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Are crypto people too optimistic? Are crypto people too smart? Or are crypto people too stupid?
CME interest rate futures show a 57.5% probability of a September rate hike, but it is only 51% on @Polymarket.
What tools can crawl the data for these two probabilities? Feels like there’s a trading opportunity here.
Brother Feng bought $10 on September interest rates remaining unchanged based on his own analysis! I’ve lost too much before, so I’ll use what’s left for a little fun.
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CRYPTO LIVE TRADE
gate liveLIVE
286
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I originally wanted to cut my losses and sacrifice the position to the heavens, but the ritual failed—the meat cooked itself. While everyone else was running, I saw $BTC funds quietly entering, with volume and price beginning to diverge. My intuition told me someone was buying the bottom. Others cut their meat, while I picked it up—that’s the difference.
I tried a long at 76872.9 and was still worried about getting trapped. But before long, the current price surged straight to 77523.5, with a return of +148.18%. It felt amazing; all the suffering before this was worth it. I got the rhythm rig
BTC-3.04%
SNDK0.27%
ETH-2.45%
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$NVDA ​$NVDA is looking strong in the current market trend. Analyzing the key support levels and price action for long-term growth. #NVDA #Trading
NVDA-4.58%
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$AIO USDT 20x short position netted 505.16% (0.05831→0.04335). Momentum exhausted after AIOZ’s listing and fork, with the trend turning toward a quiet prelude.
I pressed the short button, and my thesis materialized. A 25.6% drop, with profits like seashells. Those who followed, take profit on 80% and leave 20% to fate. Break below 0.04300? The second gate. Stop-loss at 0.04350, the final line of rationality. Don’t let greed devour the gains; wait for the next tide. $BTC $ETH #Gate7天净流入全球Top3
AIO-0.55%
BTC-3.04%
ETH-2.45%
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8/29
ETH Wealth Code
Pullback at the monthly close.
Position for a short-term bullish outlook.
Long-term bullish; wait for a 50% monthly pullback before going long. Next targets: 2800/3000
Tonight, there may be a chance to test a break below 2400 and trigger liquidations. It will then gradually decline, with adjustments made at the monthly close.
ETH-2.45%
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$DEXE (DeXe) – Parabolic Breakout, Taking Profits & Trailing Stop
I'm watching DEXE closely because it has surged +20.78% to $2.302, rocketing from a low of $1.892. The moving averages are in extreme bullish expansion with EMA5 at $2.445, EMA10 at $2.413, and EMA30 at $2.245. The 24h high is $2.632, and MACD is deeply positive. However, the price has dropped significantly from its peak and is currently below the EMA5. I am taking heavy partial profits here and holding the rest with a very tight stop-loss below the EMA10 ($2.41) to protect gains, as the wicks indicate high volatility.
DEXE18.07%
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🚨 JUST IN: Barclays and Societe Generale now forecast the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates in both September and December.
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Fed Rate Path Update Markets Reprice Future Policy Expectations
gate liveLIVE
1,298
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What's up with $ZIG ? 👀
ZIG10.23%
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$TSTBSC (Test Token) – Failed Breakout, Watching Support
I'm watching TSTBSC because it is up +9.77% at $0.017120, but has failed to hold a breakout above $0.018369 and is now pulling back. The moving averages are flat to bearish with EMA5 at $0.017134, EMA10 at $0.017228, and EMA30 at $0.017286. The MACD is rolling over. **I am staying out** and watching the $0.016707 support. A break below this level would signal a deeper correction.
$MSFT
TSTBSC6.36%
MSFT1.74%
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Interesting Fact about me: I spent 10 years of my Life in USA. I can call this 10 years the best years from my Life.
During this years I did something that very few Non-Americans did. Became 1st in one national Fitness Challenge in my local Life Time Fitness in Vernon Hills, Illinois and at the same I was in top 10 in Entire Illinois and TOP 100 in the entire USA. Even know I am getting a bit older and fat 😆😆 The Fitness, Boxing and all the things I was doing in US change my thinking and who I am as a Person!
And you see the sign on my Shirt!
"The Beast Never Sleeps" It’s from one 5km ra
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$AI BOOK PROFIT AND MOVE ON 65x up nothing goes constant up called around 200k in paid #Whale group and later 1.4 million mcap hit 65x since then
Dm in telegram to Join paid #Vip group @migglesboy
#Robinhood #Crypto #memecoins $Cashcat
HOOD-4.99%
CASHCAT-18.11%
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CRYPTO EVENING REVIEW — 28 AUGUST
Market regime: 🟢 Bullish structure / 🟠 hawkish macro pressure
Today’s market delivered a useful signal: crypto held up reasonably well even after Fed Chair Kevin Warsh gave markets a more hawkish message at Jackson Hole.
Warsh said the Fed still has work to do if inflation does not move convincingly toward 2%. Rate markets responded by lifting the probability of a September hike from roughly 35% to 56%. The dollar and short-dated Treasury yields strengthened, but equities still managed to trade higher.
That makes tonight’s strongest narrative:
Risk assets a
DOW0.56%
NDAQ-0.04%
SPX500-0.02%
UK100-0.19%
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This was purely the market being in a good mood and casually tossing out some gold coins—one just happened to hit me on the head.
Actually, during the intraday plunge, I saw $AAVE ’s sell orders were unusually dense, with every rebound being pushed back down. In a market lacking buying support like that, shorting was the obvious move. When I checked the market after lunch, I directly gave a bearish view.
The short position opened at 127.67 has already reached 121.27, with the position up +380.9%. We got the timing right this time, so everyone on board should be waking up laughing.
Close 70% fi
AAVE-4.67%
LAB11.99%
SNDK0.27%
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I originally just wanted to mooch a breakfast, but the market ended up making dumplings for me for half a year. 🔥

A few days ago, around dawn, $SOL pulled back to around 81.16. The key level held, there were clearly buyers waiting below, and after grinding around for ages without breaking down, I went straight in with a long position—no hesitation. 💪

When I opened the chart this morning, the price had shot straight up to 103.08, locking in +2511.26%. This long trade delivered the answer. It was genuinely sluggish at first, but the result was genuinely satisfying. 😎

As for the trade,
SOL-5.05%
SNDK0.27%
BTC-3.04%
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No big-picture thinking, I can't hold, and this round's profit is as thin as paper, but I love it. 🤤 I had just finished lunch and was checking the chart when $TRUMP kept grinding around 1.680. The price barely moved, but large orders kept slowly absorbing liquidity in the trade details. This sign of money quietly entering the market is more real than any signal. I watched it closely for nearly half an hour, just waiting for it to show a direction. True opportunities are never loud or flashy.

I went long, held on, and then finally got a volume surge. The price has now reached 2.558, with a
TRUMP2.79%
ETH-2.45%
LAB11.99%
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🚀 Did you know Capital B just secured €21M (around $24.5M) to acquire 270 Bitcoin? 🌍 With Adam Back in the mix, what could this mean for the future of $BTC ? 🤔 #CryptoNews
BTC-3.03%
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U either dance with the market maker, or he dances with U
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