Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

TODAY COULD BE HUGE FOR CRYPTO.
Today at 2:15 PM, the US Senate is expected to vote on the CLARITY Act.
And honestly, this is bigger than just another crypto bill.
If it gets the 60 votes needed to move forward, the US could take a major step toward finally defining how digital assets should be regulated.
Here’s where things get interesting.
Republicans have 53 Senate seats, meaning they need at least 7 Democrats to support moving the bill forward.
That support was not locked in as of Friday.
Senators have reportedly been negotiating through the weekend, with Sen. Lummis adding more than 120 provisions requested by Democrats.
One of the more interesting changes is a new “circuit breaker” designed to give regulators a way to respond if stablecoins start putting pressure on community banks.
There are also ethics provisions that would require certain officials to sell their crypto holdings or place them in a blind trust.
And this isn't starting from zero.
The House already passed its version of the CLARITY Act 294-134 back in July 2025.
But there’s an important detail many people are missing:
Tomorrow is NOT the final step.
A Senate vote to advance the bill would only move the process forward. The House and Senate would still need to agree on identical legislation before it can reach President Trump.
So why does tomorrow matter so much?
Because crypto has spent years operating in a regulatory grey area in the US.
A clear framework could change how exchanges, token issuers, investors and institutions operate.
It could also give the CFTC a much larger role in overseeing digital assets.
If the bill moves forward, the market will probably start pricing in what clearer regulation could mean.
If it fails, that doesn't automatically kill the bill.
But with the midterm elections getting closer, the political window gets smaller.
So I’m watching the Senate tomorrow very closely.
Not because one vote magically changes crypto overnight.
But because it could tell us whether the US is finally ready to build a real regulatory framework for this industry.
September 15 could be one of those dates crypto traders look back on later and say:
“Yeah, that was important.”
What do you think?
CLARITY Act passes the Senate, or another delay?

I haven’t opened a futures position in over a week. To be honest, given the quote and high oil prices, I’m mentally prepared for the CLARITY Act to run into some trouble, followed by a catch-up drop in the crypto market.
But all I can do is watch; there’s not much room to act:
1. Don’t short an uptrend and make things harder for myself;
2. I’m no longer trading futures, and there’s no way I’m touching my spot holdings.

CLARITY Act vote is in focus today 🇺🇸
A positive result could be a big step toward clearer crypto rules in the U.S.
That could matter for $BTC , $ETH , $XRP and the wider market.
Will the CLARITY Act move forward?
🟢 YES — Bullish
🔴 NO — More delay
⚪ NOT SURE

They say Luckin keeps the AC blasting to keep old people away😂 Seriously, every time I wear shorts to Luckin for a coffee, I don’t dare go in until my order is ready! Employees working in such freezing air conditioning year-round are bound to end up with chronic cold legs😆

I’ve pretty much figured out the core strategy for this season’s coin stocks. Never play the coin stocks based on technicals or high tech. For coins, only play coin-stock memes paired with pure memes. Some people asked, what about $pons ? In reality, $pons is paired with eth. So why must you play coin-stock memes paired with pure memes? Because the core of this season lies in U.S. stocks—still U.S. stocks. The key is pairing them with U.S. stocks.

Finally got $BNC B this piece of the puzzle in place. Previously, when running U.S. stock Meme plays, the settlement pairs were relatively limited. Now I’m using $BNCB directly as the base position and, while I’m at it, have set up a cross-pool pool with $BNC4 . This move is actually pretty aggressive. It effectively forced the internal capital flows within the BNC ecosystem into a closed loop. Before, the premium capital from playing BNC4 could easily run off to the BNB pools. Now that there’s BNCB

Today's AI U.S. stock market information gap:
1. $NVDA plunged 3.5%! The most direct side effect of slowing AI is here: stock prices fall, and the entire AI supply chain takes a hit
2. Trump is really furious! He posted repeatedly to lash out: AI will destroy humanity; it's a conspiracy and a scam, and in the end, the only one happy will be China
3. Thanks to Dalio for handing over an easy advantage, $GOOGL $Meta surged, because if AI really slows down, this kind of backward AI company may instead have a chance to catch up with $OpenAI $Anthropic
4. The anti-Anthropic group has officially been formed! Nvidia, Palantir, and Booz Allen have formed an alliance to restrict internal use of Anthropic's models, otherwise they might someday be publicly written up by Dalio
5. China's Ministry of Foreign Affairs responded: sensationalism, confrontation, and vicious competition will only undermine the global AI process and benefit no one. Don't think you can use AI safety as an excuse to contain China

September 15, 2026, Record: 1. Releasing news about something like the CLARITY Act during a correction period is actually a double-edged sword;

Only about 1.6 years remain until the 2028 Bitcoin halving, and 4.4% of BTC has yet to be mined. Looking back at previous halvings: 2012: rose 100x in the 12 months after the halving 2016: rose 30x in the 18 months after the halving 2020: rose 8x in the 18 months after the halving 2024: the pattern was front-run, with a 4x increase in the 18 months before the halving.

Tonight, the entire market is focused on one thing: those 60 Senate votes.
Polymarket gives it only a 17% chance of passing, Democrats have proposed a last-minute countermeasure, bank lobbyists are applying intense pressure, and most Senate insiders have already declared it dead.
But everyone is overlooking the truly important signal.
What did SEC Chair Atkins say today?
His exact words: “Regardless of whether this legislation passes, this administration will deliver results for American investors and technology innovators.”
In plain English: the bill is dead, but regulatory progress will continue anyway. You’re betting in the wrong direction.
The three pillars of “Project Crypto” are the real nuclear option.
While everyone is watching the CLARITY Act, Atkins laid out Plan B at a Solana Policy Institute event.
Pillar One: Reg CA—issuing a “driver’s license” for crypto
Establish rules for crypto-asset issuance, giving companies a clear path to raise financing through digital assets in the United States. No more “figuring out what the law is as you go.”
Pillar Two: Rewrite transfer-agent rules that have gone untouched for 40 years
Officially incorporate blockchain ownership ledgers into the digital ownership registration system. These rules were designed for paper stock certificates and have been in use for nearly 40 years.
What does this mean? On-chain assets will be formally recognized as proof of ownership. Not an “exemption,” not “tolerance,” but recognition.
Pillar Three: Custody rules—allowing self-custody
Clarify crypto-asset custody requirements for investment advisers and regulated funds, allow self-custody under specific conditions, and permit the use of state-chartered trust companies as custodians.
As Atkins himself said: “The SEC should not be the last institution to realize that the world has changed.”
Why is this more important than the bill?
The CLARITY Act is “building roads”—congressional votes, bipartisan negotiations, and presidential signing; any step could get blocked.
Project Crypto is “issuing driver’s licenses”—as the regulator, the SEC can directly change the rules within its own authority.
Even without roads, a driver’s license can still get you on the road.
And this is not a spur-of-the-moment move. In March this year, the SEC and CFTC jointly issued Project Crypto interpretive guidance, classifying crypto assets into five categories, with the first four explicitly deemed not to constitute securities. The guidance was also included in the SEC’s 2026-2030 strategic plan—digital assets are listed as a strategic priority.
Legislation can be vetoed. Strategic plans cannot be vetoed.
Bitcoin is now hovering in the $76,500-$78,500 range, down from its September high of $82,278.
If the vote fails, some will definitely dump in the short term. But the Coalbase CEO has already said it—regardless of the voting result, the crypto industry will gain regulatory clarity.
The market is betting on tonight’s 60 votes. But Atkins is betting that those 60 votes are unnecessary.
The CLARITY Act is for senators to vote on; Project Crypto is for code to execute.
The former may fail, but the latter is already running. #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议 #Gate广场中秋团圆局

Only about 1.6 years remain until the 2028 Bitcoin halving, and 4.4% of BTC is still left to be mined.
Looking back at past halvings:
2012: rose 100x in the 12 months after the halving
2016: rose 30x in the 18 months after the halving
2020: rose 8x in the 18 months after the halving
2024: the pattern was front-run, with a 4x rise already achieved in the 18 months before the halving
When “the halving means a bull market” becomes a market consensus, game theory will prompt capital to front-run it. If this cycle repeats the previous cycle’s pattern (4x before the halving, 2x after), the next 1.6 years may be the most explosive golden period of this cycle.
Target: 232k at the 2028 halving, with a 2029 peak of 300k.

Robinhood has fully rebounded! Find some high-quality, top-tier stocks to buy the dip!

An opportunity of distinction awaits.
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My projection: $78,915.
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$NEXA is officially on my radar.
A new project, a fresh narrative, and potentially an interesting opportunity for early participants.
CA: 0x0B827E300F0AD50fAf6Ee2340cAFb4dC1B046Df0
I’ll be watching the development closely.
Early discovery matters.
Let’s see what $NEXA can become. 👀

Want to chat? Thoughts on the CLARITY Act and ETH.
On Polymarket, the odds that the CLARITY Act will be signed this year fell from 82% to 12% over seven months, then bounced back to 30% over the past two days. The bill hasn’t even been put to a vote, but those betting on it have already been on a roller coaster ride.
The CLARITY Act vote is on September 15, the FOMC rate decision is on September 16, and the SEC roundtable is on September 17—the most information-packed week of 2026 for the crypto market.

My watchlist is as beautiful as a painting; Guilin🐴 has always been a preemptive call. At the end of July, when I bought the dip in storage, that was what I was thinking, and that’s exactly what I’m doing now. As for whether it ultimately follows my line of thinking, it no longer matters, right? If it follows my line of thinking, I make more money; if it doesn’t, I don’t lose money. You get it, right?

1. The crypto market is indeed very resilient, and I, $CRCL , am even more resilient. I believe this resilience is the result of multiple factors: 1. The crypto market has been in a bear market longer than any other market. Theoretically, this could be the transition from a bear market to a bull market (the largest-scale rebound); 2. This rally has not risen very much. Since the increase has been limited, the room for a pullback is also limited (the cost basis line of the major players’ holdings). 3. Rotation between capital sectors, Trump’s charting, and so on......

Recently, the market has felt like it lacks a clear direction, but this week will likely bring news that directly drives the market in one direction. From Tuesday through Friday, the schedule is packed with macroeconomic data and regulatory events. The Federal Reserve’s September policy meeting begins on Tuesday; U.S. August retail sales data will be released on Wednesday, while the CLARITY Act reaches a new procedural milestone; the interest rate decision and economic projections will be officially released on Thursday;

It took me only one day to understand inscriptions, a week to understand DeFi, and a month to understand the prototype of TapeOut (I still don’t know how to use canvas to assemble mining machines). More importantly, TapeOut is not yet complete and is still evolving. My teacher was really not trying to hurt me when they told me to read more books back then. The overall level of education in the crypto industry is relatively low compared with the Web2 financial sector. Without a thirst for knowledge (and money), you really will be eliminated.😆😆

SOL at $101—do you dare add to your position?
Look at the surface first: The macro nuclear bomb is counting down, yet SOL has not collapsed.
At the September 15-16 FOMC meeting, the probability of a 25bp rate hike has soared to 80-90%. Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, above expectations; PPI was hot, oil prices remained high, and Chair Warsh turned hawkish. BTC fell from higher levels to 77,800-78,400, and the entire market is trembling.
In the face of the rate-hike nuclear bomb, SOL did not kneel; instead, it held above 100.
First: The rate hike is an open secret, but SOL is “quietly accumulating” on-chain.
The number of holders of tokenized stocks on Solana has surpassed 800k, with trading volume hitting a record. Assets such as DraftKings saw rapid growth in daily volume, and the network has already taken the lead in tokenized assets.
The Transaction v1 upgrade raised the maximum transaction size to 4096 bytes, while the second phase of rent relief went live, releasing more SOL. Today’s Washington x Wall Street Solana Summit focuses on regulation and institutional adoption. Prediction market World has launched, while meme coin and DEX trading volumes remain high. ETFs continue to see inflows.
Second: Solana is becoming an “on-chain Nasdaq.”
DeFi TVL is approximately $5.8-9 billion, stablecoin supply is $14-16 billion, and RWA stands at $2.4-4 billion and is growing rapidly. Daily active addresses exceed 2 million, daily DEX trading volume is $1.5-3 billion, and application-layer revenue and fees lead most chains. The staking ratio is approximately 70%, tightening the circulating supply. Institutional holdings are increasing, Firedancer/Alpenglow development is progressing, and the inflation reduction proposal has passed.
Third: The technical triangle is converging toward its endpoint, with 100 as the line in the sand.
The daily chart rebounded from the June-July lows, surged to 110 at the end of August before meeting resistance and pulling back, and is currently consolidating above 100. The 4-hour chart shows a symmetrical triangle, with the upper boundary around 103 and the lower boundary at 100. Volatility is narrowing as the market awaits a directional move.
Price is trading above the shorter-period EMAs, while the 200-day moving average is well below the current price, in the 83-93 range. The medium-term structure remains bullish. Holding 100 means bullish consolidation; breaking below it would accelerate the bottoming process. This is the decision zone now.
The bull-bear battle—judge for yourself
On one side (bearish):
90% probability of an FOMC rate hike, tightening liquidity for risk assets
BTC has pulled back from its highs, and SOL, as a high-beta asset, is more sensitive
The daily chart has yet to break above 105, and the triangle’s direction has not been confirmed
On the other side (bullish):
RWA/tokenized stocks are surging, with 800k holders and record trading volume
Resilient ecosystem fundamentals, 70% staking, and increasing institutional holdings
100 has held multiple times; it refuses to fall
Continued ETF inflows and the Summit as a catalyst
Support: 100 (psychological + short-term) → 97.7-98 (structural support; below that, watch 94-95) → 92-83 (longer-term moving-average zone)
Resistance: 102.5-104 (dense trading volume + trendline) → 105-107 → 110 (August high; only a breakout opens the way to 120+)
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
If a pullback to 100-98 stabilizes on the candlestick chart, cautiously go long with a small position, stop-loss below 97, and targets at 104-107. If a rebound to 104-105 meets resistance or forms a long upper shadow, cautiously short with a small position, stop-loss at 106-107, and targets at 100-97. A high-volume daily close above 105 supports chasing longs; a high-volume break below 97 favors shorts toward 94.
Medium to long term:
The ecosystem’s fundamentals support accumulating spot or using dollar-cost averaging on dips, with a target zone of 120-147 (requiring a confirmed breakout above 110).
A rate hike is not a reason to kill SOL; it is a reason for you to sell at a loss.
SOL at $100 and SOL at $200 are the same Solana.
Do not throw away your chips in macro panic, and do not get off the train before the on-chain breakout.
After the FOMC decision, do you dare add to your position? #每周来晒 #美联储加息会议 #Gate广场中秋团圆局 $BTC $ETH $SOL