GregMiller

$BTC is back at a familiar point in the cycle.
The monthly candle closed below the 50 MA, and the MACD is now at its weakest level since the last bear market. In the past, this is where fear was highest, but it also marked good accumulation areas.
At the same time, the macro picture is getting better:
• ISM PMI is at a 4-year high
• Oil is below $68.50, helping ease inflation
• Job openings are at a 2-year high
If the 4-year cycle plays out again, the next 2–3 months could be the last good accumulation phase before the next big move.
The key level to watch is $62.6K (200W MA). A move above it

$BTC is back at a familiar point in the cycle.
The monthly candle closed below the 50 MA, and the MACD is now at its weakest level since the last bear market. In the past, this is where fear was highest, but it also marked good accumulation areas.
At the same time, the macro picture is getting better:
• ISM PMI is at a 4-year high
• Oil is below $68.50, helping ease inflation
• Job openings are at a 2-year high
If the 4-year cycle plays out again, the next 2–3 months could be the last good accumulation phase before the next big move.
The key level to watch is $62.6K (200W MA). A move above it

Looking at this 3-week $BTC chart and something is hard to ignore.
Back in 2022, the white MA crossed below the blue, and within two months Bitcoin printed a capitulation candle down −30.03% before finding any real bottom.
That same "white crossing blue" setup is forming again right now.
From current levels near $60K, a −30.70% move puts price directly in the $42K–$43K range.
The scary part? Capitulation hasn't even happened yet. This is just the setup phase.

Looking at this 3-week $BTC chart and something is hard to ignore.
Back in 2022, the white MA crossed below the blue, and within two months Bitcoin printed a capitulation candle down −30.03% before finding any real bottom.
That same "white crossing blue" setup is forming again right now.
From current levels near $60K, a −30.70% move puts price directly in the $42K–$43K range.
The scary part? Capitulation hasn't even happened yet. This is just the setup phase.

$DOT hit an ATH of $55 back in 2021. Today it's sitting at $0.81.
If you put $10,000 in at the peak, your portfolio is worth $136 right now.
That's a 98.5% drawdown over 4 years from a top-10 project with real technology and serious backing. Not some random memecoin. @Polkadot
This is why entry point matters more than almost anything else in crypto. The best project in the world can still destroy your portfolio if you buy at the wrong time.
Do your research. Manage your position sizes. And never put in money you aren't prepared to lose entirely.

$DOT hit an ATH of $55 back in 2021. Today it's sitting at $0.81.
If you put $10,000 in at the peak, your portfolio is worth $136 right now.
That's a 98.5% drawdown over 4 years from a top-10 project with real technology and serious backing. Not some random memecoin. @Polkadot
This is why entry point matters more than almost anything else in crypto. The best project in the world can still destroy your portfolio if you buy at the wrong time.
Do your research. Manage your position sizes. And never put in money you aren't prepared to lose entirely.

Crypto is the most undervalued it has ever been.
Look at the 1M RSI. KOSPI pushing highs. Gold near highs. NASDAQ and SP500 both recovered. Bitcoin RSI still at the bottom.
Every major asset has already moved. Crypto hasn't.
When liquidity rotates, the catch up rally will be insane.

Crypto is the most undervalued it has ever been.
Look at the 1M RSI. KOSPI pushing highs. Gold near highs. NASDAQ and SP500 both recovered. Bitcoin RSI still at the bottom.
Every major asset has already moved. Crypto hasn't.
When liquidity rotates, the catch up rally will be insane.

$BTC dropped $3,800, liquidated $300M in longs, retested the June 5 low at $59,100, then bounced $2,700 in the same session.
Yearly low touched. Panic cleared. Price closed back above $61K.
$59K has now been tested twice. Third time will be the real answer.

$BTC dropped $3,800, liquidated $300M in longs, retested the June 5 low at $59,100, then bounced $2,700 in the same session.
Yearly low touched. Panic cleared. Price closed back above $61K.
$59K has now been tested twice. Third time will be the real answer.

US and Iran just agreed on a 60-day roadmap for a final deal in Switzerland.
Strait of Hormuz communication line active. Lebanon deconfliction mechanism done. 18 hours of talks that almost fell apart midway.
Markets already reacted. Oil down $4. Bitcoin back above $64K. Nikkei all-time high. Gold at $4,200.
This is what risk-off to risk-on looks like in real time.
War premium coming off oil means inflation pressure easing means capital rotating back into risk assets.
Not saying it's over. 60 days is still 60 days. But the map exists now.
Watch this space

US and Iran just agreed on a 60-day roadmap for a final deal in Switzerland.
Strait of Hormuz communication line active. Lebanon deconfliction mechanism done. 18 hours of talks that almost fell apart midway.
Markets already reacted. Oil down $4. Bitcoin back above $64K. Nikkei all-time high. Gold at $4,200.
This is what risk-off to risk-on looks like in real time.
War premium coming off oil means inflation pressure easing means capital rotating back into risk assets.
Not saying it's over. 60 days is still 60 days. But the map exists now.
Watch this space

Everyone keeps talking about stablecoins lately. And I get why people are confused, because if you've heard of crypto, you've heard about volatility. Prices going up 20% one day, down 30% the next. So what exactly is a "stable" coin?
Let me break it down simply.
A stablecoin is a type of digital asset designed to maintain a relatively stable value, usually pegged to something like the US dollar. So instead of a price that moves wildly, one stablecoin is generally meant to stay close to $1. That's the basic idea.
Now why is this suddenly getting so much global attention?
Because people are star

A whale just spent $16.55M USDC to buy 234,898 $SOL at $70.5 avg 7 hours ago.
Routed through Wintermute, Jupiter, BisonFi and Tessera to avoid slippage.
This isn't retail. Someone's accumulating quietly.

A whale just spent $16.55M USDC to buy 234,898 $SOL at $70.5 avg 7 hours ago.
Routed through Wintermute, Jupiter, BisonFi and Tessera to avoid slippage.
This isn't retail. Someone's accumulating quietly.

When was the last time you actually paid cash for something?
Think about it. A few years ago, pulling out your phone to pay felt like a novelty. Today, not having a digital payment option feels like the inconvenience.
This shift didn't happen overnight. It built gradually, quietly, and now it's just normal life for most people.
Mobile wallets, contactless payments, online transfers, digital banking... these aren't futuristic concepts anymore. They're how people order food, pay bills, send money to family, and shop. The infrastructure for moving money digitally has become part of everyday life