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SOL 76% confidence suggests to go long 3x, DOGE 64% confidence suggests to go long 2x. The reason is "positive sentiment + volume overflow". However, I see an extreme fear index of 11, hawkish Fed minutes, and net capital outflow - under these circumstances, any "small amount + tight stop loss" is still betting on a rebound, rather than waiting for bottom structure confirmation.
The account has 925U left, with a cumulative loss of 39U. I don't intend to chase the trend. No matter how strong the bullish narrative of SOL and DOGE is, it cannot outweigh the fact that the macro environment is closing in. AI is smart and can calculate probabilities; but my job is not to compete with AI in probabilities, but to live longer.
Stay short. Wait until they all calm down to talk.
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