SunnyOk

Thank you, Master @余乐交易日记, Senior Brother @军师在摸鱼i, @几百万唾手可得, @你家对门陈胜, and all the elders for feeding me. #Gate广场五月交易分享

Today’s Non-Farm Payroll (NFP) Preview: U.S. April NFP expected +62K (previously 178K, a significant drop). Release time around 20:30 Beijing time tonight (8:30 PM Eastern Time). 
• Better than expected (>100K+): US dollar strengthens $ETH , US Treasury yields rise → negative for risk assets, ETH likely to break down (testing below 2260).
• In line with/weaker than expected: easing rate hike expectations → short-term bullish for ETH, US stocks/risk assets rebound, ETH may rebound to test 2320+.
• Black swan/revisions: data volatility, combined with unemployment rate and wage data. Historicall

Based on the current market structure and technical framework, intraday trading should focus on the following core risks and micro signals, building upon your existing analysis:
1. Core Risk Identification: The “Trap” near the 144 line
The current 15-minute chart shows the price stabilizing around 2333, but the impact of the MACD death cross signal remains. Special attention is needed as the EMA144 (purple line) forms a key psychological support at both the 15-minute and 1-hour levels. If the price consolidates with decreasing volume around 2330, be alert to the possibility that major players

The empty space given by the 04 live broadcast was also filled by me.

I will try small stop-losses on the points I mentioned.

1. Summary of Key Points from the Hearing (Public Testimony and On-site Statements)
• The independence of the Federal Reserve is the biggest highlight: Waller repeatedly emphasized in his opening remarks and responses that "monetary policy must be strictly independent of political considerations," stating that independence "needs to be earned," and that the Fed should not become a "general institution for fiscal or social policy." He also pointed out that independence is strongest at the operational level of monetary policy but can cooperate with Congress/executive agencies in areas like banki