#美国9月CPI超预期 The U.S. September CPI released tonight came in well above expectations across the board. The market will immediately reprice the probability of a Fed rate hike in October, and Bitcoin will likely come under pressure in the short term.
How far did inflation exceed expectations
Data released at 20:30 Beijing time showed:
· Headline CPI rose 3.7% year-on-year, up from 3.4% previously
· Core CPI rose 2.6% year-on-year, up from 2.4% previously
· Core CPI rose 0.3% month-on-month, above expectations of 0.2%
This means the market’s previous expectation of “moderating core inflation” has

This round keeps only 6 strong signals: Lobster, US, and WAL, with 2 longs and 4 shorts. Watch volume and structure first before acting. Last round had 3 wins and 3 losses with a 9.4% drawdown; the current average across four positions is -0.3%. Observe first and wait for confirmation.
━━━ Market View ━━━BTC $8,603 -2.3%, with short signals more concentrated; negative funding rate data is temporarily unavailable, and capital is still choosing a direction. Don’t chase the old leaderboard based on hype; only watch for recent volume expansion, and don’t chase before reaching the entry zone.
━━━ T

Strategy spent nearly 9x more on STRC buybacks than Bitcoin last week
Strategy (formerly MicroStrategy) acquired 250 Bitcoin for $21.5 million last week while repurchasing $192.4 million of its STRC preferred shares.
On Oct. 12, the Michael Saylor-founded company disclosed that it purchased just 250 Bitcoin for roughly $21.5 million between Oct. 5 and Oct. 11, continuing a slowdown that saw acquisitions fall to 334 BTC the previous week.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdra

#微策略两周回购3.69亿美元STRC Saylor's Calculus: Spending $369 million on Preferred Stock Buybacks Isn't for BTC—It's to "Keep the Financing Machine Alive"
Over the past two weeks (9/28-10/11), Strategy repurchased approximately $369 million of STRC preferred stock ($176.3 million + $192.4 million), while buying only about 584 BTC ($50.2 million) during the same period—the buyback was approximately 7 times the size of the coin purchases, pushing STRC's price close to its $100 face value.
Don't misunderstand: this doesn't mean Saylor no longer loves BTC (he still holds 848,000 BTC and continues to buy ev

Firefighter: I was almost done here, and now you pull this.

September CPI is here, and crude oil and Treasuries have pinned Bitcoin below 82,000.
Once last night's data came out, core inflation was 2.6%, higher than expected. Oil has been expensive for months, and now even airfares are rising with it. The odds of a rate hike at the end of the month suddenly doubled, Treasuries climbed back above 5.3%, and Bitcoin plunged from 83,800 all the way to its current 81,600.
Many people are asking where we go from here, so I’ll lay out the three possibilities, ranked by probability.
First, choppy trading between 80,000 and 84,000, with the highest probability

A price going up doesn’t always mean people are buying.
Sometimes it’s real buyers using their own money. Sometimes it’s traders betting with borrowed money. Both can push $BTC up the same way. But only one of them holds when the market gets scared.
One report said over $250 million of those bets on higher prices were forced to close after yesterday’s inflation news.
So when I see a big move, I ask one question: who is really behind it?
If buyers keep showing up on every dip, I feel better. If the price rises but fewer people are buying, I get careful.
When the market moves fast, do you ask wh

$PI
PI keeps bleeding lower and is trading below the 4H SuperTrend at $0.0827.
Support: $0.0775
Resistance: $0.0827 / $0.0860
Lose $0.0775 and $0.0750 comes into play. Reclaim $0.0827 and a bounce toward $0.0860 is possible.
Bears still have control. No reason to catch this knife yet.

Lots of photonic names look ready to fall off a cliff...
$TSM $KEYS $ANET $LITE

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The data center debt crisis is here
This is the chain reaction of the Treasury and the Fed
battling with their left and right brains
Keep raising rates, keep having fun
They’re already dancing on a tightrope
$crwv They’re not really going to bankrupt you, are they?
On the one hand, billions of dollars and tens of billions of dollars are being spent buying AI startups
On the other hand, data center companies are being driven into bankruptcy....

$DOGE Every cycle, people make the same mistakes.
They lose patience during the boring phase and sell too early, then buy back in out of fear of missing out when everything surges. Buy when the market falls, then hold. You will outperform most people.
$XAU
$DOGE U.S. Ethereum ETFs See 10 Straight Days of Outflows

$ZEC has entered the oversold zone; a rebound and a bottom are two different things
$ZEC 24-hour -4.12%, current price 1,154. The 1-hour and 4-hour RSI are 17 and 34, respectively. Oversold conditions create demand for a rebound, but a rebound only shows that the price fell sharply; a bottom still requires the price to stop damaging the structure.
Volume has not backed the move: current 1-hour volume is only 0.21 times the average volume of the previous 20 candles. Low volume can still move the price quickly, but sustainability must be proven by the next leg of the move. A single touch or a si

Buying one more lot of gold won’t leave me stuck, right😂... Let’s give it a try.

#美国9月CPI超预期 Bitcoin Faces a Fed Repricing Test as Inflation Hits 3.7%
The biggest risk after a hot CPI report is not always the first red candle. It is what happens when traders begin changing their expectations for interest rates.
On October 14, the U.S. September inflation report delivered a clear warning: price pressures are moving in the wrong direction. Headline CPI increased 3.7% year over year, up from 3.4% in August and above the 3.6% forecast. Monthly inflation accelerated to 0.6% from 0.4%. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, rose 2.6% annually and 0.3% monthly. These figures m

Forget all that—take the money off the table first. It isn't yours until it's in your account😁

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