When will the bottom form before the halving?❓
Historical cycle bottoms typically occur about 17 months (16.9–17.8 months) before the next halving:
January 2015 low → about 542 days before the 2016 halving
December 2018 low → about 513 days before the 2020 halving
November 2022 low → about 516 days before the 2024 halving
The timing of all three bottoms is highly concentrated, with only about 29 days between them
When will the top form after the halving?❓
Mature cycles (since 2016) have shown highly consistent tops, occurring 525–546 days (about 17–18 months) after the halving:
2016 halving →

BLG really did win the championship—will she keep her promise?

$ETH ‌

🚨 $230 BILLION wiped from crypto in just 24 hours.
Here's the damage:
1. bitcoin:native : -6.74%
2. $ETH : -9.36%
3. $BNB : -9.34%
4. $XRP : -10.92%
5. $SOL : -11.79%
Is this a buying opportunity or the start of a deeper correction?

Hope the good luck keeps coming. Got lucky this time and have been riding shorts the whole way.
How are you all doing, guys? $BTC

Why are the Backers With $15 Billion No Longer Investing Only in Crypto?
[Plain-language guide] At an LP dinner bringing together $15 billion in capital, crypto’s accelerated shift toward frontier technologies such as AI and robotics became the central topic.
Constrained by the scale of fund returns and talent being drawn elsewhere, major crypto VCs are broadening their investment horizons, while the industry itself is moving beyond its early blind exuberance to focus squarely on Wall Street, payments, and financial infrastructure.
This is not the decline of crypto, but an essential path to ma

The Crypto Fear & Greed Index has fallen to 14, nearing historic lows.

Good morning, once the trend plays out,
watch my video again.
Then think about the following:
Normal trend: those who understand technical analysis and the major players drive the market together, harvesting those who don’t understand technical analysis.
Abnormal trend: after the technically clueless retail traders have been wiped out, the technically savvy ones who think “it’s reached the target” get harvested next.
So in my trading system, there’s ultimately no such thing as “it’s reached the target.”

PONS | Short 🔴 | Bearish | 15-minute, 24-hour change: -21.90% | Volume: 34.9M USDT. Short rationale: Price below EMA200; EMA20/50/200 are bearishly aligned; RSI14 is 31.4; MACD histogram is negative; ADX14 is 52.3; volume is 0.67x the 20-candle average; trend pullback/continuation. Entry: 0.112 Stop-loss: 0.117898 Take-profit 1: 0.104628 | Take-profit 2: 0.100205 | Take-profit 3: 0.0943075 For reference only as an entry price; do not chase the trade. The strategy is invalidated if the stop-loss level is hit. Technical analysis only; not financial advice. $PONS

The early-session weakness continues, and the tentative small positions in SNDK, SKHYNIX, and DOGE have mostly turned red. I won’t add to them for now and will stay on the sidelines.
Position overview: $SNDK : Entry average 896.7, current price 843.4, unrealized loss of -0.47U (ROI -59.41%). 10x cross-margin long, maintenance margin ratio 1150.66%. $SKHYNIX : Entry average 861.6, current price 867.6, unrealized gain of +0.01U (ROI +1.41%). 2x cross-margin long, maintenance margin ratio 1150.66%. $DOGE : Entry average 0.072, current price 0.05626, unrealized loss of -3.93U (ROI -21.86%). 1x cro

[On-Chain Truth] BTC is down 24%; whales are buying the dip, but mid-sized holders are selling even harder
CryptoQuant’s latest on-chain data shows that during this Bitcoin downturn of about **24%**:
• Whales (holding at least 1,000 BTC) added about 47k BTC in total (wallets holding 1,000–10k BTC added 43.7k)
• Mid-sized holders (100–1,000 BTC) instead reduced their holdings by 50.5k BTC
• **Small-to-mid-sized holders (10–100 BTC)** reduced their holdings by another 14.4k BTC
As a result, 30-day apparent demand plunged to **-284k BTC**, its weakest level since April 2025.
What stings even m

This is what happens when you tough it out—I feel like I'm dying

$BTC $ETH $BNB
Great! Aoying Capital is buying the Bitcoin dip. My long position may be saved! Surely even the big players aren’t trapped too, right?😆

BTC vs Alt Comparison from July lows!
bitcoin:native up 10% 👀
#NIGHT 207% 🔥🔥🔥
#ZEC up 240% 🔥🔥🔥
#ETH up 17% 👀
#XRP down -8% 🤬
#BNB up 7% 👀
#XMR up 67% 🤢
#DOGE down -17% 🤬

KPMG's 2025 audit of Tether Gold covered $2.246B of gold backing 520,089.300 tokens at December 31.
Announced November 12, the clean opinion included physical verification of the gold inventory, adding Big Four scrutiny to tokenized bullion.
@tether

Kept reducing the position all the way down from 2500

In tough times, here are some words of wisdom from billionaire investor and Bridgewater Associates founder Ray Dalio.

5 important lessons

1. Mistakes are part of success. You cannot live an extraordinary life without experiencing setbacks, failures and painful situations.

2. Reflect objectively. When something goes wrong, don't simply blame circumstances or other people. Examine what happened and understand your role in it.

3. Learn from every painful experience. Ask yourself what you could do differently next time.

4. Seek advice from strong people. Surround yourself with people whose st

$APT This -17.89% bearish candle was a script I drew up last week. Don’t rush to buy the dip—first, watch how I, as the “market maker,” play this hand.
Step one: I drove the price from 0.5376 to 0.4271 in 24 hours, with 59.9M in trading volume. Volume didn’t explode, but the price collapsed. What does that tell you? Thin liquidity and sparse orders—I can crash the market with just a few million dollars and trigger panic selling. Step two: I deliberately left a needle at the 0.4271 low, making short sellers think the trend would continue, while I was actually using iceberg orders to accumulate