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📊 Non-farm Night Warning: Once the data is released, bulls and bears may undergo a major reshuffle!
Tonight at 8:30 PM, the U.S. April unemployment rate (expected 4.3%)
and non-farm employment (expected only 62k, previous 178k) will be announced soon.
Market expectations are for a sharp slowdown in employment—
If the data meets or falls short of expectations: expectations for rate cuts will rise, benefiting risk assets, and the crypto market may rebound;
If employment surprises strongly: it could undermine rate cut bets and further pressure crypto prices.
📉 The market is already showing fragility:
· $BTC Short positions account for 52.03%, with $23.24 million in liquidation over 12 hours (longs $21.37 million)
· $ETH Short positions account for 53.62%, with $23.79 million in liquidation (longs $22.70 million)
· Overall long-short ratio is bearish, with only a few coins like ZEC, TON slightly favoring longs
💥 Liquidation Concentration Camp:
ETH, BTC, DOGE, TON main liquidation amounts all exceed $3 million, market sentiment is extremely sensitive.
🎯 Attention tonight:
· If the data “surprises positively” (non-farm > 100k) → beware of further decline, bears dominate
· If the data is “weak” or unemployment rate soars → a short-term rebound window may open, but watch for trading volume
⏳ Waiting patiently for 8:30 PM, control leverage, respect volatility.
$ETH