Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

The four factors that drove the recent pump of Bitcoin:
The Fed cuts interest rates, kicking off the BTCpump
The Fed's interest rate cut policy injected a large amount of Liquidity into the market, directly driving the pump of BTC. Abundant Liquidity often leads investors to seek higher-yield assets, and BTC, as the "digital gold," has become the first choice.
Gold big pump, driving up safe-haven assets pump
Recently, the price of gold has experienced a big pump, and investors' interest in safe-haven assets has surged. BTC has also benefited from this. As an asset seen as "digital gold," the value of BTC has also gained more recognition when safe-haven sentiment is high.
Ether Rebound, driving market sentiment to warm up
Ethereum has bottomed out and rebounded in the past few days, driving the entire encryption ecosystem to become active, and the market sentiment has clearly improved. As major zones start to pump, this optimistic sentiment also provides support for the steady increase in the price of Bitcoin.
Harris publicly supports the encryption industry for the first time
The US Vice President Harris publicly expressed support for the encryption industry for the first time, greatly boosting market confidence. This policy signal has provided more expectations for the pump of BTC, triggering more capital inflows.
#BTC

Why is it said that the big bull market may really be coming soon? How will the subsequent market go?
Gold skyrocketed, breaking through historical highs. BTC pumped $4000 in the past week, while Ethereum pumped nearly $300. The encryption industry has experienced its best week since September, and if it can continue, the curse of BTC's September decline will be shattered. Analysts even suggest that this is just the beginning, and there will be even greater market explosions in October and the entire Q4.
What are the factors that have pushed BTC to pump recently?
1. The Federal Reserve's interest rate cut opens the curtain for BTC pump
2. Gold big pump
3.Ethereum Rebound, driving market sentiment to warm up
In recent days, Ethereum has rebounded, driving the overall ecosystem activity, improving market sentiment, and pumping various sectors, which is equally important for maintaining the price of Bitcoin.
4. Harris publicly announced his support for the encryption industry for the first time.
#BTC

In the next 1 to 2 months, MEME in the Ethereum ecosystem will be the biggest gathering place for wealth sentiment!
The heat of the MEME track will run through the entire market trend!
The rotation of the crypto world is normal. As I mentioned before, market makers will not always hype MEME in the SOL ecosystem. There will always be opportunities for rotation.
In the past few days, there have been many newly launched MEME projects on the ETH chain. Take a look and throw in some lottery money, maybe you will be pleasantly surprised!
Where the hot spot is, that's where we should be!
#BTC

Let's take a look at the data.
I originally wanted to ignore the data directly, because, without accident, they are all good data. The theme of tonight's speech is also the seven siblings of the gourd coming to support Grandpa (U.S. economic expectations).
Let's take a look at the data in this group,
Initial application for unemployment benefits,
As of September 21, the initial claims for unemployment benefits recorded 218,000 people, lower than the previous value and expectations, indicating that the current employment data is good and short-term outlook is optimistic.
Final value of GDP in the second quarter,
Recorded 3%, in line with expectations and previous value, this goes without saying, whether it is 3% or 2.9%, it is considered good data. The second quarter GDP is much higher than the first quarter, which is also normal. The second quarter is often stronger than the first quarter.
The impact of this data will not be significant. The key is the third quarter GDP situation. The economy is allowed to weaken in the third quarter, but not too much. So let's wait for the third quarter GDP. The preliminary data for the third quarter will also have to wait until the end of October.
Consumer spending in the second quarter,
Compared to GDP, consumer spending may be a more important data point at the moment. The data recorded 2.8%, slightly lower than expected and previous value, which can be considered a minor negative.
After the interest rate cut cycle begins, people's expectations for the economy, GDP is one aspect, more importantly, it depends on consumer sentiment, and consumer spending more reflects consumer purchasing power and confidence.
Purchasing power equals to driving domestic demand, stimulating the economy, and also represents residents' current and future expectations for the economy.
PCE data for the second quarter,
The data recorded 2.8%, which is in line with expectations and the previous value. PCE data may be one of the most important data in the current interest rate reduction cycle, and it is also the inflation data that the Fed follows the most.
The rate cut cycle has started, and what people are still most following is whether inflation will Rebound, but this set of data is second quarter data, which is already data before the rate cut cycle, and the data does not show significant deviation, with minimal interference to the expectations for subsequent data.
The focus is still on tomorrow's PCE data for August,
Summary:
Today's data, taken alone, doesn't have much impact on the current market situation. However, overall, the data is biased towards positivity, which can have a certain optimistic impact on the future economic stability.
Of course, the most important thing is the speech of the Federal Reserve officials tonight, whether they will use this set of data to stabilize the market and have an optimistic outlook on the future economy.
#BTC

The secrets they will never tell you in the crypto world:
1. Those who make big money definitely did not rely on good luck, but rather they have been lying in ambush for a long time. Many people only focus on the results, but they laugh at them for making a mess when they were actually lying in ambush. What you can see is called a line of sight, and what you cannot see is called vision. During the period of lying in ambush, they won't explain to you because the cost of communication is too high. Only after the matter has become popular and you have learned about it from other channels, will you understand the hard work they put into lying in ambush.
2. Large capital injection. When many people talk to you, they often say to invest less and take it slow. However, they will never tell you that they have invested 1 million or more. The reason is simple: they do not know if you have the courage to take risks. When they encounter risks, they start blaming others. Just think about it, why bother to care about others' opinions when you can make money by yourself.
3. Ordinary people are influenced by the external environment, while people with thinking ability are fundamentally unaffected by the environment, people, or opinions. Once a decision is made, the will remains strong until the moment of achievement.
4. Not everyone can succeed, because everyone's luck, pattern, and breadth of mind are different. Even if they do the same thing at the same time, the results are completely different. Some cannot achieve the huge dividends after the outbreak due to insufficient investment. Some get out of positions halfway and watch others climb the peak.
Bull Market don't know how to do, observe the main also, share for free
#BTC

Recently, the author of "Rich Dad Poor Dad", Robert, predicted that BTC will rise to $500,000 per coin next year, and will rise to $1 million per coin in 2030.
Standard Chartered Bank predicts that BTC will rise to $200,000 per coin next year
Relatively speaking, Standard Chartered Bank's forecast is more reliable. If BTC can rise to two or three hundred thousand dollars per coin next year, I believe many brothers can achieve financial freedom. ​​​
#BTC

Summarized a series of events in the crypto market that indirectly pushed Cryptocurrency into the rising trend phase.
1. The upcoming US election: Historically, elections bring about regulatory changes and intensified market Fluctuation, which typically create opportunities for Crypto Assets traders.
2. Cut interest rates: Central Banks of various countries are preparing to drop interest rates, thereby reducing the attractiveness of traditional investments and encouraging investors to turn to high-risk assets such as Crypto Assets.
3. Global ETF adoption: The approval of Bitcoin ETFs by major markets has changed the game, providing institutional investors with a convenient entry point into the cryptocurrency field.
4. FTX expenditure: The ongoing FTX crisis may lead to substantial payouts to creditors, thereby injecting new Liquidity into the market.
#BTC

Now it's not 17 or 21, every coin will rise. Because the trend has changed, the topic has changed, and some coins are not bought cheaper.
Once upon a time, there was LUNA, and it was said that if it broke 100, there was no need to look at it anymore. Then 100 was broken, and everyone knows how tragic the endings of some chasers in the market are. Imagine if every sucker could buy the dip, we would be the dealers. In 2021, those who held EOS/FIL missed a whole bull run because they kept trying to catch the bottom. You thought you caught the bottom, but in fact, you were the one being taken advantage of.
This month is likely to see an increase. Be careful next month. Do not blindly follow coins that have broken new lows.
The market is complicated, so you have to wait for the opportunity, don't chase rising prices.
This bull, must do certain things, if not grasped. The next bull opportunity will be even less.
Every bull run has meme tokens, don't make money and then lose it on meme tokens.
In the 21st year, everyone made a bull, but most of them lost it again.
It's still the same old saying that it's difficult to win a throne but it's even harder to keep it. Without the guidance of experts, what is obtained by luck will still be lost by strength.
#BTC

Everything in the crypto world depends on the face of BTC. I don't know if you have noticed that many big hairy projects will launch coins when BTC is soaring. There are a few that launch coins in a bear trend. So when you grasp the trend of BTC, combined with the projects in your hands, you will have a general idea of when to launch coins. Of course, projects that are pumping are not included...
Research project analysis. Essentially, there are a few projects that will pump against the trend when the market is not doing well, a few of them. So whether or not to learn the trend of BTC.
For those who are rushing to meme, pepe, bome, bonk, WIF, etc., did they all emerge during the good rise of BTC? Some of these amazing ones were born during bearish market conditions, not just when BTC was soaring, but also when emotions were FOMO and pumping.
Contracts, whether it's BTC contracts or altcoin contracts, don't altcoins follow BTC? There are a few that go against the trend. Remember, the low point of BTC is also the low point of altcoins. You're doing altcoin contracts? Actually, you're doing BTC. Don't believe it? Go compare the candlestick charts yourself.
So whether to learn BTC or macroeconomics. Of course, if you don't study macroeconomics, you can still grasp the long-term and short-term trends of BTC. As long as you verify that it is accurate, there is no problem.
#BTC

How to screen and judge high-quality MEME?
Most of the high-quality MEMEs are formed during the period of emotional FOMO, and buddies who play MEME hope to get rich quickly. Emotional FOMO. The market has more hot money, and users are more willing to rush, which makes the Market Cap more imaginative and higher than expected.
But at the same time, it is also the period with the most sickles. Analysis and research are needed to select and judge. In order to improve the success rate of prosecution.
Know the contract Address, check whether the contract is secure, whether it is non-tiger, blacklisted, Slippage size, whether there is any issuance, etc;
Holdings distribution, whether highly concentrated or dispersed, ranking proportion; Holdingsrise selling proportion, etc.
How much is the pot, and how much is the market capitalization? The daily volume and the hourly volume, the more the better. The hourly volume should ideally exceed 1 million u, and the daily volume should ideally exceed 8.5 million u. It's not that there is no opportunity with low volume, but it comes with risks and requires caution. (If the hourly volume is consistently low, the pot is only a few tens of ETH. The market capitalization has already exceeded tens of millions, and it hasn't been open for long. If they boast about several tens of times the expected return, would you dare to buy? Can this be trusted?)
Personally, I like to combine IP traffic, volume, pool size, and Holdings Address to judge MEME. There is also market sentiment, and usually a new amazing high market cap top exchanges meme will emerge during the FOMO stage of a trend. Other factors need to be discounted, after all, it's not a bull market and there is not much hot money in the market. If a leader has emerged in the front, the subsequent ones need to be judged rationally, and market cap should be estimated cautiously.
Most importantly, for MEME, everyone must be able to estimate the Market Cap. Definitely, and it is a rational estimate at the moment. It affects your Position entering, the timing of dump, and so on. Never blindly fomo. It requires not only an analysis of the project itself, but also an objective integration of the external environment.
#BTC

Six Black Swan Events in the crypto world
1. February 2014 Mt. Gox Incident: BTC big dump 80%
In February 2014, the Mt. Gox incident was considered one of the most serious events in the history of the crypto world. At that time, the world's largest BTC exchange MTGOX was attacked by hackers, losing nearly 850,000 BTC, accounting for seven percent of the global BTC total. This event not only led to an 80% big dump in BTC price but also triggered a Crisis of Confidence in the cryptocurrency market.
2. 2017 September 4th Incident: Market Cap Evaporated 80%
In 2017, the Cryptocurrency market experienced significant Fluctuation, with Market Cap evaporating 80% in just a few days. Investors suffered heavy losses in this crisis, but it is precisely this experience that deepens people's understanding of the complexity of the Cryptocurrency market.
3. March 12, 2020 incident: ETH big dump to $80
On this heartbreaking day, the price of Ether has big dumped to below $80. This event has shown the volatility and uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market. However, the belief in the immense potential and value of cryptocurrencies remains steadfast.
IV. May 19, 2021 Event: 600,000 Contract Dogs Get Liquidated
This is a shocking event, with 600,000 contract dogs being Get Liquidated overnight, and countless investors suffering huge losses. This event once again reminds us that the cryptocurrency market is full of risks and uncertainties.
Five, 2022 Luna Black Swan Event: crisis in the DIFI field
Luna's Black Swan Event marks a major turning point in the cryptocurrency market, triggering a major crisis in the field of decentralized finance (DeFi), and having a profound impact on the market.
Six, 2022 FTX bankruptcy event: Market Crisis of Confidence
The FTX bankruptcy incident has triggered a Crisis of Confidence in the entire cryptocurrency market, causing a serious blow to the market. Despite the market being relatively friendly to us this year, these tragic events still sound the alarm for us, reminding us to remain vigilant at all times.
#BTC

What is the humanity in society:
When a person can't control you, they often start to isolate you.
In the workplace, men who are handsome and women who are beautiful have an inherent advantage, though it's an unspoken understanding.
3. When the people around you suddenly become polite to you, please be sure to believe that it's not because they have changed, but because they think you have become useful.
4. Whether in the workplace or in the emotional field, the most charming person is usually the one who knows how to refuse others, rather than those who like to help others.
5. When the people around you suddenly start to distance themselves from you, please believe that it's not because you did something wrong, but because they feel they can no longer take advantage of you.
6. Don't think that the more you give, the more the other person can't do without you. On the contrary, the more you give, the more you can't do without the other person. Because you can't bear the cost that has already been invested, you will continue to invest more, causing a vicious cycle of more investment and more difficult to let go.
7. When you are in the most difficult times, never rely on your "connections". Remember, in this materialistic world, connections are meant to embellish, not to help in times of need.
8. Be proactive in seizing resources. In this world, good things have to be fought for. Waiting for allocation will only lead to weakness.
9. If you don't take initiative to make demands, sorry, with thin skin, you are destined to be ignored and sacrificed. As long as you dare to take initiative and speak out what you want, others will treat you seriously.
10. Don't think that you will definitely be rewarded just for being kind. This is a big mistake. For good people, they will be grateful for your kindness; for bad people, your kindness is testing the limits of their evil. Kindness must be accompanied by wisdom and means in order to go further in this complex world.
11. People can resist the attacks of others, but they are defenseless against praise. Everyone desires praise, recognition, affirmation, and respect, which is a weakness of human nature. Learn to praise others more, as praising others is the most cost-effective way to maintain interpersonal relationships.
12. Nobody likes being lectured. Most people hope to be understood and supported. Learn to agree to disagree and respect others' opinions. It is human nature to believe that one is right. When thinking, be like a wise person; when speaking, be like an ordinary person.
13. Be sure to work hard to make money, otherwise, you will realize when you borrow money that even the best relationship is not as good as a credit card.
​​​14. In the workplace, do not report work to higher-level leaders. Doing so will offend two leaders, making them feel uncomfortable, dissatisfied, and awkward.
15. There is no inherent good or bad in people, only the distinction of strength and weakness. The so-called good and bad are all based on one's standpoint. The so-called rules are all about interests. The winner takes all, the loser is the victim.
16. Many people always feel that this is unfair and that is unfair, but the fact is, the stronger you are, the fairer the world will be to you.
17. When dealing with people at a lower level, don't be too easygoing. The more you respect them in your behavior, the easier they will be to bully you. In their perception, if you talk to them nicely, they will think you are easy to talk to.
18. What is given will always be given, what is sought will always be sought. Those who are worth helping don't need your help, and most of those who ask for your help are not worth helping.
​​​19. When a bowl of water is not balanced, only the most kind-hearted person can bring calm. Once that kind-hearted person is no longer willing to sacrifice, they will be labeled as a disruptor of harmony.
In society, the bolder one is, the more opportunities one will have.
#BTC

My own MEME insights:
1. The timing of buying and selling MEME is very important, there are approximately two timings: one is when most people haven't discovered it yet, and the Chinese community spreads the news within 2 hours, and a Market Cap below 1M is ideal; the other is after the first wave of FOMO has ended and the community is still active, this is where the big gains come in.
2. Most suckers actually bought in the first wave of FOMO, during the rapid pump phase, and then sold after the FOMO ended and the dumping began. They didn't make much from the pump, but were caught off guard by the dumping and couldn't handle the Whipsaw, resulting in losses.
3. With the support of good tools, communities, and methodologies, the current MEME market can be profitable, at least with a higher success rate than contracts. Contracts can be more ruthless and have a lower margin for error.
4. The current pattern of Meme selection mainly focuses on the dynamics of several celebrities. Once a new entry is available, it will be pursued immediately based on its importance. At the same time, some related Memes similar to the entry will also be derived, or those that were already popular will be further promoted. From the current perspective, it can really rise from many foolish angles.
#BTC

This rate cut really confused me... People around the world are collectively exerting their efforts: those selling houses, Favourable Information real estate market; those selling stocks, Favourable Information A-shares; those selling coins, Favourable Information cryptocurrency circle;
But actually? It didn't rise much at all...
Where did the money go?
To know, the meaning of the Fed's rate cut is to provide institutions with low-cost funds. As for where this money is invested in the market, it is not simply 123, nor is it Favourable Information for the entire financial industry. Institutions are also people, and what projects, industries, etc., they invest in have their own analysis.
Will they invest in A-shares and real estate industry? Will they dare to buy Russian government bonds?
They are wealthy, but not stupid, being wealthy does not mean being foolish, and you cannot force consumption.
Undoubtedly, it is Favourable Information for the US stock market. As for the crypto world, although it has not fully become like the US stock market, it is somewhat related, which can be considered a good start.
But please remember: only limited to BTC. Other coin, they will not touch at least for now.
So here comes the question, why do other coins rise more fiercely? Answer: the project party cashes out and pays salaries.
From the rise of altcoins, we can also see how fierce altcoins are when they rise. If you still doubt whether there is an altcoin season, then you have wasted your time reading this article. What should you do? Read all the articles again.
Remember, even with a rate cut, the entire global economy, the target of your investment, may not necessarily be flooded, don't be fooled by the financial industry's boilerplate rhetoric°.
#BTC

In 2013, the Bull Market was dominated by BTC, when BTC was like a popular meme coin, pumping crazily, without the concept of valuable coins.
During the bull market in 2017, Ethereum (ETH) was in the spotlight, and ICOs caused a frenzy. Being listed on a major exchange was considered a 'valuable coin', but many of these 'valuable coins' have since disappeared. In the bull market of 2020, DeFi emerged, followed by Non-fungible Tokens, blockchain games, and the Metaverse, ending in a zoo frenzy. DeFi is essentially a nesting game, and if the assets cannot cover the debts, the balance will be lost, such as the death spiral of LUNA. FTX, on the other hand, suffered a funding chain rupture and a sudden collapse due to the exchange's blood transfusion. Non-fungible Tokens are speculative assets in the form of small images, similar to online stamps, while blockchain games are financial pyramid games disguised as blockchain projects. All of these have been touted as value investments.
By the 2024 Bull Market, it seems to have returned to the beginning, with BTC dominating the market and AltCoins relying solely on FOMO frenzy, ignoring the so-called value of VC coin. Meme coins transfer power to the community, and the value of retail investors is considered to be the true value, which is in line with the core of Decentralization and the original intention of BTC's creation, combining social experimentation and fun.
#BTC

The three characteristics of QiangZhuang Coin:
1⃣️Whipsaw time is long: dealers often spend at least two months or even longer to Whipsaw, which means that if you find out early, you may not be able to hold Holdings because the Whipsaw process is long and grinding. During the Whipsaw period, prices may Sideways consolidate or slowly decline, testing investors' patience and determination.
2⃣️Long startup time: It may take at least a month from Whipsaw to the official launch. The market maker may suddenly buy a large amount and then sell quickly, forming a series of hanging lines, followed by four or five days of dumping, and then suddenly rising again. This process may be repeated four or five times, aiming to gradually raise the bottom price while wearing down the patience of some long-term holders.
3⃣️The pump time is usually at least two and a half months for the dealer to raise the price. During the pumping process, there will also be a whipsaw to wash out the last holder. The dealer may quickly raise the price within a day, and the increase may reach 300% or more. This rapid increase is aimed at quickly raising the bottom price to prevent retail investors from getting low-priced chips. If too many retail investors discover the pump on the first day, the dealer may simultaneously perform a whipsaw during the pump to entice retail investors to chase the market and then dump.

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9.19 Crypto World Market Analysis
(1) Market trend:
The market has seen a strong Rebound, and Liquidity has improved. The US stock market fell back after hitting a high. The Fed announced a significant 50 basis point rate cut, with the market expecting two more rate cuts of 25 basis points each later this year.
(2) Market Hotspot:
1. Public chain projects such as SUI, FTM, Saga, and SEI have performed outstandingly. BLUB in the SUI ecosystem has surged, with a Market Cap reaching 30 million. BLUB is a memeToken in the SUI ecosystem, similar to Pepe, with a hundredfold increase in value this month.
2.BN new coin NEIRO pump, dealer control the market trend steadily, with a rise greater than a fall.
3. POW's KDA pump, BN has launched related contracts.
4. on-chain MEME Token MOODENG pumped significantly. MOODENG is the Thai 'Hippo Baby', with a weekly increase of up to 100 times and a Market Cap of 30 million. The low Market Cap memeToken on BN is activating the on-chain market.
#BTC

The Fed slashed rates, BTC approached 62000, and dealers are brewing a shocking conspiracy. The storm is coming!
The Federal Reserve announced its Interest Rate decision at 2 am, reducing the federal funds Interest Rate from 5.5% to 5%, a larger-than-expected rate cut, theoretically should be interpreted by the market as Favourable Information news.
But the market often doesn't go straight out of the expected direction. Dealers (or big money holders) often use market sentiment and news to create a "false appearance"
There are still some uncertainties in the current market that keep investors cautious:
1. Uncertain economic outlook: Despite the Fed's interest rate cuts, the global economic rise slowdown trend, geopolitical risks, etc. have not been completely resolved, which may lead to some large funds choosing to wait and see, waiting for more economic data and market trends to confirm.
2. Inflationary pressures still exist: Although interest rate cuts help stimulate the economy, the market is also concerned about whether the rate cuts will lead to inflation rebound. Therefore, some investors may choose to remain cautious at this policy turning point and observe the future inflation trend.
3.Favourable Information cashed in, advance layout
The dealer had already laid out in advance, and had already sucked up enough chips in the low position before the Favourable Information news was announced. The Favourable Information message of the Intrerest Rate decision is actually a "cash-in" for the dealer's early action, because for them, the real profit is locked in before the news is announced.
Investors' strategy: cautiously follow the actions of large funds
1. Wait for Trading Volume signal: If the subsequent BTC price rises accompanied by a significant increase in Trading Volume, this may indicate that the market maker has completed Accumulation and the market is ready to pump further. However, if the Trading Volume does not increase synchronously when the price rises, be alert to possible bull trap!
#BTC