Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

BICO at $0.017—would you bet on it?

Look at the surface first: a 30-40% rebound from the bottom, breaking out of the descending channel on heavy volume.

From the absolute low of 0.0113 to now, it has risen over 30% in 7 days. The 24-hour trading range is 0.014-0.0196, and it is currently consolidating at 0.017. Its market cap is only $12-15 million, and its fully diluted valuation is also pitifully low. After breaking out on heavy volume, it pulled back to retest the breakout. Funding rates are deeply negative, while shorts are still adding positions—the squeeze could happen at any time.

First: shorts are giving away money, but you do not have the nerve to take it.

Aster DEX has launched BICO perpetual contracts with up to 5x leverage, and trading points will be boosted through August 11. The futures market is showing an extreme signal—funding rates are deeply negative, open interest continues to rise, and shorts are piled up like a mountain, yet the price is rising.

Shorts are adding to their positions, but the price is not falling—it has risen 30% instead. Shorts are trapped. In a low-liquidity environment, as long as longs push slightly harder, shorts will be forced to close their positions and buy back—this is a classic short squeeze.

Second: the fundamentals tell a “one billion users” story, but do not take it too seriously.

Biconomy positions itself as Web3 user experience infrastructure—gasless transactions, account abstraction, and cross-chain relayers. It processes 50k transactions daily across multiple chains and integrates with more than 40 dApps. Sounds impressive? But you should know: competition in this sector is fierce, and BICO is not the exclusive leader.

The token supply is 1 billion, with approximately 720 million in circulation, while its market cap is only over $50k. But precisely because it is small enough, its upside can be large enough.

Third: the candlestick chart is showing a classic “pre-squeeze” signal.

On the daily chart, it rebounded from 0.011, broke out of the descending channel on heavy volume, and then pulled back to the 0.015-0.016 support zone. It is currently consolidating around 0.017. Trading volume is extremely high relative to market cap, indicating that funds are entering. Technical indicators are overall neutral, but heavy volume + pullback + short accumulation—when combined, these three form a classic “building momentum” pattern.

Key levels

Resistance above: 0.0185-0.0195 (recent highs) → 0.022-0.025

Support below: 0.015-0.0155 (rebound initiation zone) → 0.013-0.014

The bulls and bears face off—judge for yourself

On one side:

Deeply negative funding rates and accumulated shorts = ample squeeze fuel

Rising OI + rising price = shorts are trapped

Up 30% in 7 days, breaking out of the descending channel on heavy volume

A market cap of only $12 million means it does not take much money to push the price up

On the other side:

The fundamentals do not make it the exclusive leader, and competition is fierce

Down more than 99% from its ATH of $21, with countless trapped holders

August has historically been soft for crypto assets

High volatility and low depth—one wick can blow you out

Short-term long trade:

Entry: Go long with a light position on a pullback to 0.0155-0.016, with a position size ≤5% of total capital and 3-5x leverage

Stop-loss: Below 0.0148

Target 1: 0.0185-0.0195

Target 2: If it breaks above 0.0185 on heavy volume and holds, add to the position and target 0.022-0.025

Short/stand aside:

If a heavy-volume long upper wick appears at the top and funding rates turn positive and overheated, consider a light short position

If BTC falls below $62k, all altcoins will suffer along with it

Ironclad risk-management rules:

Risk no more than 1-2% of total capital per trade

Slippage is significant in low-liquidity conditions; do not place market orders

Watch for changes in trading volume before and after the Aster points campaign ends on August 11

This thing can move 30-50% in a day; if you cannot handle it, stay away

You did not buy at 0.011, hesitated at 0.017, then FOMO-bought at 0.025—and finally cut your losses at 0.015. This is not the market’s problem; you are always making the wrong decision at the wrong time.

BICO is not “value investing” right now; it is a “chip game.”#Gate上线宇树科技盘前合约 #Gate储备金率117% #Strategy再售1637枚BTC并回购STRC $BTC $ETH $BICO

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If you're already planning to hold, Sl8 Staking is worth exploring.
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The bullish momentum overnight failed to continue effectively. After rising to around 64000, the price came under pressure and fell back to around 63400. The daily chart closed with a lower-shadow doji candle, bullish momentum on the four-hour chart turned negative, and bullish volume decreased on the hourly chart. The strategy is simply to enter short positions at high levels.
Early Tuesday:
Short around 63600-64100, targeting around 62600-62100.
Short around 1865-1885, targeting around 1825-1800.

The overnight bullish momentum failed to continue effectively. After rising to around 64000, the price came under pressure and fell back to around 63400. The daily chart closed with a lower-shadow doji candle, bullish momentum on the four-hour chart turned negative, and hourly bullish volume declined. The strategy is to enter short positions at higher levels.
Tuesday evening:
Short around 63600-64100🈳, targeting around 62600-62100.
Short around 1865-1885🈳, targeting around 1825-1800.

What are you panicking about with ETH at $1,875?

First, look at the surface: it has fallen from $4,950 to $1,875, nearly being cut in half.

It has fallen nearly half over the past year, plunging to a low of $1,550–$1,600 in June, rebounding to $1,980 before being knocked back, and now hovering around $1,875. Weekly gains are approximately 11% and monthly gains approximately 20%. The medium-term trend is still continuing, but $2,000 is like an impenetrable wall that just cannot be breached. There is support around $1,850, but $1,980 has been rejected three times—the bulls and bears are fighting with knives here, and whoever gives up first is out.

First: ETFs are diverging, but BlackRock is quietly adding to its holdings.

Yesterday (August 3), spot Ethereum ETFs recorded net outflows of $11.42 million, ending two consecutive days of net inflows. Sounds alarming?

But look closely—BlackRock’s staking ETF ETHB recorded a single-day net inflow of $5.78 million, bringing its cumulative historical inflows to $550 million. Meanwhile, BlackRock’s ETHA saw net outflows of $9.03 million.

Second: Supply is tightening—what are you panicking about?

Ethereum’s staking rate has reached approximately 34%, with more than 41 million ETH locked in staking contracts. The ETH supply ratio on exchanges has fallen to 0.127—the lowest level in years.

More than one-third of circulating ETH is locked up and cannot be sold.

There are fewer and fewer coins on exchanges, leaving little available for a sell-off.

Institutions such as BitMine are continuing to accumulate coins, targeting holdings equivalent to nearly 5% of the total supply.

Supply is shrinking while the price is falling—this is a classic “divergence.”

Third: Glamsterdam is coming, potentially the biggest upgrade since the Merge.

The Glamsterdam upgrade, scheduled to launch in the second half of 2026, entered its final devnet phase in June. The core elements of this upgrade are ePBS (separation of block building), block-level access lists, and a target gas limit of 200 million.

Transactions will become faster and cheaper, with a substantial increase in throughput.

The block-building mechanism will be completely restructured, optimizing the MEV problem.

This is the most ambitious protocol overhaul since the Merge.

Fourth: The macro is the steering wheel—don’t fight the Federal Reserve.

At its late-July meeting, the Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged at 3.50%–3.75%, but the vote shifted from unanimous approval in June to 9–3, with three members calling for a rate hike. This was the fifth consecutive meeting at which rates were left unchanged.

The key events this week:

August 7 nonfarm payrolls—soft data would be bullish, while strong data would intensify rate-hike expectations.

August 12–13 CPI—sticky inflation is the biggest risk.

Jackson Hole at the end of the month—a window for policy signals.

The macro theme remains “soft landing vs. reflation.” If the data turns dovish, ETH will recover alongside BTC; if the data turns hawkish, it will remain under pressure.

The bull-bear showdown—judge for yourself.

On one side:

A 34% staking rate, 41 million ETH locked, and exchange balances at multi-year lows.

ETH is 17% below the average on-chain holding cost, making its valuation severely undervalued.

The Glamsterdam upgrade is imminent—the biggest update since the Merge.

July ETF net inflows of $365 million, the best in nine months, with BlackRock continuing to add to its holdings.

Weekly gains of 11% and monthly gains of 20%, with the medium-term trend still continuing.

On the other side:

It has fallen from $4,950 to $1,875, nearly being cut in half, with sentiment extremely bearish.

$2,000 has been rejected three times, with heavy selling pressure.

ETF net outflows of $11.42 million yesterday interrupted the streak of consecutive inflows.

The Federal Reserve’s 9–3 split vote means rate-hike expectations have not been fully eliminated.

Macro data is coming in thick and fast, and any negative surprise could trigger a sell-off.

Key levels

Resistance above: $1,880–$1,890 → $1,930–$1,950 (the descending trendline rejected three times) → $2,000 (the psychological barrier).

Support below: $1,845–$1,850 → $1,830–$1,820 → $1,800 (the iron floor) → $1,750/$1,700.

Short-term traders:

Buy lightly on a pullback to $1,845–$1,860, set a stop-loss below $1,820, and target $1,885–$1,930, reducing positions at resistance. Short near $1,890–$1,930 on a rally, set a stop-loss above $1,950, and target $1,850/$1,800.

Swing traders:

If the daily candle holds above $1,930 on strong volume, go long and target $2,000–$2,100, with a stop-loss at $1,880. If the daily close breaks below $1,830–$1,845, reduce positions or switch short and target $1,750–$1,700.

Long-term believers:

Build medium- to long-term long positions in batches at $1,800–$1,850, initially targeting $2,200–$2,500, with a stop-loss at $1,650. Fundamentals are supportive, institutions are accumulating, and the upgrade is on the way—but remember, the macro is the steering wheel. Wait until the NFP and CPI data are released before taking large positions.

Risk-control rules:

No single trade should exceed 5%–10% of total capital.

Leverage should not exceed 5x–10x.

Reduce positions and wait on the sidelines three days before macro data releases.

Prioritize spot positions; staying alive is the most important thing.

When ETH fell to $880 in 2022, everyone said, “It’s going to zero.” When it rose to $2,000 in 2023, everyone said, “The rebound is over.” When it rose to $4,000 in 2024, everyone said, “It’s too expensive to buy.”

Now it is at $1,875, and you are afraid to buy again.

Before the Glamsterdam upgrade, while institutions are accumulating and supply is tightening—every bull market starts when the vast majority of people “don’t dare to buy.”#Gate上线宇树科技盘前合约 #Gate储备金率117% #Strategy再售1637枚BTC并回购STRC $BTC $ETH $SOL

A new animal wave is coming. Animals are simple, but the spiritual qualities they represent are noble. $Onlymarms

Guys, here’s the follow-up: Last night, I saw the barber guy post on Moments that he had cut his losses. Judging by the movement of this indicator, I think AI-related stocks may see a rebound.😆😆

$XAU Guys, you can enter my gold short later
If it unexpectedly rebounds to 4107, add one position
63900 for BTC is also a good level
{future}(XAUUSDT)

Does what the U.S. Treasury Secretary says actually matter?
Spouting bullshit here
If you had something to say, why didn't you come out and say it earlier?
If what you say doesn't matter, then don't say it
Fuck your mother
I opened my crude oil short at 81, and it didn't move for over half an hour
It started accelerating downward more than half an hour after I closed it
Then you came out and said something
You opened your short first,
didn't you?

SNDK at $1,355—would you dare bet before earnings?

First, the surface: down 48%, retail investors scared out of their wits.

On June 22, it hit an all-time high of $2,354, then plunged all the way to $1,300, down 42%-48%. The listing of China's CXMT sparked supply concerns, OpenAI's IPO was delayed, and rumors circulated about Meta's idle computing capacity, sending the entire semiconductor sector tumbling. $1,300-$1,320 is an important support zone, RSI has recovered from oversold levels, the rebound has come with rising volume, panic has reached an extreme, and earnings will decide the outcome.

First: the fundamentals are absurdly strong, but the market has already grown “aesthetically fatigued.”

Q3 revenue was $5.95 billion, up 251% year over year and 97% quarter over quarter

Gross margin was 78.4%, up 27 percentage points quarter over quarter

Five multiyear supply agreements (NBM) have been signed, locking in $42 billion in minimum revenue, with $11 billion in financial guarantees attached

For tomorrow's earnings, the company itself guided for revenue of $7.75-$8.25 billion and EPS of $30-$33. Wall Street's expectations are even higher: revenue of $8.39 billion and EPS of $34.80.

Earnings have beaten expectations every time, yet the stock still halved. The market does not disbelieve AI; it disbelieves that things can “get even better.”

Second: HBF technology was just launched, but large holders are already exiting.

On August 3, Sandisk and SK hynix jointly released the first OCP standard specification for HBF (High Bandwidth Flash), designed specifically for AI inference systems, with up to 512GB of capacity and 3.0TB/s of bandwidth. Google and Tenstorrent participated in validation. Following AI training, this is the standardization narrative for “AI inference storage”—a major long-term positive.

But look at what happened in the perpetual futures market:

The funding rate turned from positive 0.0239% to negative 0.0026%—shorts have begun paying longs.

Third: analysts are fighting, with a $1,430 gap.

Susquehanna cut its price target from $3,250 to $3,050, maintaining a buy rating. Wells Fargo raised its price target from $1,250 to $1,620, maintaining a neutral rating. Citi raised its target to $2,500, with a buy rating. The average price target among 23 analysts is $2,217, still implying 72% upside from the current price.

One side says “it can still double,” while the other says “it has already reached its target.” A $1,430 gap

The bull-bear showdown—see for yourself

Bulls say:

Q3 revenue up 251% year over year, gross margin at 78.4%—genuine AI-driven growth

NAND prices have risen for 19 consecutive months, with tight supply and demand lasting through 2027-2028

HBF standard released with Google's backing, opening a new AI inference storage track

2026 capacity is already completely sold out, and 2027 bookings are booming

Analysts' average price target is $2,217, representing 72% upside from the current price

Bears say:

It rose from $40 to $2,354, a 58-fold gain—there is too much profit-taking pressure

China's CXMT building plants plus supply concerns are worsening the competitive landscape

It plunged 48% in July, and the technical picture remains in a downtrend

Perpetual futures funding has turned negative, with large holders reducing positions

High expectations = high risk. If earnings merely “meet guidance” rather than “significantly beat expectations,” the market may not buy it

Key levels

Upside resistance: $1,400-$1,450 → $1,500-$1,550 → $1,680-$1,700 → $1,800+

Downside support: $1,300 → $1,200-$1,220 → $1,100 → $1,000 (psychological level)

Aggressive:

Lightly test a long position around the current price of $1,355, with a stop-loss below $1,290-$1,300

Target: a breakout above $1,400 points to $1,500-$1,600, with a stronger move toward $1,800

Conservative):

Wait until earnings are released before taking action

If it breaks through $1,400-$1,450 on heavy volume and holds → go long

If it gaps down and breaks below $1,300 → stay on the sidelines or consider shorting, targeting a retest of $1,200/$1,100

Bearish strategy:

Consider only if $1,300 is clearly broken on heavy volume, with a tight stop-loss set $20-$30 above

Target around $1,100

Do not prioritize shorting while rebound momentum remains in place

At the 52-week low of $40, you wouldn't dare buy. At $2,354, you dared chase. After it halved to $1,300, you don't dare buy again.

This stock rose 58-fold in a year, then fell 48%. Earnings are tomorrow: either it returns to $2,000 or falls back to $1,000.#Gate上线宇树科技盘前合约 #Gate储备金率117% #Strategy再售1637枚BTC并回购STRC $SNDK $SKHY $SAMSUNG

Does what you say, U.S. Treasury Secretary, matter?
Just shooting your mouth off here
If you had something to say, why not say it earlier?
If it doesn’t matter, then don’t say it
Fuck you
I opened my crude oil short at 81, and nothing happened for over half an hour
More than half an hour after I closed it, it started plunging
And right after that, you came out and spoke
You had opened the short
Right?
$CL
{future}(CLUSDT)

solana:HcfnJxLov6tY8i1dq9uYRRZKCvxADPpovcfkyXzdpump has been listed on Mt. HcfnJxLov6tY8i1dq9uYRRZKCvxADPpovcfkyXzdpump Since the RH chain took off, I’ve rarely returned to Sol to play, but Sol has recently launched many simple solo plays. You can pay more attention to these tokens; judging from the daily charts, they actually all offer considerable profit potential. Back on Sol to investigate some addresses again—study them carefully.

Bitcoin is testing a major resistance trendline while holding a key support zone. 👀

A confirmed breakout could trigger bullish momentum, while another rejection may send BTC back to retest support.

The next move could set the tone for the short term. Stay patient and wait for confirmation.#GateLaunchesUnitreePreMarketFutures #StrategySells1637BTCAndBuysBackSTRC $BTC

What’s the most interesting thing about the market?
Perhaps it’s that just when everyone thinks the answer is settled, the next card is often reshuffled.
The strength of AI stocks has suddenly cooled, while the memory sector has rebounded, with capital rapidly rotating among NVIDIA, Google, semiconductors, gold, and crude oil. The current market feels more like a game of Balatro—there’s no absolutely fixed playbook, and what matters more is judging the rhythm and changes.
Personally, I think this year’s market opportunities may not be concentrated in just one direction. How to flexibly capture volatility across different assets will become increasingly important.
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📊 Hyperliquid didn’t just lead July’s perp DEX market l, it created a huge gap.
The platform recorded $218B in volume, almost $30B more than the next seven DEXs combined.
Competition is growing, but July still looked like a one-platform market.

$63.8k BTC, and nobody is talking about it anymore?

Look at the surface first: a pile of bearish factors, but the price hasn’t collapsed.

It rose 0.4% over the past 24 hours, rebounding from the 62k support level to 63.8k. It’s down 27% YTD and nearly half of its 126k ATH. The 62k-62,800 range has been hammered four times without breaking. The base is being solidified, but the breakout still needs one final push.

First: Strategy is selling, but clickbait headlines have scared you senseless.

Saylor’s company sold another 1638 BTC at an average price of $64k, cashing out $105 million for preferred stock dividends and buybacks. Media headline: “MicroStrategy Sells Bitcoin Again!”

Scary? But look closely—Strategy holds around 450k BTC in total, so this sale amounted to less than 0.4%. Saylor himself has repeatedly emphasized that he has never sold a single sat.

Second: One bug scared the entire market, but don’t throw the baby out with the bathwater.

A Coldcard hardware wallet firmware RNG vulnerability allowed cold-wallet seeds to be derived, with approximately $70 million-$100 million stolen.

Sounds terrifying? But this has nothing to do with BTC held on exchanges or stored in mainstream software wallets. This is an issue affecting a specific batch of a specific hardware wallet, not a breach of the Bitcoin network.

Third: The macro environment is the real “big boss.”

The federal funds rate is 3.5%-3.75%. The July FOMC hawkishly held rates steady, while the market is pricing in a 67% probability of a rate hike in September. Core PCE remains stuck at 3.3%-3.7%.

A strong dollar means a weak BTC. Tight liquidity leaves risk assets struggling to breathe.

The August 7 nonfarm payrolls report, mid-month CPI, and month-end Jackson Hole—each of these three events could make BTC move $2,000-$3,000 in an instant. But the market has already priced in the 67% rate-hike probability. If the data comes in soft, BTC could take off; if it comes in hot, it would merely hammer 62k once again.

Key levels

Upside resistance: 64,500-65,000 (50-day EMA) → 66,000-67,000 (trendline + previous high)

Downside support: 62k-62,800 (tested 4 times) → 60,000 → 58,000

Short term:

If 63,500-63,800 holds, take a small long position, targeting 64,500-65,000, with a stop-loss below 62,800. If a rebound to 64,200-64,500 stalls on declining volume, take a small short position, targeting 63,000-62,500, with a stop-loss at 64,800.

Medium term:

Wait for the August 7 employment data. Soft data + ETF inflows → add to longs and target 66,000-68,000. Hot data + rising rate-hike expectations → reduce positions or hedge, keeping an eye on 60,000 support. If the daily close holds above 65,000 with increased volume, chase the move toward 67,000; if 62,000 breaks, get out first.

Position discipline:

Risk per trade ≤1-2% of total capital

Keep perpetual-futures leverage below 5-10x

Don’t chase pumps or dump into declines; spot positions never need to panic

August seasonality is weak (historical median -7%); don’t go all-in

You think 63,800 is “barely alive” now, but one day it will suddenly move above 67,000, and you’ll be asking, “Can I still chase it?”

BTC is still the same BTC. What has changed is your patience.

62,000 has been hammered four times without breaking—at this level, it failed to break for the fourth time, but what about the fifth?

When a high-volume bullish candle pierces through 65,000, you’ll realize that it wasn’t that there was no market—it’s that you kept dying right before the launch.#Gate上线宇树科技盘前合约 #Gate储备金率117% #Strategy再售1637枚BTC并回购STRC $BTC $ETH $SOL

HYPE is hovering at $54, but the buyback machine is frantically "eating tokens"

First, the surface picture: choppy pullback, leaving retail investors questioning everything.

It gained 4% over 24 hours, with the price hovering around $54. After falling from its all-time high of $76.85 on June 16, it has already pulled back nearly 30%. You may be thinking: "Another VC token that will collapse once the unlocks happen."

But this "garbage" is buying back and burning tokens with real money, and doing so much more aggressively than you might think.

First point: This isn't an empty coin; it's an "on-chain money printer."

What is Hyperliquid? In simple terms: a perpetual futures exchange that puts all trading on-chain, with every fee used to buy its own token on the open market.

The platform has generated $1.34 billion in cumulative revenue

It just burned $760k worth of HYPE over the past 24 hours

Its share of the on-chain perpetuals market has consistently stood at 50%-70%

Second point: The August 6 unlock has you scared? The whales aren't.

On August 6, 433k HYPE will unlock, worth approximately $23 million. Sounds scary?

Let me tell you: This represents an extremely small proportion of the circulating supply, and every historical unlock has been absorbed by buyback demand.

Retail thinking is "unlock = sell-off"; institutional thinking is "unlock = entry opportunity."

Third point: Technically, it has stabilized at a support zone.

On the daily chart, HYPE rebounded to $54 after repeatedly testing the $50-$52 area. This zone combines the previous low, trendline, and psychological support in a three-way confluence. The daily RSI has just climbed back from oversold territory, while bearish MACD momentum is weakening. On the 4-hour chart, it has formed a "higher low," a textbook short-term stabilization signal.

Support: $50-$52 (get out if it breaks; go for it if it holds)

Resistance: $56-$58 (if it holds, look for $60-$62)

The bulls and bears face off—you decide

The bulls are accumulating:

The platform generates $1.34 billion in annual revenue, with ongoing buybacks and burns driving deflation

The $50-$52 support zone has been tested repeatedly without breaking, showing genuine buying demand

RWA perpetuals account for more than half of trading volume, and the product offering continues to deepen

Institutions such as Japanese companies have begun building positions

The bears are trying to scare you:

It has fallen from $76 to $54, and the trend remains within a descending channel

The August 6 unlock is creating significant psychological pressure

BTC is choppy, and the broader market could drag it down at any time

The circulating supply ratio is only 22%-26%, making the FDV relatively high

Key levels

Upside resistance: $56-$58 → $60-$62 → $65-$70

Downside support: $50-$52 (ironclad zone) → $46 (200-day moving average)

For short-term traders:

Test a small long position around $54 and add on a pullback to $52-$53. Place the stop-loss below $50. Take half off first at $56-$58; if it breaks above $58 on strong volume, target $60-$62.

For medium-term investors:

Watch the market action before and after the August 6 unlock. If $50-$52 continues to hold, build a position in batches. Don't get timid if it pulls back below $50. The medium- to long-term target is $60-$65 or even higher. The prerequisite is that the broader market does not collapse and support holds.

HYPE's current logic is exactly the same as that of traditional stocks—

When the market panics and sells, the company continues buying back and canceling shares. By the time retail investors realize what's happening, one-third of the tokens are gone and the price is already in the sky.

It's not that you don't dare to buy; you simply have no idea how much money it is actually making.#Gate储备金率117% #Gate资产规模位列全球Top6 #Strategy再售1637枚BTC并回购STRC $BTC $ETH $HYPE

Indian Buffett Mohnish Pabrai: The thing he regrets most is selling great companies.
He sold a 1% stake in $RACE Ferrari too early; otherwise, it could have risen 50x by now and been worth $500 million.
Discover greatness → Buy → Endure volatility → Stay invested for the long term and compound!

Recently made several live trades tracking Asian assets on tradexyz and Hyperliquid: SpaceX concept and ChangXin $CXMT Pre-IPO

There are several hundred earnings per day on average this week—it's a bit excessive.