1. Market Trend Analysis: BTC Leads, ETH Follows

Based on candlestick and market data, Bitcoin and Ethereum currently show a high degree of positive correlation, but their rhythms differ slightly:
- BTC is in a strong upward phase: Bitcoin (BTC/USDT) is currently fluctuating around $92,000, showing a clear stepwise upward trend. The 1-hour and 15-minute charts indicate it has broken through the middle band of the Bollinger Bands ($91,483) and is attempting to challenge the recent high of $92,476.
- ETH is in a follow-up rebound: Ethereum (ETH/USDT) is currently around $3,130. Although it is rebounding, the upward pressure is more evident above (in the $3,150-$3,170 range) compared to BTC.
- Correlation Effect: If BTC can break through with volume and stabilize above $92,500, it will directly drive ETH to break through the current resistance level; conversely, if BTC encounters resistance at $92,500 and pulls back, ETH is likely to break below the key support of $3,100 first.

2. Ethereum (ETH) Entry Points and "Small Stop-Loss" Strategy
Based on the BTC correlation background, the following small stop-loss (high reward/risk) strategies are recommended:
A. Long Entry: Follow the trend for a dip to buy
- Trigger Condition: Observe whether BTC pulls back to stabilize around $90,900-$91,100.
- ETH Entry Point: $3,095-$3,110 (where the 1-hour middle Bollinger Band intersects with the 4-hour support).
- Stop-Loss (Small Stop-Loss): Suggested at $3,075 (just below the previous intraday low on the 1-hour level, risk about $20-$30).
- Take Profit:
- First Take Profit: $3,145 (previous small high point).
- Second Take Profit: $3,170 (pressure at the 4-hour Bollinger upper band).
B. Short Entry: Resistance level battle and pullback
- Trigger Condition: BTC shows a 15-minute "death cross" or volume spike near $92,476.
- ETH Entry Point: $3,145-$3,160 (close to recent resistance).
- Stop-Loss (Small Stop-Loss): Suggested at $3,175 (exit if breaking through all recent small high points, risk about $15-$20).
- Take Profit:
- First Take Profit: $3,115.
- Second Take Profit: $3,080.

If BTC’s MACD red bars continue to shorten and turn green, ETH long positions can be held longer. Currently, ETH’s 1-hour KDJ has entered the overbought zone, so chasing longs at the current price is not recommended. In early 2026, ETH is relatively weak against BTC, so use BTC signals as the "trigger" for ETH entry.
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