Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Top 10 Most Ruthless Figures in the Crypto World Today:
1. Those who hold a lot of alts are commendable for their courage to take risks in the face of uncertainty. In the ever-changing crypto world market, they go against the tide and choose the path of alts, which offers both risks and opportunities.
2. A person who has experienced repeated failures and has an indomitable spirit. Even after experiencing multiple failures in the crypto world, they still carry hope and courage, and continue to move forward in this challenging field.
3. The person who only buys one coin can be said to be extremely focused and confident. They place all their trust and expectations on a single coin, with a determination akin to burning their boats and bridges.
4. People who still participate in Cryptocurrency Speculation without a computer, under limited hardware conditions, with their passion and persistence for the crypto world, are admirable in their use of all possible means.
5. People who never talk about the crypto world are mysterious and independent. They quietly cultivate in the crypto world, not disturbed by the voices from the outside, and adhere to their own investment philosophy.
6. People who close all positions when they make about 20% profit have clear goals and decisive action. They are not greedy and know when to take profit at the right time and secure their gains.
7. The person who dares to invest in Heavy Position without learning can be said to be reckless. They invest a large amount of money with high risk based on a fervent passion and courage without sufficient knowledge reserve.
8. People who invest without a fixed income have a spirit of adventure. Despite the unstable economic situation, they dare to seek opportunities in the crypto world. Their courage is commendable, but it is also risky.
9. People who claim they never buy coins and keep a low profile about their investment behavior in the crypto world may be mysterious due to certain reasons that are hard to decipher.
10. People who patiently hold the purchased cryptocurrency for more than six months have strong beliefs and patience. In the ever-changing crypto world, they are not affected by short-term fluctuations, firmly believe in their choices, and wait for long-term returns.
#BTC

The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut.
The Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point rate cut, which is the first rate cut by the Federal Reserve since 2020, marking an important shift in its monetary policy.
1. Background of interest rate cut
From March 2022 to July 2023, the Fed raised interest rates 11 times in response to high Inflation, with a total increase of 525 basis points. Over the past year, the Fed has kept the federal funds Intrerest Rate target range at 5.25% to 5.5%, the highest level since 2001. However, as the inflation rate declines and the economy slows rise, the Fed is considering cutting interest rates to stimulate the economy.
Second, interest rate decision
Time: On September 18, 2024, local time, the Federal Reserve announced a 50 basis point cut in the federal funds interest rate target range.
Magnitude: A 50 basis point reduction, lowering the federal funds Intrerest Rate target range to 4.75% to 5.00%. This reduction exceeded the expectations of some markets, demonstrating the Federal Reserve's cautious assessment of the economic situation and proactive response.
Three, Impact of Interest Rate Reduction
1. For the US economy: Interest rate cuts help drop the borrowing costs of businesses and individuals, stimulate investment and consumption, and thereby promote economic rise. In addition, interest rate cuts also help alleviate the tense atmosphere in the financial markets and boost market confidence.
2. For the global financial market: As an important part of the global economy and financial system, the Fed's interest rate decision will have a profound impact on the global financial market. Interest rate cuts may trigger policy adjustments by other major central banks, further promoting global monetary policy easing. At the same time, changes in the US dollar exchange rate will also have an impact on international trade and investment.
3. For emerging markets: The Fed's rate cut may lead to capital outflows from emerging markets to the United States, putting certain pressure on the financial markets and Exchange Rate of emerging markets. However, this also depends on the economic fundamentals and policy response capabilities of emerging market countries.
Four, Future Prospects
While the Fed is making decisions on interest rate cuts, it also announced its projections for the future Intrerest Rate. According to the Fed's forecast, by the end of 2024, the target range for the federal funds Intrerest Rate will further decrease to 4.4% (i.e. between 4.25% and 4.5%); it will drop to 3.4% by 2025; and is expected to decrease to 2.9% by 2026. These forecasts reflect the Fed's cautious and optimistic attitude towards future economic rise and inflation.
In summary, the Federal Reserve's announcement of a 50 basis point rate cut is an important step in its monetary policy adjustment, aimed at addressing the challenges of the current economic situation and promoting economic growth. This decision will have far-reaching implications for the US and global economy and financial markets, while also providing new opportunities and challenges for market participants.
#BTC

Wearing a Viking SAFEMARS duck? Now it suggests something exciting is going to happen👀

Their goal is to enable 1 billion users to experience the convenience of Web3 applications, making these applications as natural as breathing and a part of our lives, even a way of life in the future. And this is where the mission of the Social Growth Layer lies.
With the advent of Social Growth Layer, Web3 application development is no longer a challenge. Developers can easily get started, just like developing Web2 applications.
For our users, it's super cool! An account that spans all chains, you can interact wherever you want, with no threshold in the future, the experience is so good, To The Moon.
Since developers and users are here, UXLINK is going to be a giant in the future social world!

The 5 Levels of Making Money
1. Low level
Make money by selling time. For example, a takeaway delivery person earns hard-earned money by taking and delivering orders, and the more deliveries they make within a unit of time, the more they earn. Takeaway delivery workers rely on endless exploitation of their physical strength to make money, always rushing on the road, with no time to think.
2. General Level
Make money by selling intellectual labor. Lawyers, doctors, teachers, and white-collar workers are all at this level, earning money by producing intellectual work. It requires continuous improvement of skills, and the earning potential is visible to the naked eye.
3, intermediate level
Making money by selling traffic. Celebrities rely on rare beauty or outstanding acting skills to attract audiences, while internet celebrities rely on unique and distinctive styles to gather fans and monetize traffic for profit.
4. High-end level
Manufacturing and retailers make money by producing and selling products, which is a one-to-many profit model. The more products they sell, the more money they make.
5. Top level
Capital earns money through information asymmetry and resource integration. E-commerce Internet builds platforms to promote transactions between customers and merchants on the platform, and they earn commissions.
Ordinary people are at levels 1-2, belonging to the working class. Businessmen and celebrities are at levels 3-4, belonging to the wealthy. The top tycoons are at level 5, belonging to the top tier of the social ecosystem. To obtain the greatest wealth, one must transition from level 1 to 5, but this is also a very difficult leap that ordinary people find hard to achieve in their lifetime.
#BTC

The current stage of capital-driven benefits has obviously temporarily failed, and some objective factors have led to the current market situation of low circulation and high FDV:
1. Market Fragmentation, Fewer Bulls: In the last Bull Market, global capital was collectively speculating on DeFi and public chains. However, in this round of the market, funds and participants are too fragmented, with diverse narratives and little dumb buying from both Eastern and Western capital. It is common to see coins being sold without enough dumb buying, resulting in a fragmented market.
2. Lack of altcoin bull run, lack of speculative power: The infrastructure of EVM-based public chains has been improved, and funds and projects are all being funneled in the same direction. The ETH killers have not brought any new breakthroughs. In the absence of an altcoin bull run, after benchmark projects emerge, similar projects quickly follow, exacerbating the value gap effect.
3. Simple things are complicated, and complicated things are turned into stories: Pseudo-innovation can be seen everywhere in the market. Simple things are artificially complicated just to tell a bigger dream to the market, but essentially it's the same old story.
4. The Matthew effect is becoming more and more obvious: the encryption industry has developed for nearly 16 years, and the benefits of top-level monopoly have basically been generated. Whether it is technology, projects, or capital that can survive to this day, the strong ones are getting stronger and the weak are getting weaker. The market discourse of top enterprises is becoming more and more stable;
5. The primary challenges facing the current market are the lack of innovation and insufficient liquidity, which make it difficult for the market to pump up its trading volume, leading to an overall bottleneck in development.
#BTC

How to deal with being Tied Up?
**One, Active breakeven**
1. **Decisively Cut Loss**: If the purchase is wrong, especially in the case of chasing the market after a sharp rise in the currency price, stop loss in time to protect funds. There are many market opportunities, and only by keeping the principal can there be a chance to turn over.
2. **Currency Exchange**: If the currency in hand performs poorly and continues to fall, you can follow the pump opportunities of other currencies, exchange positions in time, and use new profits to make up for old losses.
3. **High sell buy low**: When Tied Up is deep and the coin price is still falling, sell part of the Holdings, and buy back when the price falls further, drop Holdings cost.
**Second, Passive Untrap**
1. **Gradual Margin Replenishment**: If the buying position is not too high and you believe that the market will rebound, you can consider investing funds in batches, but the number of times should be limited, and timing is particularly critical.
2. **Be Patient**: If all the funds are stuck in a full position and there is no Margin Replenishment left, and you do not want to Cut Loss, you can only wait for the market pullback. As long as the funds are not borrowed, be patient, there will always be a chance to breakeven in the market.
Remember, Tied Up is not the end of the world, the key is to stay calm, avoid blind operation, and opportunities will come eventually.
#BTC

The trend and rhythm of the next bull and bear market cycle in the currency circle
What should we do now? Is the next market trend a Rebound or a reversal?
1. If it is a reversal, is the Position large enough to enter? If it is not large enough or close to a Short Position, how do you get on board and at what position do you intervene?
If it's just a Rebound, should you sell the relatively low chips in your hand in the back and forth market?
3. Currently, the Liquidity in the market only supports small-scale long and short games. Would it be a better choice to expand the space and time?
Fourth, if you decide to hold your spot position and dump your chips at the beginning of next year's crazy big Bull Market, there are many high-quality cost-effective targets now. Don't consider whether it will fall or how much it will rise in the short term, just like today when the price of BTC is $60,000. At this time, is it significant whether you entered at $26,000 or $28,000 last year? Do you still care?
5. Be sure to have your own reasonable Position management plan, clear understanding of your psychological expectations for this round, and when to change positions for the Node.
#BTC

The highlight of next week is the Fed's announcement on Wednesday, along with the release of the dot plot, outlining the forecast for Interest Rate over the next three years.
Previously, the drop in interest rate expectations had a negative impact on Crypto Assets prices.
However, the forecast of Intrerest Rate favorable correction may lead to a positive market adjustment.
Investor's follow points:
European Central Bank President Lein will deliver a speech on Monday.
US core retail sales data will be released on Tuesday.
The WLF Decentralized Finance project of Trump is about to be launched, which may affect the market.
The Interest Rate announced by the Federal Reserve on Wednesday will be crucial.
There is a strong anticipation around the upcoming decision of the Federal Reserve and its impact on the Cryptocurrency market. If the Fed's predictions favor the risk market, Cryptocurrency prices could experience a significant pump.
follow me, share crypto world information and layout strategies together, help you get rich.
#BTC

The market is brewing a big move, and the following 3 coins have 20 times the potential for explosion!!!
1. GMT: The project has great potential and may attract more cooperation and investment. The target price is 0.30u, which may be pushed to 0.42u by the development of Web3.0 and Non-Fungible Token in 2025.
2. DOGS: Although it is currently in a downward trend, there is a small rebound in the bearish wedge. It is necessary to follow whether it can hold the psychological barrier of 0.0010u.
3. AAVE: Performs well, portfolio rises by 7.52%, volume breaks 500 million, successfully tests support line, short-term pump exceeds 20%.
These currencies are expected to usher in explosive opportunities in the coming days.

- Patch and leaks spark speculation
- Mainnet will launch in a few weeks
- Global advertising campaign live streaming
- Collaboration with OG Esports
- Profitable P2E mechanism
This is not just a new release, it will redefine Blockchain gaming.

Originally, the structure of BTC was contentious, and this uptrend also brought many currencies into the third pivot.
The intraday high retraced a bit, so if it rebounds to the 60500 level or a new high tomorrow, the risk of a pullback should be considered.
From a conventional perspective, the perfect position within the 55500-57500 range in the trend of the upward movement from 52550, so if the coin price falls back to this range in the first half of next week and the internal structure is intact, it is possible to consider trying long positions again.
A higher level tends to be a triangle convergence. If so, once it rises again, it is easy to break the firm and sustained trend.
#BTC

Here I want to say that a decline does not equal a Bull Market, and we still need to wait for the market direction to choose
The probability of a 25 basis point and 50 basis point rate cut by the Fed in September is both 50%.
There will definitely be a BTC price spike on the evening of the 18th, but it depends on the volume at that time. The market driven by news and data is unpredictable.
Before and after the announcement, BTC will experience significant fluctuations. It will ultimately go in the direction it goes, so don't fantasize about soaring. During this time, it is advisable to avoid trading contracts and hold onto Spot. Regardless of whether it rises or falls, even if there is an interest rate cut, funds will not flow into the crypto world immediately. Before the crypto world, there are stocks, bulk commodities, futures, and so on. Large funds are all pursuing stable returns, and the crypto world is not the first choice for large funds. Whether it's a bull or bear market will depend on the end of this year and next year.
#BTC

The first Mining Rig of Fractal Meme, the dragon of the Fractal Network, is now giving away free computing power cards. Its name is suspiciously similar to the project party, possibly its direct descendant! Hurry up and join for free! The first Mining Rig for young people!

Since the beginning of the year, the best performer is not MEME, not BTC, and certainly not AI, but RWA.
Even when extended to 1 year, RWA still leads other zones with a 1373% increase in Market Cap.
The second place is the Depin track, which pumped 391.4%.
Why not focus on the RWA track?
1. Ondo ($ONDO )
Tokenization leading supported by BlackRock, the core narrative is to integrate TradFi into on-chain finance.
This means that ONDO is capable of bridging traditional liquidity and leveraging Cryptocurrency as collateral to invest in TradFi.
2.Mantra（ $OM ）
The L1 blockchain of the RWA track, in cooperation with MAG Group in Dubai, is deeply cultivating in the direction of real estate tokenization.
3.Pendle（$PEOPLE）
tokenization yield platform, but recently the Penpie protocol in the Pendle ecosystem suffered a security vulnerability attack, resulting in a loss of about 27 million dollars, protecting about 105 million dollars of assets.
The attacker exploited the reentry vulnerability in Penpie's Smart Contract to fraudulently withdraw rewards by creating a fake market.
4.Quant（ $QNT ）
RWA infrastructure, connecting TradFi and encryption worlds.
#BTC

Why did the market fall instead of rise after last night's CPI data, which was Favourable Information?
The release of CPI data has once again increased the probability of interest rate cuts, which is a long-term Favourable Information for the entire financial market. Why is it considered long-term? Because as long as there is an interest rate cut, it will be Favourable Information for the financial market, and the interest rate cut will have a process, but as long as it starts, it is a good start.
The cycle of the financial market starts with interest rate cuts, then slows down, stops, then point shaving, and finally starts raising interest rates, slows down, stops, and then goes back to interest rate cuts, and so on.
This is the law of operation of the global financial market, which has never been broken. Once the rate cut starts, it will not be reversed to a rate hike. So once the general direction is determined, the rest is simple. I have never seen any financial market that has dropped the interest rate a few times and suddenly raised it again.
The pattern of the crypto world is the same, with a four-year cycle of bull and bear market conversion. Once it enters the Bull Market, it will not return to the Bear Market.
No bull market has ever gone straight into a bear market without completing it, nor has a bull market suddenly started in a bear market. This is also one of the reasons why I have always been bullish. It is normal for a bull market to have pullbacks, but no matter how much it pulls back, it won't return to a bear market. At least for now, the four-year bull-bear cycle rule has not been broken.
So some people may ask, what if the previous four-year bull and bear cycle is broken? If you have such thoughts, I suggest you exit the crypto world as soon as possible.
Just like the four seasons, after spring comes summer. Will the weather turn cold and return to winter because it snows in spring? Obviously not. No one will question whether the regularity of the four seasons will be broken.
But if you insist on arguing, no one can argue with you.
Since you want to develop in the financial industry, you need to understand its rules. Only in this way can you improve the probability of success. Since all aspects are Favourable Information in the financial market, why doesn't the market directly rise, but keeps pumping here and there? This can only mean that the market maker in this Bull Market has a big appetite, and there are many people who are bearish at the moment, so the market maker will definitely try to get more people to join the bearish camp, which is more favorable for the market maker.
For the past six months, market makers have been cultivating retail investors' bear market mentality. They believe that after a slight rise, there will be a rebound followed by a fall. Just look at how many people around you still believe that the bull market is ongoing.
Don't be influenced by the current pullback, this is just superficial. What we need to see is the essence, to layout in advance. Once the market starts, the opportunity will be missed.
#BTC

#Valhalla Patch 0.25.0 - "Trials of Asa God"
- Valhalla Update: 3v3 PvP, new stats, damage types
- Miami Hurricane Partnership: Massive real-world exposure

Who are the people losing money in the crypto world?
1. Among those who trade contracts, less than one in a thousand can do it consistently and achieve significant short-term gains, let alone making ten or a hundred times the profit.
All in with small capital, and there may be hundredfold experiences in a period of time. The problem is that this does not work for asset appreciation.
These people often feel that they have a small capital and can only rely on contracts to speculate, which is often the beginning of losses.
2. People who fantasize about getting rich quickly are easily influenced by emotions. They buy when emotions are high and sell when emotions are low, only to find that they are consistently losing money.
3, chase the market° people, buy whatever rises, play whatever is hot, successful several times before, chase the market fails once, stop loss is not timely, immediately back to the starting line.
4. People who follow the trend, see others making money at level one, and join in; if they hear about making money from Airdrops, they go for Airdrops. In the end, they just keep being fuel.
5. People who play short-term have a success rate of one in a million, the shorter the time, the more irregular the price movement.
6. People who are immersed in Technical Analysis, at least they will read books and look forward to enlightenment every day. But the success rate is also very low. Technical Analysis is just a tool, and in the end, it still needs to return to odds and probabilities.
How can I make money?
BTC large cycle combined with AltCoin small cycle is the way to make money.
BTC big cycle, very simple, buy in Bear Market, sell in Bull Market. It's the simplest big cycle.
altcoin small cycle, most of the time altcoin will follow BTC, but sometimes altcoin will have independent market trends. Seizing the altcoin small cycle and making money through high-quality altcoin is also a very good strategy.
But there are many skills involved, which ordinary people will not easily learn. If you don't have the ability, don't do difficult things.
The simpler, the happier, and the easier it is to make money.
#BTC

Macroeconomic aspects
Reuters survey: 92 of the 101 economists expect the Fed to cut 25 basis points on September 18, while 9 economists expect a 50 basis point cut. Currently, CME gives a 66% probability of a 25 basis point cut in September. If there is a 25 basis point cut in September, it will be Favourable Information, which can alleviate market concerns about recession expectations and reduce the outflow of funds due to fear, uncertainty and doubt.
Regarding ETFs, on September 10th, the net inflow of BTC Spot ETF in the United States was $116 million, and the net inflow of ETH Spot ETF was $11.44 million.
On the on-chain side, the monthly average volume of centralized exchanges has been decreasing, currently lower than the annual average volume. This indicates a decrease in investor demand and reduced trading by market speculators.
Market situation
BTC is still in a volatile trend, with some pressure above 57000, which will test demand intensity.
Tonight, the US will release the CPI data for August, with a previous value of 2.9% and a forecast value of 2.6%. Inflation data is not the market's top concern at the moment, but it will have a short-term impact on the token price before and after the data is released, so it also needs to be followed.
#BTC

In fact, most of us go through these stages when participating in trading:
Ignorance: Just entered the market short at the highest price catch the bottom, greed and fear, ended up losing a lot.
Learning technology: It hurts to realize the importance of technology only after suffering losses, and then start learning frantically, observing the trend, and eager to find a stable winning method from books, videos, and other channels. Continuous learning, continuous research, but always find it difficult to predict rise or fall in advance, can only be wise after the event, and ultimately still incur losses.
Start to understand the factors of market changes: when the technology fails, you realize that there is no technique that can make money 100% of the time. Never believe anyone who tells you absolute rise, absolute fall, or guaranteed win. Yes, this means you have grown up, and all of this is a matter of probability.
Simplicity is the ultimate sophistication: I suddenly realized that I had seen countless celebrity trading cases, read countless technical books, and even reached the level of being able to teach, but still couldn't make a profit, and made my trading more complicated. Pre-market pattern analysis, technical indicator analysis, analysis of various time periods... I understand everything, but once I start trading, I start to doubt what the hell is going on if I lose money. I've put in so much effort, but it's still not as good as flipping a coin. Actually, it's not about knowing a lot of indicators, reading a lot of books, or drawing good charts that makes you good at trading. There's a saying that the best is not necessarily suitable for you, but what is suitable for you is definitely the best. Maybe you just look at the naked K, maybe you just look at the moving average, maybe you just look at Fibonacci, and so on. Finding the indicators that suit you, or combining two or three main chart indicators, is enough. If used properly, it will definitely work wonders for you, and one move will conquer all!
System training: lack of confidence, can't resolutely execute the trading system, can use the ant warehouse to try your ideas and plans every time. If it doesn't work once, try twice. If it doesn't work twice, try ten times to see how your trading system works.
#BTC