stop loss to breakeven; after 2% profit, lock in profits
Compared to BTC:
ETH's decline of 6.8% > BTC's decline of 3.8%, showing relative weakness
ETH volatility is lower than BTC, swing space is smaller
ETH position size recommended to be 20%-30% lower than BTC
5. Trading Core: Today mainly focus on oscillating high sell and low buy. The 15-minute CCI -115 indicates severe oversold conditions supporting buying the dip, but the 1-hour and 4-hour trends are bearish, indicating mild rebound strength. Rebound to $2,280-$2,300 for high-sell and short, repeatedly accumulating profits. Reduce position size compared to BTC, and accordingly lower profit expectations.