Crypto KOL Community & Market Trends

1. When trading, data can only be treated as noise for reference; 2. Look at the price performance after the data is released.

TRX at $0.338—do you think it’s dead money?
Look at the surface first: 0.1% volatility, with the entire crypto market calling it a “stablecoin simulator.”
Its 24-hour price change is almost zero, its $32 billion market cap ranks eighth, and its candlestick chart looks like a straight line. You scroll through group chats and nobody talks about TRX; everyone thinks, “This coin is finished—it’ll stay at $0.33 forever.” But just yesterday, the Canary Staked TRX ETF officially listed on Cboe under the ticker TRXS. Justin Sun shouted about it for three years, and Wall Street finally gave the green light.
First: this is not an ordinary ETF; it is a staking ETF.
Understand this: Institutions buying TRXS can not only benefit from spot price gains, but also earn on-chain staking yield. Previously, traditional funds that wanted to buy TRX had to set up wallets, handle staking, and deal with compliance themselves. Now, one ticker takes care of it all.
Pension funds, hedge funds, and family offices now have a compliant channel
Staking yield turns TRX into a “yield-bearing asset,” not dead capital
Publicly listed Tron Inc. is also continuing to accumulate TRX in its treasury
Second: TRON is not a public chain; it is USDT’s settlement layer.
I know you dislike Justin Sun. But the data doesn’t lie:
USDT supply on TRON is approximately $90 billion, already exceeding Ethereum’s
Average daily USDT transfer volume exceeds $20 billion, with $2.1 trillion in Q2 alone
More than 400 million accounts, making it the leading chain for low-fee P2P transfers
While you chase memes in crypto, Southeast Asian workers are using TRON to send money home. While you’re getting liquidated in futures, cross-border merchants are using TRC20 to settle payments.
TRX’s price may not move, but its network hasn’t stopped for a single day. Real-world usage is its strongest trump card.
Third: Technical indicators have already compressed to the extreme.
The 7-day, 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all converging around 0.33–0.34, while volatility has fallen to a freezing point. This is not “nobody wants it”; it is “the eve of a major move.”
The RSI is around 57, neutral to slightly bullish. The price is consolidating near the ascending trendline, and the weekly uptrend structure since 2024 remains intact.
Bull-bear battle—see for yourself
On one side:
Staking ETF listed, opening an institutional channel
USDT settlement leader, supported by real revenue
Moving averages converging; a volume-backed break above 0.35 would open room toward 0.36–0.37
Resilient when weakening relative to BTC, with utility-token characteristics
On the other side:
BTC has fallen to $77,000, and macro risk appetite is cautious
Highly dependent on USDT and Justin Sun’s personal influence
Low price elasticity, unsuitable for betting on a sharp surge
ETF inflows have not yet truly picked up
Resistance above: 0.340–0.342 → 0.345–0.350 → 0.36–0.37
Support below: 0.334–0.333 → 0.330 → 0.322–0.325
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
If 0.334–0.335 holds and a bullish candle appears with increased volume, you can cautiously take a small long position, with a stop-loss below 0.330 and a target of 0.345–0.350. If it breaks below 0.333, wait on the sidelines, or take a small short position toward 0.325–0.322.
Medium-term players:
Build a position in batches on a pullback to 0.33–0.325, reducing exposure if it breaks below 0.32. Look toward 0.37–0.40 after it holds above 0.35.
Long-term believers:
Blindly dollar-cost average below 0.33. TRX is not a coin that will make you rich overnight; it is the “stablecoin settlement stock” in your portfolio. After institutional channels open in 2026, valuation recovery is only a matter of time.
You may not like Justin Sun, but you cannot ignore the $20 billion flowing through TRON every day.
When TRX breaks above 0.35, you’ll realize:
It wasn’t too slow—you were too impatient.
At $0.338, can you still hold?#Gate主流CEXTop4 #美国8月PPI录得5.4%高于预期 #苹果发布会 $BTC $ETH $TRX

I have a hunch that if tonight’s data is even slightly favorable, ETH will lead the charge. As for BTC? It’s a piece of garbage.

As long as there’s enough money
And enough nerve
What can or can’t be shorted
Logic trumps everything 🤧

SOL at $100—are you panicking?
First, on the surface: the $100 level, a tug-of-war between bulls and bears
Down 2-4% over 24 hours, retreating from around 107 in early September, with an intraday low of 98.4-99 and a high of 102-103. It is still up 33% for the month, but momentum has clearly slowed.
The daily chart is still above the 50-day and 200-day moving averages—the medium-term structure remains intact, but the short-term moving averages are starting to flatten or even cross downward.
The 4-hour and 1-hour charts have formed descending channels/compression patterns. Trading volume has contracted compared with the rally period.
Both bulls and bears are waiting—for CPI, and for direction.
First: the upgrade + RWA, with macro factors overshadowing the bullish news
On September 9, the Transaction V1 upgrade went live. The size of a single transaction increased from 1232 bytes to 4096 bytes, roughly 3x.
In plain English: Solana can handle more complex applications, making RWA, tokenized stocks, and institutional settlement more convenient.
Over the past year, Solana processed approximately $14.7 billion in real-world asset transactions, with holders surpassing 400,000.
But the market is pretending not to see it. Because ETF inflows slowed sharply last week, while macro risk appetite declined.
Second: macro factors are the short-term boss
BTC has repeatedly tested support near $78,000, while total market capitalization edged lower from $2.67-$2.76 trillion.
Oil prices broke above $100 amid geopolitical tensions and tensions with Iran.
The 10-year US Treasury yield exceeded 4.8%.
The probability of a rate hike at the Fed's next meeting rose to around 60%.
Spot BTC ETFs have seen consecutive outflows, while derivatives have recorded several hundred million dollars in liquidations.
US August CPI on September 11 is the biggest short-term catalyst.
If CPI is soft, risk assets rebound and SOL could surge directly above 105.
If CPI is hot, rate-hike expectations will rise, and SOL could first plunge to 97 or even 93.
Third: technically, $100 is the dividing line
Holding $100 and breaking above 102 with increased volume would create an opportunity to challenge 105+ again.
A high-volume break below $100 would most likely accelerate a test of 97-98, or even 93-95.
Support:
$100 psychological level (key) → 97.5-99 demand zone → 93-95 → 50-day moving average around 86
Resistance:
102-103 → 105-107 (recent highs/dense trading zone) → 120 (some analysts' medium-term target)
The bull-bear showdown—you decide
On one side:
Transaction V1 upgrade goes live, RWA continues to grow
Whales are buying, Circle is minting USDC, and Alpenglow is anticipated in October
Price remains above the 50-day/200-day moving averages, with the medium-term structure intact
The monthly chart is still up 33%; the August rebound trend is not dead
On the other side:
BTC repeatedly testing $78K, with consecutive ETF outflows
Oil at $100, Treasury yields at 4.8%, and a 60% rate-hike probability
ETF inflows slowing, with short-term moving averages flattening/crossing downward
Liquidity tightening ahead of CPI, with several hundred million dollars in derivatives liquidations
Trading strategy
Short term:
If $100 holds, cautiously try long positions on dips with light exposure, a stop-loss below 97.5, and a target of 102-105.
If $100 breaks with increased volume, stay on the sidelines or take light short positions, targeting 97-95, with a stop-loss above 102.
Medium term:
If a higher low forms in the 100-97 range and macro conditions do not deteriorate further, it can be viewed as a buy-the-dip zone for the continuation of the August rebound, with positions built in batches.
Reduce positions if the daily chart breaks below 93-95 invalidly.
SOL must first stabilize above 105 before it can challenge 120.
You are afraid of SOL falling below 100; the market makers are afraid you will not hand over your chips.
SOL has not collapsed—your position and mindset have.
CPI is not data; it is a shakeout machine.
Do not bet your life before the news; surviving is what gives you a chance at the next wave.
Whales are buying while you are selling at a loss—that is the difference.?
At $100, can you hold the line? Will you add to your position or run after CPI? #美国8月PPI录得5.4%高于预期 #苹果发布会 $BTC $ETH $SOL

𝗚𝗮𝘁𝗲 × 𝗖𝗡𝗣𝗬 𝗖𝗮𝗻𝗱𝘆𝗗𝗿𝗼𝗽 𝗶𝘀 𝗟𝗜𝗩𝗘 🔥
The latest CandyDrop campaign is now live, giving users a chance to participate in the 851,200 CNPY prize pool through simple eligible tasks.
Key details:
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• Campaign: CNPY CandyDrop
• Participation: Complete the required tasks on Gate
• BTC Prediction: Predict the BTC price for September 18, 12:00 UTC
• Extra Rewards: Predictions closest to the actual BTC price can qualify for additional rewards
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Think BTC will be higher or lower by September 18? Share your prediction and let’s see who gets closest.
Join here:
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Checking out Canopy Network ( $CNPY ) it's an AI-native chain built for AI-assisted development. Basically, you can use tools like Claude Code, Cursor, and Codex to build onchain apps fast, using normal programming languages instead of learning blockchain-specific frameworks.
That's a real problem solved for a lot of builders who don't want the steep learning curve.
Gate just launched a CandyDrop for CNPY with a solid reward pool. There's also a BTC prediction side event, guess where $BTC lands on Sep 18, 12 UTC, and the closest 200 predictions get extra rewards.
Simple to join if you're on Gate already👇
Not financial advice, just sharing since the tech angle here seems legit.
#GateBooster #CandyDrop #CNPY

What if one campaign gave you two different ways to participate?
Gate × CNPY CandyDrop and the BTC Prediction campaign are now live, with 851,200 $CNPY in the referenced prize pool.
1. CandyDrop Tasks
2. BTC price prediction campaign
My $BTC prediction: $79,850
What is yours?
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This round of the on-chain bull market doesn’t belong to diamond hands and PvP traders. It belongs to big players who cast a wide net + diamond hands + narcissists + paranoids.

U.S. August PPI Growth Exceeds Expectations, Still Well Above the Fed’s Inflation Target
U.S. Wholesale Prices Rose in August
The Released PPI Report May Play an Important Role in the Fed’s Upcoming Interest Rate Decision
Data showed that August PPI rose 0.4% month-over-month on a seasonally adjusted basis, in line with market expectations, and rose 5.4% year-over-year, still well above the Fed’s 2% inflation target and 0.1 percentage points higher than market expectations.
Expectations for an Interest Rate Hike Are Still Rising!
bitcoin:native

1. For the crypto community, ARC’s mainnet launch is not a case of the boots finally hitting the ground. It is more like a test of what has been achieved—to see what ARC can do after the mainnet goes live. To be honest, we haven’t seen a chain like ARC in the crypto market before. The chains that previously gained popularity in crypto were all about memes. Let’s see how ARC performs and whether it has any imagination. Its performance after the mainnet launch will determine the crypto community’s mid-term trend;

BTC at $77,800—what are you afraid of?
Look at the surface first: bad news is piling up, and retail traders are getting weak-kneed.
Over the past week, BTC has fallen 5% from its $82,284 high, dropping 0.3%-2% over 24 hours, and is now stuck around $77,800. ETFs have posted $167 million in net outflows for two consecutive days, oil has broken above $100, the 10-year US Treasury yield has surged to 4.85%, and Germany is also planning to tax crypto.
$77,700-$77,900 is a short-term demand zone, with moderate volume and no panic selling. Don’t cut losses at support; wait for CPI to come in before making a decision.
First: ETF outflows totaled $167 million, but don’t let that scare you senseless.
US spot BTC ETFs have posted $167 million in net outflows for two consecutive days, ending three weeks of strong inflows. ARKB led the decline.
Cumulative ETF net inflows still stand at $55 billion. Two days of $167 million in outflows is not even a rounding error. Institutions are merely rebalancing and waiting on the sidelines ahead of CPI, not liquidating and running for the exits.
Second: On-chain data doesn’t lie—long-term holders haven’t run at all.
More than 71% of BTC’s supply is in unrealized profit, with 1.07 million BTC sitting above the cost basis and “playing dead.” Selling pressure from long-term holders has fallen to its lowest level in nearly a month, BTC dominance is at 58.6%, and capital is rotating into BTC while altcoins and Memes are falling even harder.
Seasoned traders haven’t sold, while new traders are cutting losses
Capital hasn’t left; it has merely retreated from altcoins into BTC
The post-halving supply-contraction logic remains valid over the long term
Third: Technically, price has reached a critical “break-or-make” level.
The daily MACD has formed a bearish crossover, RSI has pulled back from overbought territory, and the 4-hour chart is moving through a descending channel/flag while testing $77,700-$77,900 support. From the June low of $58,000 to $82,000, BTC rose 40%, and is now pulling back 5%—that is normal breathing room in a bull market, not a trend reversal.
Tomorrow’s CPI is the fuse. Hot data means a sell-off followed by a rebound; mild data means a direct bounce.
Support: $77,700-$77,900 (current), $77,300 (liquidation cluster), $76,500-$77,000, $74,500 (EMA200)
Resistance: $79,000-$79,100, $80,000-$82,200 (previous high + psychological level)
Look at the battle between bulls and bears yourself
On one side:
$55 billion in cumulative ETF net inflows; institutions have not moved their core positions
Long-term-holder selling pressure has hit a one-month low
71% of supply is in profit, with 1.07M BTC sitting idle
BTC dominance is at 58.6%, with capital concentrating in the leader
$77,700-$77,900 is the recent low + demand zone
On the other side:
$167 million in short-term ETF outflows, with sentiment leaning bearish
Oil above $100, rising inflation expectations, and possible delays to rate cuts
A bearish daily MACD crossover and weakening momentum
If CPI comes in hotter than expected, another sell-off may follow
German taxation + the approaching CLARITY Act vote are adding regulatory noise
Trading strategy
For short-term traders:
If BTC stabilizes on shrinking volume or forms a hammer around $77,800, cautiously go long with a small position, set a stop-loss below $77,300, and target $79,000-$80,000. If it breaks below $77,600-$77,300 on heavy volume, don’t fight it; stay on the sidelines or cautiously short rebounds, targeting $76,500.
For swing traders:
The medium-term trend remains intact. Holding $76,500-$77,000 and reclaiming $80,000 would signal another attempt higher, with a target of $85,000+. A break below $76,000 would require reassessment and could lead to a retest near $72,000.
For long-term believers:
Use dollar-cost averaging in batches below $77,800. BTC is still the same BTC: post-halving supply contraction + the institutional ETF channel + the digital-gold narrative—none of it has changed. The target for the end of 2026 is $100,000+, betting on the return of the rate-cut cycle.
BTC right now looks just like the low-volume consolidation before every CPI release in 2024—
99% of people are too scared by macro data to act, only for a single bullish candle to pull price back to $80,000 after the data is released.
The moment CPI is released, you’ll realize:
The bull market didn’t end; you were shaken out again.
At $77,800, do you dare buy the dip? #Gate主流CEXTop4 #苹果发布会 #GateUS与RQDClearing达成战略合作 $BTC $ETH $SOL

Can you hold on with ETH at $2,465?
Look at the surface first: three weeks of narrow-range consolidation, with retail investors pushed to the breaking point.
From the August rebound until now, ETH has been grinding back and forth within the narrow 2,430-2,540 corridor. The 24-hour change is so small you could fall asleep watching the chart, volume is shrinking, group chats are quiet, and no one is discussing ETH on Twitter. You start to wonder: Is this thing really finished?
First: ETFs are buying quietly, but you’re only watching the price and cursing at it.
U.S. spot ETH ETFs saw net inflows of $34.75 million yesterday, with BlackRock’s staking product contributing the most and reversing the previous day’s outflows.
Institutions aren’t here to trade short-term; they’re here to accumulate.
ETH treasury companies such as BitMine now hold nearly 5% of the circulating supply.
The staking queue shows demand to enter, while exits are close to zero—no one wants to sell.
Second: Ethereum is preparing something big; you’re just too impatient.
Vitalik has just proposed EIP-828 for quantum resistance and private transactions. The Glamsterdam upgrade is targeted for the Q4 mainnet, focusing on L1 scaling, parallel execution, and ePBS. SGX has received CFTC approval, allowing U.S. institutions to trade ETH perpetuals directly.
Ethereum is quietly becoming an institutional-grade settlement layer.
Quantum resistance + privacy + scalability—the three cards are being played together.
Traditional capital channels are opening, and incremental capital is on the way.
Third: Technically, the market has reached a moment when it must choose a direction.
After three weeks of consolidation, the price is compressed into 2,430-2,540. RSI is neutral, MACD is flat, and volume is shrinking—this is a classic “night before the directional breakout.”
A weekly close above 2,550 would directly open up the 2,800-3,000 range. A break below 2,350 resets everything.
Key levels:
Support: 2,460-2,470 (current), 2,435-2,445, 2,350-2,360 (structural support)
Resistance: 2,520-2,535 (repeatedly rejected), 2,550 (the make-or-break level)
You decide who wins the bull-bear battle.
On one side:
ETF inflows continue, and institutional allocation is ongoing.
BitMine’s holdings are nearing 5%, while staking exits are close to zero.
The Glamsterdam upgrade is expected to land in Q4.
The 50/200 EMA golden cross remains intact, and the medium-term structure has not broken.
On the other side:
BTC is facing resistance at 78k, and the broader market is unstable.
Oil prices remain high, and rate-hike expectations are heating up.
Friday’s CPI + next week’s FOMC—two bombs.
2,550 has failed three times, creating enormous psychological pressure.
Trading strategy
Short-term traders:
Use 2,460-2,470 as the range midpoint. If 2,460 holds, cautiously enter long with a small position, place a stop-loss below 2,435, and target 2,520-2,535. If 2,430 breaks, turn bearish and target 2,350. If 2,550 breaks and holds, chase the long and target 2,600-2,700.
Swing traders:
If the macro environment does not deteriorate and ETF inflows continue, the current consolidation is healthy digestion after August’s rally. Add to positions after a break above 2,550 and target 2,800-3,000. Reassess after an invalid break below 2,350; a retest of 2,200 is possible.
Long-term believers:
Dollar-cost average in batches below 2,460. ETH is the core settlement layer for smart contracts, L2s, stablecoins, and RWAs, while staking yield + deflation + application-layer narratives are attractive to institutions. The target for the end of 2026 is 3,000-3,500.
ETH now feels like Bitcoin in 2020—
99% of people thought it was “too big to keep rising,” but after the ETF was approved, it went straight from $40k to $70k.
The day 2,550 breaks, you’ll realize:
It wasn’t that Ethereum was finished—it was that you couldn’t endure three weeks of sideways trading.
At 2,465, are you still on board? #Gate主流CEXTop4 #苹果发布会 #GateUS与RQDClearing达成战略合作 $BTC $ETH $SOL

The previous version focused on AI and novelty—concepts that couldn’t be implemented. This version focuses on mechanisms that can be implemented and deliver value back to users.

Bitcoin seems really hard to push higher now
$BTC

IOST at $0.00109—do you still dare hold it?
Look at the surface first: a burn-driven bullish catalyst, a sudden spike, then a plunge.
On September 8, the foundation burned 70 million tokens. Once the news broke, IOST surged violently from around 0.0005, then shot directly to 0.0024 on September 9–10, nearly quadrupling. Then what? It gave back 50% in one day and is now at 0.00109.
24-hour trading volume exploded to hundreds of millions of dollars, while futures volume briefly exceeded $2 billion. Funding rates turned extremely negative, and after shorts were squeezed out, the market quickly reversed.
First point: burning 70 million tokens sounds impressive, but you may be getting misled by the number.
70 million tokens are worth just over $70,000 at the current price. IOST has a circulating supply of 35.39 billion, a total supply of 48.8 billion, and a maximum supply of 90 billion.
The burn accounts for only 0.2%—not even enough to make a ripple.
The official explanation is that this is long-term token management, but bluntly speaking—the symbolic significance is greater than the actual deflationary impact. An old coin trying to turn things around with a single burn? Don’t be naive. In this rally, the burn was merely the match that lit the fire; the real drivers were futures capital and short squeezes.
Second point: IOST is an old coin from 2018. It’s alive, but it lost its hype long ago.
It uses the Proof of Believability consensus mechanism and is a high-TPS service-oriented public chain with roots in the Japanese market, while also exploring RWA and enterprise applications. The team has made some recent updates as well: IOST Agent, the Ivem SDK, security audits, browser optimization, and participation in Japan’s WebX.
But then what? Its on-chain ecosystem, developer activity, and narrative momentum are far behind those of mainstream L1s/L2s. Its market cap is down to just $37 million, and it is close to falling out of the top 200.
Third point: the technicals have already sent a signal, but you may still be fantasizing.
After rebounding from the August low of 0.00053 to a spike high of 0.0024, it retraced 55% to 0.00109. The daily chart remains in a medium-term rebound structure, but the short-term trend has shifted from extremely overbought to a correction.
Volume: It fell after the massive volume on the spike day. If it moves sideways on declining volume, the market can still digest the move; if it breaks below 0.00100 on rising volume, the next stop is 0.00090.
Support: 0.00100–0.00102 (psychological level + recent low) → 0.00090–0.00095 → 0.00053 (August low)
Resistance: 0.00120–0.00125 → 0.00150 → 0.00180–0.00200 (dense previous-high zone)
You decide who wins the bull-bear battle
On one side:
Burn-driven bullish catalyst + negative funding rates + demand for an oversold rebound
The team continues low-intensity development, with roots in the Japanese market
7-day/30-day gains remain substantial, and the medium-term structure has not been completely broken
On the other side:
The burn accounts for only 0.2%, with limited substantive impact
The old coin’s ecosystem is weak, with little narrative momentum
Profit-taking after the spike + heavy pressure from leveraged position liquidations
US CPI is due tomorrow, and risk appetite could tighten
Heavy overhead supply from holders trapped at the previous high of 0.0024
Trading strategy
Short term:
If a long lower wick and stabilization on declining volume appear at 0.00105–0.00110, a long position can be cautiously attempted, with a stop-loss at 0.00098 and a target of 0.00120–0.00130. If it breaks below 0.001 on rising volume, don’t catch a falling knife—wait and reassess at 0.0009.
Medium term:
Unless there is sustained improvement in on-chain data or a larger ecosystem rollout, this rally is simply a one-off liquidity event. Wait for a sharp pullback to 0.0008–0.0009 alongside supportive macro conditions, then observe in batches, keeping the position strictly below 1%.
This IOST rally is a classic old-coin script—
News lights the fire → futures drive the rally → shorts get squeezed → retail chases the top → profit-taking crashes the price → total carnage.
99% of people see the burn and rush in, only to get trapped at the 0.0024 peak.
The day 0.00100 breaks, you’ll realize:
Old-coin rallies are never meant to help you break even; they are meant to make you believe there is still hope, then bury you even deeper.
At 0.00109, do you still dare hold it? #Gate全球首发股票事件合约 #苹果发布会 #GateUS与RQDClearing达成战略合作 $BTC $ETH $IOST

99.9% of projects on the market, whether altcoins or memecoins, are only pumping to dump, with no exceptions. Once you establish this logic, all that remains is having enough money and strong enough nerves—even if you miss the upside, you can still feast on the downside.

Tesla Gets Crushed, Creating a No-Brainer Buy Zone; Bitcoin Is Getting Ready to Take Off:
1. The S&P 500 $SPY
is currently stuck at high levels while pretending to be bullish. Although the moving averages are providing support and things look decent, a divergence has already appeared on the weekly chart. A pullback to shake things out and clear weak hands is inevitable sooner or later, so don't blindly chase the highs.
2. The Nasdaq $QQQ
has been stuck in a sluggish sideways range for the past month. Tomorrow's CPI inflation data will be a make-or-break moment. If the data comes in badly, it will have to head down to the 200-day moving average for some safety.
3. Bitcoin $BTC
has held the $70,000 level like a rock. The large bullish engulfing candle on the weekly chart has already signaled that it's ready to take off at any moment. Any pullback is a golden opportunity to buy.
4. Apple's $AAPL
product-launch hype pushed the stock slightly higher in premarket trading. The price is a little expensive, but if you're already in, just sit tight. Its long-term leadership position is rock-solid.
5. Amazon $AMZN
is pulling back to a key support level after a huge earnings beat. For those who missed the initial move, this pullback is a great opportunity to get in.
6. Google's $GOOG
trend looks a little shaky. If short-term support fails to hold, it may need to find a bottom around the low $200s. However, from a long-term perspective, it remains a promising stock with strong profit potential.
7. Dell $DELL
is holding major orders and posted spectacular results, but technically it has already hit the ceiling and a divergence has appeared on the weekly chart. Chasing the highs now carries extremely high risk, so just hold on to your core position.
8. Those who bought Intel $INTC
in the low $20s are already enjoying the rewards. It is currently climbing steadily while holding support, and its uptrend has just begun to open up.
9. Meta's $META
monthly chart has formed a perfect flag pattern and is building momentum for a breakout. As long as it breaks through the channel resistance with the trend, a run straight to a new all-time high is no dream.
10. Microsoft's $MSFT
weekly chart has printed a beautiful large bullish engulfing candle, making it a promising dip-buying candidate in the software sector. Buying on weakness should work out fine.
11. Those who bought Palantir $PLTR
in the $60s are already counting their money. It is now pulling back to digest profit-taking, but confidence in the software sector remains intact. The pullback is simply an opportunity to get in.
12. The energy sector $XLE
has made new highs, but the wedge-top divergence is somewhat alarming. Do not become exit liquidity now. Just hold on to your low-cost positions and watch the show.
13. Nvidia's $NVDA
bearish divergence is becoming increasingly obvious, and the stock is starting to wobble at elevated levels. It may still squeeze out a marginal new high in the short term, but overall it has already entered the late stage of its cycle and could see a deep squat at any time to shake things out and reset the indicators. Hold for now and don't chase the highs; consider buying after a pullback.
14. Tesla $TSLA
follows a historical pattern: whenever the stock price crashes to around or below the 200-week moving average, it is an unquestionable no-brainer buying opportunity. Buy the dip in batches with your eyes closed. I'm bullish on Cybercab's future, so any weakness is a buy.
15. AMD $AMD
is consolidating in a bull flag and building momentum for a breakout, with a very complete overall bull-market structure. Continue holding with confidence. Any major pullback toward the weekly moving average will be a perfect opportunity to add.
16. Alibaba $BABA
is sitting right on its 200-week moving average. Those looking to build exposure to Chinese or international stocks can slowly start a small position. However, the chart really doesn't look very good, so it can only be considered a backup candidate.
17. Bloom Energy $BE
has successfully joined the S&P 500 index, and support at the 200-day moving average is extremely strong. As long as the stock pulls back into the support zone, it is a buying opportunity. The overall uptrend remains healthy.
18. ARM $ARM
is a textbook double-bottom pattern on the weekly chart, with very solid support at the weekly moving average. The current level offers an excellent risk-reward ratio and is in a bottoming zone, so continue building a position on weakness.
19. Qualcomm $QCOM
has continued to form higher lows on the monthly chart and has been repeatedly consolidating near the monthly moving average. A major bottom is essentially confirmed, and all it needs now is a catalyst for a rebound.
20. No matter how much bad news the market throws at Super Micro Computer $SMCI
, it simply cannot break through this bottom. It is currently consolidating strongly, and its price action looks very much like Zeta before a massive rally. The base is extremely solid.
21. IonQ $IONQ
is the undisputed leader in quantum computing and is currently in a deeply discounted golden zone. If you believe in the future of quantum computing, now is a golden period to build a position in batches.

Go aggressively all-in during the early stages of the market, then play cautiously to protect against drawdowns later. If you always do a poor job of preventing drawdowns, do the math first:
Assume you have 50,000 U in principal. You trade brilliantly and predict the market correctly, making 4x on one market move in a month. You now have 200,000 U, a 4x return, or 400%;
But with 200,000 U, a 20% drawdown means losing 40,000 U, leaving you with 160,000 U, or 3x;
A 30% drawdown means losing 60,000 U, leaving you with 140,000 U, less than 3x;

1. Energy prices in August were higher than in July, so the CPI to be released this week should theoretically also be higher than July’s, strengthening expectations of a rate hike.
2. Last week’s strong nonfarm payrolls data also strengthened expectations of a rate hike.
3. Warsh’s current stance is that before major political events, the Federal Reserve should avoid making decisions with significant impact.
4. After the nonfarm payrolls data was released, Trump called for rate cuts, and Bessent also called for rate cuts.
5. Warsh’s hawkish remarks have consistently emphasized the 2% inflation target, fueling market expectations of a rate hike.
Although the data above suggests that the probability of a September rate hike is higher than that of no hike.
However, whether from the perspective of human relationships and social dynamics or the current global situation, a rate hike in September is highly unlikely. There is one other low-probability possibility: if Trump has no hope of winning the election, Warsh could turn against him and raise rates slightly to prove the Federal Reserve’s independence.