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Everyone across the entire internet is closely watching tonight’s super high-impact market move— the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision is about to land on schedule, and Jerome Powell’s final swan-song farewell press conference marking the end of his eight-year term will be held at the same time. The crypto market is destined to keep swinging violently; the direction could become clear overnight. At 2:00 a.m. Beijing time on Thursday, the highly anticipated latest April Federal Reserve interest rate result will be officially released.
At present, the market generally expects there will be no change this time, and that rates will be kept as-is—there is virtually no suspense. But the issue is that international oil prices have continued to rise, and external inflation pressures remain high. The truly critical point to watch is what happens after the decision: if the wording is hawkish and the stance is tough—implying signals of delaying rate cuts or even hiking rates again—global risk assets will face collective pressure, and the market may see a dramatic plunge. This is also Powell’s final regular major press conference during his tenure. After that, the style of policy communication will change drastically; market volatility will only become more intense and less predictable.
On the eve of the decision, the intraday chart has already started to heat up in advance for the pregame battle: major coins are all rebounding on the red screen. BTC is up 1.42%, steadily building power; ETH has surged 2.13%, showing especially strong performance; DOGE has skyrocketed 4.95% in a single day, with short-term sentiment exploding; SOL is rising in tandem by 1.62%, as the four major mainstreams work together to hold the overall market.
However, polarization within the market is still extremely extreme, with strong and weak coins showing polar opposite performance. Strong counters break away and rise independently against the trend—BASED is up 4.70%, carving out an independent upward move. On the other side, a large number of altcoins are panicking and fleeing early, collapsing across the board: ZKJ plunges nearly 49% in a single day, almost to zero; APE is down more than 10%, breaking down and entering a deeper correction; CHIP drops in sync by 6.12%; and CORE continues to drift down quietly. Users who topped up at high levels are broadly deeply trapped, suffering massive losses.
With the ultimate interest-rate “shoe” about to drop and a historic moment arriving, the battle between bulls and bears is about to ignite. Some have positioned themselves early in mainstream assets, waiting to profit when the market turns; others cling stubbornly to junk small coins that have broken support, continuing to get trapped. Tonight’s uncertainty risk is extremely high—do not stay up late with heavy positions, do not blindly hold orders, and do not chase rallies or sell into dips. Avoid high-risk coins that are collapsing and weakening continuously; keep a light position and observe. Waiting until the news lands, then following the trend accordingly, is the safest trading strategy for the moment.
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