Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

Last night to this morning, old coins LTC, BCH, EOS, and FIL all opened, giving a sense of impending doom, feeling like the executioner's blade is on its way. There is a high chance of being slashed once this week, especially with BTC sideways here. After breaking through 100,000 and pumping 3-5,000, if BTC actively falls here, it won't be a big deal, at most it will pullback to 3.4 thousand, then continue the music and dance. This week is already the fifth week after the new high of the cake. The first four weeks were safe, but after the fifth week, you should avoid the risk of big blades, if possible.

Reminder on the 10th to Build a Position
In less than a month, it has already increased several times, right?
Add a follow!
I mainly follow trades on the large time frames

A certain cryptocurrency enthusiast, with a background of studying abroad, entered the circle early and seemed to have a peak period with assets of several hundred. With the bear market coming, it is now worth about 0. Recently, due to certain uncontrollable factors, he has been tormented. Later, the sudden death of his "grandmother" made him rethink the meaning of life, the meaning of work, the meaning of making money, and the meaning of cryptocurrency speculation...
A certain entrepreneur in Hangzhou, due to his own risky operations, lost his entire savings in two years. Fortunately, he had a backup plan and bought insurance for his wife and children. When he got into a car accident at night and felt despair, he opened his phone and asked himself, 'If something happens today, who can I call? Who will come to help me first?' Then, he silently turned off his phone... This is reality, although it is very cruel.
People have to experience life and death before they can live soberly and understand how to cherish it. Only in despair can we clearly see who we can rely on and who treats us well. If Cryptocurrency Speculation is affecting your normal life, stop immediately. The purpose of making money from Cryptocurrency Speculation is to have a better life. If Cryptocurrency Speculation or what you are doing is affecting your normal life, I personally suggest you stop immediately. If you can't remain calm, ignore the ups and downs, then exit. Someone in the group said, 'Investing in coins is for a better life, but you can't lose the original life by pursuing short-term gains.' I agree with this. Why do I suggest that you invest funds that do not affect your life? That's exactly the purpose.
Alright, Ripple XRP has broken through the previous Bull Market's high and is currently priced at 2.39. Its market capitalization has surpassed Solana SOL, ranking fifth. The old-school altcoin race can lie in ambush for a while. Now let's go back to today's daily BTC market analysis. From the Candlestick chart, the 1-hour timeframe is a pump, the 4-hour timeframe is a pump, the 12-hour timeframe is sideways leaning upwards, and the daily candlestick is sideways leaning upwards. The intraday resistance level is 99600, and the support level is 95700 USD.

If I only have 3000 yuan, can it be turned into 1 million in the crypto world? 1 million divided by 3000 is 330 times. It's good for ordinary people to save 3000 after deducting expenses for a month's work. If there are no unexpected situations, it will take at least 300 months to reach 1 million in assets, which is 25 years. And in the crypto world, it's not certain whether you can make a profit or not. Why do I say that?
Be sure to like, follow, and bookmark it. This is related to whether you can go further in this circle. It depends on how you operate. Take this Bull Market as an example. If you are a Spot player and have good luck, you come across an altcoin that increases your account balance by 10 or 20 times every time you wake up. When 3000 becomes 30,000, ask yourself if you can continue to hold it? This is still a good luck situation, because there are so many projects in the crypto world now, and no one can guarantee that a certain variety will definitely reach more than 10 times.
As for another type of player? The requirements for technology are extremely high, requiring precise positioning, the ability to understand trends, judge direction, and, more importantly, a test of psychological qualities. These are all things that newbies cannot possess, so this method is even more unrealistic for newcomers. It is possible to turn 3000 into 30,000 in the crypto world, but nothing can be achieved overnight, so it is important to strictly adhere to trading discipline, not be greedy, and gradually improve one's own knowledge and abilities.
Returning to today's daily BTC market analysis: From the Candlestick perspective, the 1-hour chart is bearish, the 4-hour chart is Sideways to the downside, the 12-hour chart is Sideways, and the daily chart is weakly Sideways, with an intraday resistance level of 98600 and a support level of 94600.

Summary of high-quality jade in various tracks:
1. L1 Track: SUI FTM, SEI, NEAR
2. Al Track: TAO, FET, ARKM
3. Modular Track: TIA, ALT, DYM
4. DeFi Road: AAVE, PENDLE
5. Gaming infrastructure racetrack: RONIN, IMX, SAGA
6. Inscription Track: SATS
If this bull run starts, AltCoin will start earlier and cover a wider range of tracks.

The pattern is that it is Sideways during the day and definitely pumps at night. It pumps at night, so there will definitely be a pullback in the early morning. And then repeat. The direction is still upward. In this market, not making money means losing money.

The fluctuation of BTC, the rhythm of altcoin.
BTC still maintains a narrow range of fluctuations, pulling back near 9w6 last night, with a drop of less than 4 points from the highest point. It still conforms to the trend I mentioned as "narrow range of fluctuations followed by wide range of fluctuations".
I won't go up to 10w before the pullback to 9w. The trend of BTC has been in line with my script so far, and it has been repeatedly mentioned in the community, almost like an open card.
When BTC finishes its oscillation adjustment and truly breaks through 100,000, it will also be the acceleration phase of this bull market. It's the most FOMO stage, when off-market suckers rush in. The reason why I've been saying that BTC won't break 100,000 is because of this, 100,000 is meant to attract new suckers.
ETH/altcoin is also not idle during the BTC turbulence, they will keep raising their own water level. The rotation of altcoins and the storyline of the altcoin market are becoming more and more clear to me.
After the MEME zone ended, it's the turn of the old coins on the major public chains, followed by Metaverse and some defi. The plot of rising three times in ten days will be everywhere. The rotation of these old coins is not over yet, and the old rogues who have been holding on for years need to cash out.
Old coins are just the appetizer of this altcoin season, and the real stars of the altcoin season are quietly raising the water level. The crazy performance of each Bull Market altcoin is in the accelerating stage of BTC's trend.
Every time the market pulls back, what you see is fear, what I see is opportunity. You are studying what to buy every day, and I am studying how to maximize the efficiency of capital every day. Learn the first step first and overcome fear.

When trading, Light Position is fine, and Heavy Position is also possible
Fund management has always been an important part of trading.
Many people emphasize Light Position, saying it can drop risks; there are also many people who emphasize the need for Heavy Position, to seize opportunities, Light Position cannot achieve that.
Is it Light Position or Heavy Position?
Actually, it can be considered from several aspects:
First, your ability. If you are very skilled at entering the market and can often get in at the explosion point of the market, then of course you should seize the opportunity to Heavy Position.
If you have a weak entry ability, Light Position is definitely better, and a wide stop loss is more advantageous, otherwise you will repeatedly stop loss.
Second, the size of your desire. If your desire is strong, the Position should be heavier; if your desire is weak, the Position should be lighter.
Third, your risk tolerance. For a single trade, how much loss you can accept determines your Position size. If you have a high acceptance level, your Position will definitely be high; if you cannot tolerate a large drawdown, your Position will definitely be light.
Therefore, whether it is Heavy Position or Light Position depends on the individual, ability, desire, and degree of risk tolerance. What suits you is the best, and what suits someone else may not suit you.

2024.11.26, altcoin hot spot view:
1. In a bull market, there are no major pullbacks, only small to medium pullbacks. A pullback is an opportunity to enter the market;
2. TIA has raised the consolidation, and after the consolidation, you can continue to enter the market;
3. TON is approaching its previous high, while its ecosystem projects such as NOT, DOGS, and HMSTR have not yet experienced significant rise. You can follow them.
4. Currently, Grayscale has: UNI, AAVE, MKR, LDO, SNX; SNX is an ancient buddy, with a low fully circulating market cap, so you can speculate a bit.
5. DOGE consolidates at a high level, pulling back to short-term support at 0.384, current price at 0.4 can be tried for a small chase.
6. WLD chased 2.35 in the last period, not risen much now, but will rise sharply if it does.

What is the crypto world?
If you treat the crypto world as a casino, then I have to say, no matter how much money you make, you can't take it with you.
Have you ever seen anyone who can actually take money from a casino?
If you treat the crypto world as a lottery station.
Then you can try, just don't affect your mood.
Invest a little every day and get a high return.
If you treat crypto world as an investment target, making money is not that difficult.
From a global perspective, the crypto world may have the most high-quality investment targets, far surpassing the A-share market, gold, oil, insurance, and funds.
However, you have to follow the investment concepts of the crypto world and invest accordingly.
At that time, it was not gambling, nor playing, nor speculation, but serious investment in valuable assets.
If you still don't know how, the dumbest but most effective way is to do valuable things.
It's Coin Hoarding, and then cross the bull and bear markets, holding steady for two cycles.
You will see a steady harvest.

View on alts:
1. Zone rotation is the core of AltCoin operation, with limited market liquidity, BTC and ETH mainstream absorbing a large amount of funds, and less funds flowing back to old currencies.
The simplest way to operate is to follow the market hotspots, combine chart analysis, determine the position and cost-effectiveness, and try to intervene if there is future development potential.
3. The current market is friendly to swing trading traders, and there are still opportunities for short-term swing tradingArbitrage; for long-term holders, it may be necessary to wait until the market peaks next year to achieve significant returns.
4. Even if you miss the market of certain currencies, don't worry, there will always be new opportunities in the market to lying in ambush, avoiding excessive concentration on a single currency.

GM
ETH held up against everything last night
surprisingly, altcoin didn't crash with BTC
I'm completely confused now
continue to look for bricks to move today

Here are 11 market rules and mindset principles summarized for you, which will enable you to better navigate the market in the crypto world. Come and take a look!

1. Trend reversal signal: When in a downtrend, if more than 3 consecutive Bullish linesRebound appear; in a rise trend, if Bearish linespullback do not exceed 3 consecutive, this is a warning signal of trend reversal.
2. Oscillation breakthrough guide: In an oscillating market, if the volume rises and the price remains flat, there is often a big breakthrough in the future. You can buy on dips and wait for two consecutive positive volumes to exceed the previous negative volume before entering the operation in advance.
3. Holding Coin Weapon: For strong coins, the holding strategy is very simple. Just as long as the daily candlestick does not fall below the pump moving average, hold firm and don't pay too much attention to technical indicators to avoid being disturbed by the dulling situation at high levels.
4. Interpretation of Candlestick Combination: A formation of one Bullish line paired with two Doji stars usually indicates a pumpRelay, which is a typical rising trend of a strong coin.
5. Unconventional market: The market often proves that the majority's opinion is wrong. The misleading information released by the Market Maker and the market top often appear when everyone is optimistic.
6. KDJ indicator signal: If you encounter continuous large Bearish line dump and the J line of KDJ is less than -12, it means that a short-term Rebound is coming, but it is recommended to wait for the Rebound before making the next judgment.
7. Bullish line breakout characteristics: When breaking through upwards, a Turnover Rate of around 8% is considered a healthy trading volume. If the Turnover Rate is too high or too low, it may trigger a pullback situation.
8. Resilient mindset: When trading is not going smoothly, it is important to stay calm. Only by enduring difficulties and pain can we embrace a bright turnaround.
9. Risk Control: Never operate with Full Position, leave yourself some room for maneuver, after all, the market is risky, being cautious will give you space for correction.
10. Emotional regulation: Maintain a positive attitude, and calmly and rationally view the market Fluctuation. Don't let emotions affect your decision-making.
11. Learning and Communication: Don't isolate yourself, communicate and share with others more. Even if your opinions are wrong, it is also part of the growth process. Let's progress together.

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GM 2024 11 25
1) Market trends
BTC has been oscillating at a high level and has not broken through the 100,000 yuan mark. The weekly dominance rate of BTC is declining, and old coins are rising sharply. In history, the average adjustment amplitude of a BTC bull market is 30%.
US stocks pump, the US dollar weakens.
2) Market hotspots:
1. Old coins such as xlm, KSM, hbar, etc., have surged. The surge of old coins indicates that it has nothing to do with the bull market and fundamentals, but rather the return of the previous coin speculators from the past few years. They will first buy the tokens they are familiar with.
2. The old game coins SAND, MANA, AXS, etc., surged. All zones rotated once.
3. On-chain dogs chiillguy, rif, uro, and others are all rebounding. The speculative hot money is returning on-chain, and the market is betting on a new round of bn listing.

follow track main leading:
1. L1 track: SUI, FTM, SEI, NEAR
The classic track continues to exert strength, these L1 projects have technical and community advantages!
2. AI Track: TAO, FET, ARKM, FET
Artificial intelligence is a hot topic that cannot be ignored in the future, and the AI ​​track has stories to tell, and every wave of the market is inseparable from AI.
3. Modular Future: TIA, ALT, DYM
Modular projects are gradually emerging as the main force for the upgrade of Smart Contracts and ecosystems.
4, DeFi Innovation: AAVE, PENDLE
The field of Decentralized Finance is still full of opportunities, especially projects with innovative gameplay and financial applications, such as AAVE and PENDLE, are expected to become the focus of a new round.
5. Game Infrastructure: RONIN, IMX, SAGA
The infrastructure project of Block Chain Game is ready to go, whether it's the ecological expansion of RONIN or the technical support of IMX.

Inventory of Several Potential Sectors
And their leadingToken, are worth noting
Blockchain field: SOL, INJ, AVAX open the door to wealth for you.
BRC20zone: ORDI, SATS, the leader of the future financial ecosystem.
AI track: ARKM, FET, TAO, in the era of intelligence, wealth is with you.
Web3 domain: BAT, MASK, GRT, exploring the infinite possibilities of the Decentralization world.
L2leading project: OP, ARB, MATIC, LRC, CELO, METIS, the future of Layer 2 has arrived.
Gaming ecosystem: YGG, IMX, WAXP, searching for treasure in the ocean of games.
Metaverse Investment: HIGH, SAND, MANA, immerse yourself in the virtual world and explore new investment opportunities.
NFT track: BULR, OPUL, the unique charm of non-fungible Tokens, leading the trend.
Social Track: RLY, GAL, CYBER, a new chapter in social media, a gathering place for wealth.
RWAzone: ONDO, POLYX, TRU, redefining finance, the future trend.
New blockchain field: APT, SUI, the innovators of public chains, leading the future.
PoW zone: KAS, DNX, the charm of Proof of Work, worth having.
BTC ecosystem: STX, DOG, BTC's merch ecosystem, unlimited potential.

Just sharing my personal views on this meme bull market cycle:
To continue in this cycle of memes, there are two prerequisites for sustainability:
1. On a macro level, BTC needs to continuously break through new highs or trade sideways, which means there is a constant flow of liquidity entering this market. In financial products, the first element is liquidity, and sufficient liquidity can benefit everyone.
Why does BTC have the potential to attract Liquidity by continuously breaking through new highs?
1) The factual level.
It has been constantly hitting new highs and is only a stone's throw away from 100,000. USDT and USDC are constantly increasing, and BTC ETF is constantly net inflows (combined with MSTR's leverage, increasingly fierce, so-called stock and bond purchases of BTC, behind which is all supported by hype, which is a strong force to promote BTC to new highs).
2) Narrative level.
The liquidity required for this round is much higher than before, it is a difference in magnitude, so it must be a grand narrative. Currently, it seems that the only option is a btc currency reserve system dominated by the United States and radiating to Europe and the Middle East, allowing sovereign funds to dumb buying. The probability of this is quite high. The pro close to Trump are all supporters of btc or holders of btc, if you understand politics, you will know how much weight this carries. Secondly, most of the btc holdings are vested in American capital, and they will definitely promote this from an interest perspective. If, and I mean if, the main btc holdings are still domestic, this narrative will not hold at all. Why is Auntie weak? One important reason is that there is too much domestic capital holdings.
In the past few decades, the world financial system, dominated by the dollar system, has actually harvested a lot of countries, and everyone dares to be angry. I guess that in the future it may turn into a "dollar + BTC" system, and the United States does not like gold.

Currently, the market has entered a stage where various altcoin sectors are leading the rise, marking the beginning of the altcoin season. In each Bull Market, we will see these stages:
In the first stage, a large amount of funds poured into BTC, initiating the preliminary stage of the Bull Market, with ETH and altcoins always weaker than BTC.
In the second stage, BTC reached a relative high point, and the BTC market share came to a powerful resistance level that could be the top, followed by Ethereum leading the mainstream coins to launch a counterattack.
In the third phase, various altcoin zones start to lead the way.
In the fourth stage, alts start to dance wildly, and every day you can see coins rise by one or several times. People's trading emotions reach a climax, and then the bull run ends in a panic.
#BTC接连突破新高，即将突破$100K?

How to reduce internal consumption? The fren who has been hurt all know that there is less self-reflection, more blame on others, less self-questioning, more questioning of others, not in a hurry, not timid, and shameless. If you make a mistake, don't be afraid, slowly think about how to push the responsibility to others.
Before doing things, think carefully. Can you do it? Can you do it later? Can you delegate it to someone else? If you are right about this matter, remember to be relentless. If you are wrong, then get angry. During the day, scold the delivery person as a security guard, and at night, scold the security guard as a delivery person. When driving, scold the cyclist, and when cycling, scold the driver. When walking, scold both of them.
In short, be strict with others and lenient with yourself, as long as you have no morals, morals cannot hold you hostage.