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The “shock miss” in nonfarm payrolls hides something fishy, and Wall Street is in an uproar! Next week’s CPI is the ultimate verdict—retail investors, don’t get fooled by false signals
The U.S. July nonfarm payrolls report exploded.
The expectation was an increase of 80k—what was the result? A net decline of 23k. This was the third-largest monthly decline in nonfarm payrolls since 2020. Even more strikingly, May and June figures were revised down by a combined 103k.
But strangely, the unemployment rate actually fell from 4.2% to 4.1%.
Fewer jobs, yet a lower unemployment rate—these two figures
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ETH0.65%
SPYX0.65%
USIDX-0.34%
COING5.17%
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GateUser-ee50efd6:
Just full send it 👊
How could I leave Yangzhou without having a meal of Yangzhou fried rice😄
#FoodNotToBeMissed
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After the July nonfarm payrolls data was released, market expectations for Federal Reserve policy changed significantly.
Previously, many people were still worried: “Inflation isn’t over yet—will the Federal Reserve continue to stay hawkish?” Even two weeks ago, market expectations for a policy shift in September were still very low.
But after the employment data came out, the market began repricing: 📉 Rate hike expectations fell 📈 Rate cut expectations heated up. The market may be suffering from a kind of “inflation phobia.”
Many investors are still stuck in the mindset of the past high-inf
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ETH0.65%
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Everything loses to autumn Hà...
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#NFPShockSpikesRateCutOdds
A stronger-than-expected U.S. jobs report has suddenly reshaped the rate-cut debate, sending markets into a new phase of uncertainty. The latest Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) shock is forcing investors to reconsider how quickly the Federal Reserve may be willing to ease monetary policy.
The U.S. labor market remains one of the most important signals for global financial markets. When employment data surprises to the upside, it can reduce expectations for near-term interest-rate cuts because a resilient economy gives the Federal Reserve more room to keep monetary policy res
BTC0.87%
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GasArtist:
NFP unexpectedly came in strong, and the biggest impact is not the single-day market action, but that it casts doubt on the “rapid rate cuts” narrative. The rebound in risk assets over the past few months was partly built on expectations of looser liquidity; now that expectation has been pushed back, a pullback is simply normal pricing. For medium- to long-term players, this kind of macro noise happens to be a window for building positions—provided you are not heavily positioned, have cash on hand, and are not using high leverage. Watch the subsequent trends in inflation and unemployment, and don’t let a ten-minute candlestick dictate your moves.
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NFP Crashes -23K, Rate Cut Odds Flip Overnight
Jobs Engine Stalling · Gold +3% · US Futures Rally — Where Does the Money Go?
📉 NFP unexpectedly drops 23K, prior months revised down 103K, labor force participation at 61.4% — lowest since 1976
🔄 Sept rate hike odds plunge from 58% to 44%, 10Y yield falls — bad news = good news logic returns
🥇 Gold surges 3% to $4,368, silver +5% — biggest winner on dual safe-haven & rate bets
📈 US futures defy logic: NDX +1.04%, SPX +0.51% — growth valuation repair window opens
🔑 Next Wednesday CPI (Aug 13) is the confirmation:
👉 Inflation also softens → F
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BTC0.87%
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QueenOfTheDay:
To The Moon 🌕
Tuesday Shi Pan Summary
Respect the market and follow the trend.
Do not covet short-term explosive gains; pursue only steady compounding. Risk control always comes first. Move forward steadily and live up to the trust placed in us.
$XAUT #MoonshotAIPreIPOs开启
XAUT1.98%
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Live Trading Recap for Tuesday
Tuesday’s wide-range volatility looked frightening, but it was all opportunity.
I wasn’t shaken out; instead, I kept profiting back and forth within the range.
Held onto long positions, timed short exits accurately, and stayed perfectly in rhythm.
This kind of market is the ultimate test of skill, and today’s profits were captured just right.
When trading gold, staying steady is all that matters.#MoonshotAIPreIPOs开启 $XAUT
XAUT1.98%
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JUST IN: Atlassian led AI application software rally, up ~35% with peers like ASAN, NOW, MDB, CRM, PLTR, and WDAY also higher. If AI exposure remains bidirectional, broad tech names could keep lifting broader equity risk sentiment. $TEAM $PLTR $MDB $CRM $NOW
TEAM34.96%
NOW6.38%
MDB7.78%
CRM3.15%
PLTR10.26%
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$ZEC ‌This M arvin round is not following the trend—it is directly rewriting the MEME landscape.
Which dog beside Musk is ordinary? This wave on BSC is not merely aiming to replicate DOGE, but to directly reach the $10 billion club.
ZEC0.48%
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ChainResearchSociety-Brother:
In this world, us ordinary people really live worse than dogs😂Boss Ma’s dog is like the mythical Xiaotian Dog with an official position—so precious.
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$BTC
BTC SHORT POSITION CUT AS LIQUIDATION RISK RISES – TODAY'S MARKET UPDATE
A large Bitcoin short position has been partially closed after unrealized losses exceeded $1.5 million, highlighting how quickly leveraged trades can become dangerous when market momentum turns against them. According to Lookonchain, the trader originally opened a 1,600 BTC short position. To reduce liquidation pressure, 500 BTC, worth approximately $32.5 million, has now been closed, while a sizeable short position remains active.
As of today's market update, Bitcoin is trading around $64,700–$65,200, recovering
BTC0.86%
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🔥 24-day performance of the ETH grid bot: ETH grid returns +2.19%, 21 arbitrage trades!
📊 ETH/USDT spot grid:
• Invested 573 USDT, total returns +12.56 USDT
• Grid profit 5.84, unrealized P&L +6.72
• Price range 1500-2200, 27 grids, precisely capturing volatility
⚡ SNDKG/USDT latest price 0.8205, 36 grids on standby
⛔ SUI/USDT has moved out of range, trading suspended
Grid trading—the automatic harvesting machine in a sideways market! Set the range and let the profits run themselves~ 🚀
#网格交易 #加密货币 #量化交易 #ETH #USDT
ETH0.65%
SNDKG-4.18%
SUI0.13%
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🔥8.8 Market Update | Nonfarm Payrolls Surprise to the Downside + Middle East Deadlock: How Will BTC and ETH Play It Out?
Last night’s nonfarm payrolls data came in well below expectations, prompting markets to lower their rate hike expectations and sending non-U.S. currencies slightly higher.
Interestingly, BTC and ETH only saw a minor rebound, with clearly insufficient follow-through; U.S. stocks, by contrast, rose against the trend.
The Middle East is an even bigger drama: The U.S. released news that Oman-Iran talks had made progress and that shipping through the strait could resume, after
BTC0.86%
ETH0.61%
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[New Streamer] Market Prediction
gate liveLIVE
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#NFPShockSpikesRateCutOdds NFP Shock Spikes Rate Cut Odds
The July jobs report came in on August 1 2026 and it changed the entire conversation for September. The headline number was 42,000 jobs added. That was well below expectations. More importantly, the prior two months were revised down by a combined 140,000 jobs. When you put it all together, the labor market looks a lot softer than it did just 30 days ago.
Markets reacted immediately. By the end of Friday Fed funds futures were pricing in an 82 percent chance of a rate cut at the September 17 FOMC meeting. Before the report that number w
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HighAmbition:
Just send it 👊
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$BTW DON'T RISK ENTERING AND HOPING FOR A RISE. THE POINT IS, IT'S A TRAP.
BTW28.68%
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GateUser-24dd5fbc:
WLD preparing for a higher rise 🚀🚀
#StockTradingShareChallenge
$WLD ‌
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$Cupsey sheesh
Crazy pump
6NwarBvDkXhByqVp2Qkq5i9XbtA2B3Bwe8SWGu9vpump
PUMP-5.81%
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UPDATE: Aave V3 TVL climbs 5.2% in seven days to $14.20 billion.
The move ranks it among the week's biggest gainers across Lending protocols tracked by DefiLlama.
AAVE-1.36%
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$CAP Signal】Long + 1H upward attack/4H momentum expansion
$CAP RSI 1H 65.4, price 0.03725, with 4.2% room to the 1H upper Bollinger band at 0.0388. The 4H MACD histogram is expanding at 0.0008, with momentum continuing. The 1H MACD histogram is -0.0000, short-term momentum is contracting, and the price has not fallen sharply. Funding rate is 0.0050%, OI is stable, and leverage is not overheated. Order book depth imbalance is -11.5%, bid/ask is 0.79, sell orders above are thick, and the price has not been pushed back. Trading volume at 01:00 on the 1H timeframe was 59.42M, nearly 7x the 8.66
CAP29.73%
BTC0.87%
ETH0.65%
SOL1.66%
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