LivermoreJesse

Sometimes losing money really has nothing to do with bad luck. The risk was already buried the moment you clicked buy.
There are only three most common ways to lose money:
First, buying into emotion. A big bullish candle shoots up, news is flying everywhere, and everyone is talking about it—only then can you no longer resist rushing in. But the market’s easiest place to get someone to take the other side is often when sentiment is at its most frenzied. 📈
Second, treating good news as a direct buy signal. Better-than-expected data and institutions collectively expressing optimism may indeed be

According to Cailian Press, forecasts from industry experts show wide divergence in market expectations for gold. This year’s forecast range has a spread of $3,700, with the most bearish target at $3,450 per ounce and the most bullish target as high as $7,150 per ounce. The London Bullion Market Association (LBMA) said this forecast range is 103% wider than the range of gold price fluctuations last year and more than 200% higher than analysts’ expectations at the beginning of last year.
$XAUT ‌Is this implying that we should go all in within this range?

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Share the event page and invite ≥3 new users to register to compete for a spot in the top 10 on the valid new user ref

🔥 Watch for 5 minutes today to claim your first raffle entry!
The 26th Live-Stream Giveaway Carnival is underway 🎰
👀 First-time viewers can earn 50 popularity points by watching for 5 minutes.
Keep earning points through comments, sharing, copy trading, and more. Every 80 popularity points earns 1 raffle entry.
🎁 Gate VIP Premium Gift Box
🎁 Aesop Hand Cream Gift Set
🎁 GT, USDT
🎁 Lucky bags and many other prizes are being distributed continuously.
🏆 Want extra prizes?
Share the event page and invite ≥3 new users to register to compete for a spot in the top 10 of the valid new-user invit

🔥 Watch for 5 minutes today to claim your first giveaway entry!
The 26th Livestream Giveaway Carnival is underway 🎰
👀 First-time viewers can earn 50 popularity points by watching for 5 minutes.
Continue earning points through comments, shares, copy trading, and more. Every 80 popularity points earn 1 giveaway entry.
🎁 Gate VIP Premium Gift Box
🎁 Aesop Hand Cream Gift Box
🎁 GT, USDT
🎁 Lucky bags and many other prizes are being distributed continuously.
🏆 Want extra prizes?
Share the event page and invite ≥3 new users to register to compete for a spot in the top 10 of the valid new user

Ethereum Trend Analysis#Gate7月增长Top1
There is potential for a short-term momentum surge, but the severe volume contraction makes this a “floating” rebound, with the risk of a bull trap.
1. Volume-price relationship (the biggest hidden risk)
Current trading volume is only 2,002, far below MA5 (7,713) and MA10 (25.1k). Although the price has risen above the moving averages, trading volume has contracted sharply, a typical volume-price divergence. This shows that the rise has not attracted broad market participation. Without a sudden volume surge (at least breaking above 10k lots), the rebound h

Ethereum Trend Analysis#Gate7月增长Top1
There is still potential for a short-term momentum-driven rise, but trading volume has contracted severely, making this a “floating” rebound that faces the risk of a bull trap.
1. Volume-Price Relationship (Biggest Hidden Risk)
Current trading volume is only 2,002, far below MA5 (7,713) and MA10 (25.1k). Although the price has risen above the moving averages, trading volume has contracted severely, which is a typical volume-price divergence. This indicates that the rise has not gained broad market participation. Without a sudden surge in volume (breaking a

Ethereum Trend Analysis#Gate7月增长Top1
There is short-term potential for continued upward momentum, but trading volume has contracted severely, making this a “suspended” rebound that faces the risk of a bull trap.
1. Volume-price relationship (biggest hidden risk)
Current trading volume is only 2,002, far below MA5 (7,713) and MA10 (25.1k). Although the price has risen above the moving averages, trading volume has shrunk severely, which is a typical volume-price divergence. This indicates that the rise has not attracted broad market participation. Without a sudden increase in volume (at least e

Ethereum Price Trend Analysis#Gate7月增长Top1
There is potential for continued short-term upward momentum, but trading volume has contracted severely, making this an “unsupported” rebound and exposing it to the risk of a bull trap.
1. Volume-price relationship (the biggest hidden risk)
Current trading volume is only 2,002, far below MA5 (7,713) and MA10 (25.1k). Although the price has risen above the moving averages, trading volume has contracted severely, which is a typical volume-price divergence. This indicates that the rise has not gained broad market participation. Without a sudden volume s

Ethereum Price Trend Analysis #Gate7月增长Top1
There is potential for a short-term momentum-driven rise, but the severe volume contraction makes this a “floating” rebound, carrying the risk of a bull trap.
1. Volume-Price Relationship (Biggest Risk)
Current trading volume is only 2,002, far below MA5 (7,713) and MA10 (25.1k). Although the price has risen above the moving averages, trading volume has contracted sharply, a typical volume-price divergence. This indicates that the rise has not attracted broad market participation. Without a sudden volume surge (at least breaking above 10k lots), the

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was $38.9268 million for the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF, with total net inflows of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with total net inflows of $436 million. ARKB had the largest single-day net outflow at $58.8155 million, while total net inflows stood at $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and cumulative historical net inflows were $51.85B.

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was recorded by the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF at $38.9268 million, with a total net inflow of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with a total net inflow of $436 million. ARKB had the largest single-day net outflow at $58.8155 million, while its total net inflow reached $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and historical cumulative net inflows totaled $51.85B.

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was $38.9268 million for the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF, with total net inflows of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with total net inflows of $436 million. The largest single-day net outflow was from ARKB, at $58.8155 million, while its total net inflows stood at $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and historical cumulative net inflows were $51.85B.

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was recorded by the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF at $38.9268 million, with total net inflows of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with total net inflows of $436 million. ARKB had the largest single-day net outflow at $58.8155 million, with total net inflows of $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and cumulative historical net inflows were $51.85B.

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was recorded by the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF, at $38.9268 million, with a total net inflow of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with a total net inflow of $436 million. ARKB recorded the largest single-day net outflow, at $58.8155 million, while its total net inflow stood at $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and cumulative historical net inflows amounted to $51.85B.

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was $38.9268 million for the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF, with total net inflows of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with total net inflows of $436 million. ARKB had the largest single-day net outflow at $58.8155 million, with total net inflows of $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and historical cumulative net inflows totaled $51.85B.

According to SoSoValue, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a net outflow of $131 million yesterday. The largest single-day net inflow was recorded by the Grayscale BTC Mini Trust ETF at $38.9268 million, with total net inflows of $2.74B; MSBT saw a single-day net inflow of $7.0806 million, with total net inflows of $436 million. ARKB had the largest single-day net outflow at $58.8155 million, while its total net inflows stood at $1.28B. At press time, total net assets stood at $77.27B, the net asset ratio was 6.07%, and cumulative historical net inflows reached $51.85B.

Bit Digital announced its Q2 2026 results: It purchased a total of 8,568 ETH for $20 million, at an average price of approximately $2,334 per ETH, with no sales during the quarter. At the end of Q2, it held approximately 164,311 ETH worth about $258 million: 75,758 ETH held directly and 73,235 ETH liquid-staked in exchange for 66,192 LsETH; 49,000 LsETH were used as collateral for financing, corresponding to approximately $105.6 million in asset-backed receivables, while the remaining 17,192 LsETH served as a margin buffer.

8.13 Gold Evening Analysis
Gold lacked momentum after surging to 4450 and pulled back. Do not chase the rise at high levels. It rebounded again after dipping to 4364 during the European session, and long positions at that level are already profitable.
This decline is just a normal pullback during the uptrend, and the broader bullish trend has not changed. Short-term resistance is at 4435‑4443, with key support at 4360‑4365.
Go long on a pullback to 4360‑4380, set the stop below 4350, and target 4390‑4400.
Note:
The above analysis is Muyao’s personal analysis. The market changes rapidly, and th

Michael Burry of The Big Short is once again taking on the entire AI bull market.
His latest move is straightforward: continue increasing his short positions in Nvidia, Palantir, Oracle, and the semiconductor ETF SOXX. More interestingly, he is targeting the recently hyped $500 billion AI financing plan.
On one side, Nvidia is joining forces with Wall Street to invest another $500 billion in AI infrastructure; on the other, Burry believes that increasingly complex financing structures may blur the line between real demand and capital recycling.
In one sentence: AI's biggest problem is no longe