LivermoreJesse

Inflation surges to 3.7%, Bitcoin falls below $82,000
U.S. September CPI rose 3.7% year over year, above expectations of 3.6%. Gasoline prices jumped 9.1% for the month, accounting for more than half of the monthly increase, while core CPI rose 2.6% year over year, also exceeding expectations. Bitcoin fell 1.5% to $82,142, hitting an intraday low of $81,926; Ethereum dropped 2.8% to $2,440. The 10-year Treasury yield surged to around 5.3%, and the probability of an October rate hike doubled from 22% to 44%–49%. More than $281 million was liquidated over 24 hours, mostly long positions. If $81,

I love life's winding journey—from starting out in a research lab to speaking at the University of Oxford.
Looking forward to discussing everything related to money with the leaders of the future.

10.16 Friday Market Overview: XAU Gold’s Inverse U-Shaped Top Pullback Is Complete—Will the Rebound Face Resistance Again?
From the CPI release to last night’s PPI release, XAU plunged in response to the news but quickly recovered, showing considerable strength.
Looking at the XAU chart, repeated tests of 4207 failed to produce a meaningful breakout. Price then formed an inverse U-shaped top and retested the area around 4072, completing the inverse U-shaped top pullback pattern.
XAU is currently ranging between 4207 and 4116. The 4172 level is horizontal support and aligns with the 0.618 retra

$BTC Volatility is reaching insane levels.
The crypto market has just witnessed a brutal battle between bulls and bears.
$BTC plunged more than $3,300 in just 18 hours.
More than $600 million in long positions were liquidated during this massive sell-off.
Bitcoin plunged to around $81,036, triggering market panic.
But the real shock was still to come.
BTC suddenly reversed direction.
Bitcoin surged more than $3,000 in just 8 hours.
This explosive recovery triggered another $107 million in short liquidations.
During this strong rebound, the market's total capitalization increased by nearly $6

Bitmine has once again increased its holdings by 12,532 ETH, bringing its total holdings to 6.03 million ETH, worth approximately $15.3 billion and accounting for about 4.9% of Ethereum’s circulating supply. Combined with expectations of a record-breaking bull market, institutional bullish sentiment is heating up, while some believe ETH has filled the downside gap and may continue to rise.

2026.10.14 Morning BTC/ETH/XAU/SNDK Analysis
The market wiped out $205 million overnight, with 60,743 people liquidated to zero; the number of people dropped by 110,000, while the amount fell by more than $500 million. The market fluctuated within a narrow range all night, and liquidity remains insufficient recently. With expectations of rate hikes, liquidity recovery will be a lengthy process. Before the next bull market arrives, it feels even more difficult than in 2022!
Tonight's CPI forecast is currently bearish, and inflation rebound pressure remains high. If it meets expectations, the pr

There is a popular argument you often hear: paying into social insurance is not as good as saving consistently on your own. For example, some people say that if you save 1,500 yuan per month yourself, after saving for 15 years, you will have 270k yuan in principal, and possibly even more after managing your money. But if you pay into social insurance for 15 years, you might retire and then kick the bucket after collecting it for only a few years, making it a terrible deal.
This argument sounds reasonable at first, but there is one variable it may have overlooked. Retirement benefits can only b

There is a popular saying that paying into social security is not as good as saving on your own. For example, some people say that if you save 1,500 yuan each month, after 15 years you will have 270k yuan in principal, and you might have even more after investing it. But if you pay into social security for 15 years, you might retire only to kick the bucket after collecting your pension for a few years, making it a bad deal.
This argument sounds reasonable at first, but there is one variable it may have overlooked. You can only receive your pension after retirement, whereas medical coverage tak

There is a popular argument that paying into social security is not as good as consistently saving on your own. For example, some people say that if you save 1,500 yuan a month yourself, after saving for 15 years you will have 270k yuan in principal, and with some financial management you might have even more. If you pay into social security for 15 years, you might retire only to kick the bucket after receiving benefits for a few years, making it a terrible deal.
This argument sounds reasonable at first, but there is one variable it may overlook. Retirement benefits can only be claimed after r

#CRCL领涨加密股 CRCL is rallying on the “infrastructure narrative”!
Behind the crypto sector’s strength: a bigger signal
Capital is shifting from “buying BTC” to “buying crypto companies”—IBIT is up only 1%, while crypto operating stocks are up 4-7%, showing that the market is “upgrading its positions”: from “asset exposure” to “business exposure.” This usually happens when **the market’s trust in crypto shifts from “speculation” to “business”**—institutions are willing to pay for the business models of “exchanges, stablecoins, and companies holding crypto,” rather than just for token prices.
Mor

#WCTCS9 Gate WCTC9 Competition Guide: Registration, Track Selection and Participation Notes
Gate WCTC S9 Global Trading Competition is now open, covering diverse markets including crypto assets, stocks and CFDs, with the top prize pool unlocking up to 6,000,000 USDT. In addition to team and individual competitions, participants can also take part in event contract PKs, Lucky Launchpad and community activities.
As of October 10, 2026, the event is in the registration stage, and the official competition has not yet begun. **At this stage, it is suitable to complete registration, understand the r

💫💫 $BTC ’s bids are concentrated between $81,000 and $82,000, while sell orders above $83,300 are very thin.
The chart shows that over the past day, the price slid from the mid-$86,000s to lows in the $82,000s. The spot price is around $82,700. A dense green band lies below it, roughly between $81,000 and $82,000. In this view, the sell side above $83,300 is almost empty.
This is a gap, not a guarantee. Once the price enters this area, liquidity above may immediately reappear. The bids below may also be pulled. The chart currently shows more static resting orders below the price than above i

🟠 BTCUSDT
Personal view I am closely watching $BTC 👀🔥
BTC is holding around $85,737, with buyers continuing to apply pressure. The next move around the $86K–$87K area could determine whether momentum expands.
Entry range: $85,200–$85,800
Take profit 1: $87,000
Take profit 2: $88,500
Take profit 3: $90,000
Stop loss: $83,900
Disclaimer: Personal market view for educational purposes only. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile. Please manage risk properly and do your own research.
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🔵 ETHUSDT
Personal view I am watching $ETH 👀⚡
ETH is around $2,704 and showing a moderate upward trend. I

$84K looks very important here
Will we wipe out $75K first, or will BTC send the short sellers straight to heaven?

The Federal Reserve and European Central Bank meeting minutes are due tonight. During the day, some people were already watching the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield and grumbling that it still could not be pushed down. I hate days like this most: those betting on the data usually have little to show for it, and the two candles before the release are pure emotion. Whoever takes them seriously gets punished.
Looking back at $ZEC , it was still riding high a couple of days ago, but it has clearly lost steam over the past few days. Zcash’s ETF recorded its first weekly net outflow since launching in Au

US nonfarm payrolls rose by just 29k in September, versus expectations of around 90k, while the unemployment rate rose to 4.2%?
After hiring cooled, the market reduced its bets on an October rate hike, and the Nasdaq closed up around 1.2%
For $BTC , this is positive for liquidity expectations, but price action did not rise alongside the stock indexes. It rallied after the payrolls report before pulling back, and remains below the previous high
BTC is currently around $84.5k, while the October 2 high of around $87.2k failed to hold
Overhead, watch the selling pressure at $85.1k–$86.8k first. A

If the crypto market follows its historical pattern, the market peak will appear soon, followed by a downward consolidation after the holiday and entry into a bear market. Then 2027 will be the starting point of the bull market.
This is very close to the model I previously simulated.
#BTC #ETH

🚨 Is BLACKROCK buying the dip? 👀
BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) reportedly increased its holdings by 656.661 BTC, worth approximately $54.73 million.
This is another major institutional inflow into Bitcoin, and according to recently disclosed data, IBIT’s holdings have reached approximately 795k BTC.
Interesting? October is just around the corner. 📈
Bitcoin has historically performed strongly in October, while recent ETF fund flows also show institutional demand recovering.
🔥 BTC outlook
Bias: Bullish above key support
Confirmation: Continued ETF inflows + reclaiming major resist

Feels like $BTC pumped a lot in September, so why is the monthly return only 5% when I open it?
As I recall, last month was still a bear market, yet it was a month of explosive pumping, at 24%.
Sure enough, only when altcoins pump hard in a bull market is there any atmosphere. Everything that needed to pump in September has taken its turn, and on-chain activity is thriving, with everything flourishing!
They say September is golden and October is silver, but now it’s golden August and silver September—how about turning things around in October?

Damn, as soon as GIWA came out today, I immediately had AI research it, and it said it might be a scam and told me not to bridge.
Then I left it alone—I don't really like PvP anyway.
Didn't expect AI to actually be right this time.