LivermoreJesse

High-Interest-Rate Trades May Have Only Just Begun to Reprice
The most noteworthy aspect of this Fed rate hike is that it did not signal that “the tightening is over once the hike is delivered.” The September meeting unanimously approved a 25bp hike, while the dot plot also showed that most officials expect further tightening may still be needed this year.
This means market trading logic may be changing: in the past, everyone discussed “when rate cuts will come,” but now the question has become “when will the next rate hike come?”
In this environment, it is not surprising to see the dollar and

Regarding ZEC, I said during the livestream that I had been waiting for more than 20 days for this short at 1395. I said the stop-loss for this trade must be placed at 1450; if the stop-loss is not hit, hold the position firmly. Some platforms happened to reach 1395, while ours reached 1420. This was mainly due to a liquidity sweep. I personally see the downside target as being quite far away. Those who cannot hold should reduce their positions and move their stop-loss to breakeven; those who can hold, let’s watch the downside together.$ZEC

Waiting for the Fed to deal the cards 👀 Waiting for the Fed to deal the cards 👀 Waiting for the Fed to deal the cards 👀 Waiting for the Fed to deal the cards 👀

Arc has a long-term story, but short-term capital is repricing it
Arc’s mainnet launch this time does come with quite a few noteworthy infrastructure fundamentals. Official materials show that Arc is a Layer 1 built for financial markets and real-time capital flows, uses USDC as its native gas, and connected a large number of institutional participants and ecosystem builders on day one.
This means Arc’s long-term narrative is not merely that of another ordinary new public chain, but rather an intersection of multiple sectors, including stablecoins, payments, RWA, institutional finance, and AI

Arc Has a Long-Term Story, but Short-Term Capital Is Repricing It
Arc’s mainnet launch this time does indeed come with plenty of infrastructure fundamentals worth watching. Official materials show that Arc is a Layer 1 built for financial markets and real-time capital flows, uses USDC as its native gas, and onboarded a large number of institutions and ecosystem builders on day one.
This means Arc’s long-term narrative is not merely that of another new public chain, but rather an intersection of multiple sectors, including stablecoins, payments, RWA, institutional finance, and AI Agents.
But th

Arc has a long-term story, but short-term capital is repricing it
Arc’s mainnet launch this time does come with quite a few infrastructure conditions worth watching. Official materials show that Arc is a Layer 1 built for financial markets and real-time fund transfers, uses USDC as its native gas token, and onboarded a large number of institutions and ecosystem builders on day one.
This means Arc’s long-term narrative is not merely that of another ordinary new public chain, but rather an intersection of multiple sectors, including stablecoins, payments, RWA, institutional finance, and AI Agent

An explanation of the relationship between the Fed’s FOMC interest rate decision and gold prices, with the key information summarized below:
I. Key Time Points
• 2:00 a.m.: The Fed’s FOMC announces its interest rate decision
• 2:30 a.m.: Fed Chair Warsh holds a press conference
II. What Is the FOMC
The FOMC is the Fed’s 12-member interest rate decision-making group. It holds eight meetings each year to determine the level of U.S. interest rates.
III. The Logic Linking Fed Rate Hikes and Gold Prices
1. Core principle: Gold does not generate interest, while U.S. Treasury bonds do. The higher the

Mars Finance reported that Strategy spent $139 million last week repurchasing STRC, marking the second consecutive week without purchasing Bitcoin. The 8-K showed that 1,420,467 STRC shares were retired, while its holdings remained unchanged at 845k BTC, with an average cost of $75,412. Cash decreased from $1.44 billion to $1.3 billion. Its $2 billion digital credit repurchase program has approximately $1.05 billion in remaining capacity.

More often than not, what really hurts an account
is not getting it wrong, but refusing to admit it afterward.
A stop-loss is not surrender; it is admitting a mistake.
And the two most expensive words in the market are—“I’m right.”
#黄金 #交易心理 #交易纪律 $XAUUSD #量化达人

#GateUS全美合规牌照增至37张 #AIP
Traditional exit rules rely on liquidity pool depth and market makers’ willingness to provide liquidity, so exit routes may narrow instantly when the market shifts. AIP offers an endogenous exit path through an adversarial cooldown mechanism: when trading stagnates, it automatically activates at a discount, with discounted trading volume counted toward cumulative price increases, giving the system self-repair capabilities. If launched in October, this model could change how the market perceives exit security, but the cooldown mechanism must undergo multiple real-world

Biji.com news: Zhitong Finance reports that Saudi Arabia’s largest Red Sea oil port has suspended loading and reportedly canceled some shipments to Europe, sending U.S. oil prices up more than 5% intraday. The sharp rise in oil prices is having a significant impact on inflation expectations, pushing U.S. Treasury yields higher. Coupled with a rebound in the U.S. Dollar Index amid rate-hike expectations, gold remains under pressure. It is advisable to wait patiently for these suppressive factors to weaken and stay on the sidelines in the short term.

🗓️ September 16 | Crypto Daily
The market is clearly weak today: macro and regulatory pressures are weighing on it, BTC is holding near $75k, and altcoins are falling even harder.
As of 09:00 Beijing time:
BTC $75,730, 24H -2.84%
ETH $2,399, 24H -4.61%
SOL $97.06, 24H -5.27%
The total market capitalization is approximately $2.59 trillion, down 5.72% over 24H; trading volume is approximately $104.9 billion, up 15.79% from the previous day. BTC dominance is 58.51%. Higher volume alongside falling prices indicates this is not simply a low-volume pullback, and short-term risk appetite is contract

Gold Market Conditions and Core Drivers Analysis! Market Outlook!
I. Complete Process of the Sharp Gold Price Volatility
1. Intraday trend: Gold prices fluctuated around 4330 during the day, fell below 4300 in the evening, and dipped to an overnight low of 4253, hitting a new monthly low.
2. Rapid rebound: Subsequently, substantial funds entered to buy the dip, and gold prices climbed back above 4310 at around 10:00 the following day, with the daily candle closing with a long lower shadow.
3. Short-term feature: This was the second “deep V” reversal below 4300 within three days, showing strong

Deep Tide TechFlow reports that the U.S. Senate failed to hold a procedural vote to advance the Clarity Act to final debate, falling short of the 60-vote threshold and making it difficult to clarify the regulatory boundaries between the CFTC and SEC over digital assets. Stocks sold off afterward, with Coinbase and Circle down about 10% intraday, American Bitcoin down about 8%, Riot Platforms down about 6%, and Strategy down about 5%. Strategy founder Michael Saylor said, “The only clarity needed is Bitcoin,” emphasizing the necessity of decentralized assets.

Guys, when you put gold’s performance over the past two years alongside the period around 2008, it’s easy to get the feeling that it first rallies sharply, then pulls back, then rebounds—is it about to repeat that market move?
But I think the most worthwhile thing to discuss in this chart isn’t how much the next leg could rise, but an easily overlooked question: Why would even a safe-haven asset like gold be sold during a crisis?
Because when the market is most short of cash, everyone’s first priority is getting cash in hand.
During the 2008 financial crisis, some people needed to meet margin

Guys, putting gold’s performance over the past two years alongside its performance around 2008 does create the impression that it may be repeating the same pattern: a sharp rise, followed by a pullback, then a rebound. Is the market about to replay that cycle?
But I think the most important thing to discuss in this chart is not how much the next leg could rise, but an easily overlooked question: why can even gold, a safe-haven asset, be sold during a crisis?
Because when the market is most short of money, everyone’s first priority is to get cash.
During the 2008 financial crisis, some people n

Guys, when you put gold’s performance over the past two years alongside the period around 2008, it really is easy to get the feeling: first a sharp rise, then a pullback, followed by a rebound—is it about to repeat that market cycle?
But I think the most important thing to discuss in this chart isn’t how much the next leg can rise, but an easily overlooked question: why is even a safe-haven asset like gold sold during a crisis?
Because when the market is most short of cash, everyone’s first priority is to get hold of cash.
During the 2008 financial crisis, some people needed to meet margin cal

CRDO Update from the Bad Boy's Recommendations
With the weekend news impact, CRDO has also reached the Bad Boy's recommended position.
The Bad Boy currently holds a three-tranche position, with an average entry price of 156.24; the next add-on zone is around 130.

BlockBeats reports that the U.S. Treasury Secretary will deliver annual testimony on the state of the international financial system, with the market focused on fiscal policy, Treasury issuance and buybacks, debt management, and the outlook for the U.S. dollar and interest rates. If the remarks lean toward deficit reduction and stabilizing the bond market, they could ease the upward pressure on long-end U.S. Treasury yields; if they signal expansion or tolerance for high interest rates, investors should watch for further yield increases and monitor the interplay among the U.S. dollar, gold, an

#Gate广场中秋团圆局 #CLARITY法案关键投票在即 Key variables for the crypto market this week: CLARITY Act vote imminent, potentially more far-reaching than rate cuts
September 15 may be even more crucial than a rate cut. If the United States sends the CLARITY Act to the Senate and it passes, the boundaries of the global crypto industry and even Wall Street finance could be torn open significantly.
SEC Chair Atkins said personally that the CLARITY Act will be put to a vote in the Senate on September 15. At the same time, the bill does one crucial thing: it divides assets into three categories—securities, digita