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I'm selling here and the market has absorbed this news about Iran well. Tuesday was interesting - ETH went back above $2K ( now at $2,32K), SOL rose 2.9% to $82.91, and even XRP gained a little to $1.35. The trigger was Trump saying that the situation with Iran would be resolved soon.
What caught my attention is that even with the volatility, institutional investors continued putting money into crypto. About $619 million entered into funds this week, with $521 million directly into Bitcoin. Like, the market absorbed the drop in the S&P and the 92,000 jobs cut, but spot Bitcoin ETFs continued attracting capital. This suggests it's not capitulation; it's a tactical entry indeed.
Now the point everyone is watching is whether Ethereum can stay above $2K and move toward $2,5K. This shifts the narrative from just "surviving" to really starting a new trend. Solana is structurally weaker, down 55% from cycle highs, and is following more the macro sentiment than the actual activity of the ecosystem.
Next week, the Fed meeting on (17 and 18 of March), and this could put significant pressure on altcoins if they come out hawkish. Bitcoin's correlation with the S&P has been 0.78 over the last 90 days – when Bitcoin and stocks move together, altcoins amplify everything. So if the Fed signals rate hikes, has the crypto market absorbed enough, or will it suffer again?