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#NewsOfTheDay #pendle $BTC $PENDLE $VRA
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On Monday, the Middle East conflict continued, and Trump issued a ceasefire threat to Iran which was rejected by Iran. Geopolitical risks continued to rise. The US dollar index hit a new high since May 2022. US Treasury yields retreated after Powell signaled long-term inflation control with a dovish tone. Gold surged then pulled back, international oil prices closed significantly higher. US stocks moved mixed, with tech stocks generally under pressure; the crypto market was dragged down early by macro risks, with Bitcoin hitting a two-week low. Ethereum and most altcoins weakened in tandem. In the evening, driven by Powell’s dovish speech, Bitcoin rebounded strongly with a long lower shadow, Ethereum followed but with weaker momentum, and altcoins showed clear divergence. Funds fled from meme coins and old mainstream high-volatility assets. Market sentiment remains in extreme fear. Short-term trends continue to be dominated by geopolitical conflicts, Federal Reserve policies, and institutional fund flows. Yibo will continue to monitor the implementation of Fed policies, institutional fund flows, and on-chain data changes, providing real-time updates on layout strategies and target asset dynamics.
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Bitcoin opened Monday with a unilateral downward trend, dropping to around 64,998 and finding short-term support before a technical rebound. The rebound in the evening reached around 68,100 but faced strong selling pressure and pulled back. Early morning, it further declined to around 66,200, then slightly recovered to 66,900 USD before weakening again. The entire day showed a rollercoaster wide-range fluctuation. The daily chart shows a long upper shadow and inverted hammer pattern, indicating strong resistance from multiple moving averages and previous high-volume zones. The bullish rebound momentum is insufficient, and bearish selling pressure remains dominant. In the short term, prices are likely to continue oscillating within the daily bottom channel. Focus on the effectiveness of key support zones below and volume conditions. Trading should adopt a range-bound approach, avoiding chasing highs or lows cautiously.
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Ethereum gapped down at the open yesterday, with a low of around 1936 finding short-term support before a technical correction and rebound. After reaching a key resistance zone near 2084, bullish momentum exhausted, and prices declined. Early morning, it dipped to 2012, then slightly recovered to 2048 before weakening again. Currently, prices have returned to intraday lows, showing a weak oscillation pattern. The 4-hour Bollinger Bands are continuously contracting, with prices moving within a converging channel, and volatility significantly narrowed. Resistance from moving averages and previous high-volume zones remains strong, with insufficient rebound strength. Technically, short-term consolidation below 2000 is needed to absorb selling pressure and solidify support. Only after volume and pattern stabilization can a new upward expansion be expected.