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#Gate广场五月交易分享 The four major hidden dangers are lurking; beware of sharp rises followed by declines
Even though the current bullish pattern is clear, the four hidden risks must not be ignored, as they are highly likely to trigger short-term shakeouts and corrections:
1. Divergence between volume, price, and popularity: BTC price returns to the high of 80k, but on-chain active addresses are only 531k, falling to a two-year low. The market rally is entirely driven by institutional funds, with retail enthusiasm severely lacking. Once funds retreat, profit-taking will lead to a rapid pullback.
2. Severe regional capital divergence: European and American institutional funds continue to flow in net, but Asian funds have completely retreated. The Hong Kong Bitcoin ETF size is only $320 million, with low daily trading volume. New fund inflows in April are nearly stagnant. The market relies entirely on foreign capital support, making the support structure fragile and one-sided.
3. Overheated leverage sentiment: Over $557 million in liquidations in 24 hours across the entire network, with short positions heavily liquidated, driving short-term gains. Contract holdings have risen to a high of $61.8 billion. The market is dominated by futures leverage, with spot demand weak. This mirrors the structure before the 2022 bear market, where loosened leverage can trigger deep corrections.
4. Accumulation of ETH selling pressure risks: ETH staking redemption wave is coming, with large redemptions by the foundation causing market panic. Coupled with fundamental data and price divergence, bullish confidence is weak. Short-term rebound is limited, and the risk of a correction is high.
Even though the current bullish trend is clear, the four hidden risks must not be ignored, as they are likely to trigger short-term shakeouts and corrections:
1. Divergence between volume, price, and popularity: BTC price has returned to the high of 80k, but on-chain daily active addresses are only 531k, falling to a two-year low. The market rally is entirely driven by institutional funds, with retail investor enthusiasm severely lacking. Once funds retreat, profit-taking will lead to a rapid pullback.
2. Severe regional capital divergence: European and American institutional funds continue to flow in net, but Asian funds have completely retreated. The Hong Kong Bitcoin ETF size is only $320 million, with low daily trading volume. New capital inflow in April is almost stagnant. The market relies entirely on foreign capital support, making the support structure fragile and one-sided.
3. Overheated leverage sentiment: Over $557 million in liquidations occurred in 24 hours across the entire network, with short positions heavily liquidated, driving short-term gains. Contract holdings have risen to a high of $61.8 billion. The market is dominated by futures leverage, with spot demand weak. This replicates the pre-2022 bear market structure, where loosening leverage triggers deep corrections.
4. Accumulation of ETH selling pressure risks: ETH staking redemptions are surging, with large redemptions by the foundation causing market panic. Coupled with a serious divergence between fundamental data and price, bullish confidence is weak. Short-term rebound efforts are limited, and the risk of a correction is high.