Updated Fibonacci short-term short position take-profit at 59. You can hold toward the extension level, but need to reduce your position. The extension level is also where those willing to stop out will battle for a strong rebound. This kind of level generally rebounds once hit; if there is no reaction, it means it will break through immediately, so operate without hesitation. Unemployment claims are due today; watch out for extreme market conditions. $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk12 hours ago

If it can't hold 74, don't open a single long position! $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk14 hours ago

Why is the U.S. Dollar Index strengthening? I’ve also looked through a lot of material and summarized it so everyone can reach a conclusion. It’s another day for a little lecture. Here are my takeaways:
This logic can be broken down into three layers.
At the foundation is the United States’ core objective: maintaining the dollar system and advancing it to version 2.0. The four pillars of 2.0 are the dollar itself, energy such as oil, AI chips and semiconductors, and cryptocurrencies and stablecoins brought on-chain.
The middle layer is the means: using high interest rates to tighten global liq

SunnyOk2026-09-24 06:06:20

$XAUUSD 1. 1. Macroeconomics: Real rates are rising in the short term and the move is irreversible, while crude oil remains elevated, potentially prompting the Federal Reserve’s next rate hike. Once the hike is implemented, global risk-free yields will continue to rise, putting pressure on gold, silver, stocks, and bonds. Expectations should be lowered.
2. Technicals: The U.S. Dollar Index is challenging the key 101.137 level on the daily chart. If it fails to close above it on the weekly chart, that indicates it remains under pressure; there may be a short-term rebound, but a reversal will be difficult. Gold is consolidating around 4280. The daily chart has not formed a bullish continuation pattern, so there will be no major swing. The lower boundary of the narrowing C-wave is at 4273; holding that level means short-term safety.
3. Sentiment: Everyone knows the key levels, and overly consistent expectations can instead easily create extremely bearish sentiment. There may be small opportunities over the short term, but the long-term outlook is constrained by real rates. Avoid taking extreme positions, and focus on gold’s daily, 4-hour, and weekly charts, as well as the U.S. Dollar Index.
These are solely personal views and do not constitute investment advice.

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SunnyOk14 hours ago

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SunnyOka day ago

Technical review of gold, the U.S. Dollar Index, and crude oil, with the key points as follows:
1. Gold is testing support around 4283 on the 4-hour chart, which is the short-term bull-bear dividing line; a break below could further weigh on the daily and weekly charts.
2. The U.S. Dollar Index has recently undergone bullish consolidation, with a large bullish daily candle touching resistance at 101.137. Its rise is the main reason gold is under pressure; if the Dollar Index breaks through, the risk of gold breaking down will increase.
3. In terms of short-term momentum, tonight will be crucia

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SunnyOka day ago

Let's try to catch a bottom, with a stop-loss at 74. The US Dollar Index surged too hard today; I'll set a breakeven order and give it a try.

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SunnyOk2 days ago

The range is too narrow; today I don't even know what to analyze, and there is still no clear direction. #Gate广场中秋团圆局

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SunnyOk2 days ago

I don’t take heavy positions, and my profits are still OK. Definitely don’t take heavy positions. Wishing everyone smooth trading—may wrongly opened positions not trap you, and may the teacher’s trades hit take-profit. Good night. $XAUUSD ‌

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SunnyOk2 days ago

Don’t let the 4-hour range continue to narrow; within the range, sell high and buy low—it’s a market for picking up easy money. If you take the wrong direction on a range breakout, cut your losses decisively. Don’t hold losing positions; there have also been many macro narratives lately, so beware of extreme market conditions. $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk2 days ago

The US Dollar Index is still in an upward channel, with no indication of breaking below it for now. This pullback in crude oil is far less severe than the one in June. Gold is still facing short-term pressure. In addition, I have updated the Fibonacci levels. The levels in my chart combine a larger timeframe with a smaller one. If today’s close fails to reclaim the 37–40 range, further downside will still be needed today. At present, both the daily and 4-hour charts are converging. Whether moving up or down, we cannot see much more room, and a trend-shifting point may be approaching, perhaps a

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SunnyOk2026-09-21

FeaturedGold has fallen below 40, meeting short-term expectations.
Next, we need to observe the market first and see the U.S. session’s stance. Wishing everyone smooth trading, and may Dandan take profit. Hahahahaha.
If anything happens tomorrow, I’ll post an update. Check it promptly.$XAUUSD

SunnyOk2026-09-21 07:10:53

From the hourly candlestick chart, the U.S. Dollar Index is flattening out, while gold appears to be turning downward. Gold has clearly lost last week’s buying support today. Last week, when the U.S. Dollar Index hit the upper band on the hourly chart, gold was at 4340, whereas today, with the U.S. Dollar Index at the middle Bollinger Band, gold is already close to 4340. Therefore, the support around 40 could be broken in the short term. We need to see whether the U.S. Dollar Index moves above the upper Bollinger Band before considering entering small trend-long positions. Those who opened short positions should also consider reducing their positions somewhat at the current level around 40. For now, treat the market as moving sideways on the hourly U.S. Dollar Index chart. $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk2026-09-21

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SunnyOk2026-09-19

Today is Saturday, with no trading, so I’d like to share some knowledge about gold. I’ve roughly summarized a few things we need to pay attention to beyond the indicators.
The linkage among gold, the US Dollar Index, and crude oil is as follows:
1. Different asset attributes: The dollar is an interest-bearing asset, while gold and crude oil are non-interest-bearing assets.
2. Normal logic: When the US Dollar Index rises, gold and crude oil fall; conversely, when gold and crude oil rise, the US Dollar Index falls, showing an inverse relationship.
3. Special circumstances: When geopolitics or wa

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SunnyOk2026-09-18

The U.S. Dollar Index is surging sharply this evening, putting pressure on gold. Gold long positions should watch out for risks. $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk2026-09-18

If gold's hourly chart closes with three bearish candles, short-term long positions should exit first. $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk2026-09-18

Let me add one more thing: I also warned two days ago that tech semiconductors were showing signals of bottoming this cycle!!!

SunnyOk2026-09-16 06:54:55

It’s been a long time since I shared some random thoughts, so here are a few. First, after the rate-hike news was announced during the session, the market launched a volume-backed rebound, with morning trading volume down by 50 billion before turning to an increase of 100 billion by late morning; second, technology and semiconductors did not follow the adjustment two days ago at a key level and instead rebounded, indicating that the bottom for this semiconductor move has been reached; third, gold closed above 4283, with support holding effectively, and is expected to fluctuate around 4340, while the daily and weekly trends remain intact; silver closed above 63.4 yesterday and rebounded after today’s pullback, currently retreating within the 63.4–66.1 range. For reference only. Markets carry risks, so exercise caution when entering. $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk2026-09-18

All the levels given for gold were reached as expected. We are currently watching whether 4396-4397 can be reclaimed; if so, gold will return to last week’s trading range. Those who entered at the levels I gave over the past two days can continue to wait and see, with 4410-4440 as the levels to watch. In addition, gold buying has been very strong during the Asian session this week, so reduce short positions on gold during the Asian session. I’ll post an update at any key market-turning point. Wishing everyone prosperity! $XAUUSD

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SunnyOk2026-09-17

I’m back again!
The U.S. Dollar Index failed to break above 100.4, retraced to the 50% level on the one-hour timeframe at its lowest point, and then continued to rebound. Therefore, as long as it cannot rise above 100.4, the low of its next pullback should be lower than that of this pullback. In other words, as long as it fails to hold above 100.4, the U.S. Dollar Index will move sideways to the downside.
Conversely, gold’s pullback levels will become increasingly higher each time. As long as it fails to hold firmly above 100.4, gold will move in a sideways-to-upward pattern.$XAUUSD Personal