#加密市场行情震荡 BTC weekend volatility at 77k, fear index at 31, is it a rebound or further decline?

1. Market Status
Fear and greed index at 31, three consecutive days in the fear zone. BTC has retraced from the 80k level at the start of the week down to 77k, a nearly 4% drop. ETH follows suit, falling from 2390 to 2310, the dream of 2500 shattered. Altcoins are even more tragic, everywhere in the green.
2. Key Levels for BTC
77k is the current support and resistance boundary. Above 79.5k is the 30-day high; standing firm here is needed to talk about a rebound. Below 76.5k is the 24-hour low; breaking this leads to a 73k abyss. Trading volume has severely shrunk, and the market sentiment is highly cautious.
3. ETH Situation
ETH is falling along with BTC but with a sharper decline, indicating funds are withdrawing from Ethereum. Vitalik has gone to Hong Kong for a conference, where he shouted a bunch of slogans at the ETH HK event, but the market didn't respond. $2300 is the last support; if broken, $2200 might not hold either.
4. Today's Recommendation: ONDO (RWA Sector Leader)
Why choose ONDO?
1 RWA (Real-World Asset Tokenization) is the most certain narrative for 2026. Montenegro plans to include Bitcoin in its strategic reserves, central banks worldwide are accelerating CBDC development, and RWA acts as a bridge.
2 The current price is around $0.26, a 25% retracement from the March high of $0.35, but the fundamentals haven't changed.
3 BlackRock's BUIDL fund directly settles using the ONDO protocol, which is a real endorsement.
4 Buying in the fear zone for RWA makes sense: the more panicked the funds, the more they flock to certainty assets.
Operation suggestion: Entry range: $0.255-$0.260 Stop loss: $0.245 (exit if broken) First target: $0.280 Second target: $0.300 Position: recommended total 15-20%, do not go all-in.
5. Pitfall Avoidance Guide
CHIP: Contract with 1.1 billion in massive sell-off, stay away.
STRK: From +7% to -11%, the sell-off hasn't finished.
NEIRO: Bottomless pit, avoid it.
SUI: Ecosystem just hacked for $3.5 million, short-term avoid.
6. Summary
Fear index at 31, historically this range is often a good time for left-side positioning. But only if BTC stays above 76.5k; if not, all is lost. Keep at least 50% in cash, don’t gamble your life savings.
(The above is for reference only and does not constitute investment advice. Profit and loss are at your own risk.)