Bitcoin Market Watch: Important BTC Levels and Upcoming Macro Data

Bitcoin continues to attract attention from traders and investors around the world. The crypto market can change quickly, especially when important economic data is released. This is why every trader should keep an eye on both Bitcoin's price action and global economic conditions.
Upcoming macroeconomic reports, including inflation data, PPI figures, and employment reports, can influence market sentiment. If inflation remains high, investors may expect interest rates to stay higher for longer. This could create pressure on ris

bitcoin:native at major support
A bullish reversal targets $78k, while a breakdown risks a drop to $57k.

What Exactly Is the Market Pricing In When the Spot-Futures Basis Widens?

In crypto markets, besides price, trading volume, and funding rates, there is another metric worth watching: basis.

Sometimes, Bitcoin’s spot price changes little, while futures prices are significantly higher than spot; at other times, futures prices are lower than spot. This difference is not merely a numerical change; it may also reflect differing expectations about future prices, funding costs, and demand for positions.

First, understand what basis is.

Basis usually refers to the difference between the futures pr

Why Can Trading Strategies That Perform Well in Backtests Fail in Live Markets?

A trading strategy may deliver substantial returns and a high win rate in historical backtests, while even keeping its maximum drawdown under control, yet produce very different results once deployed in the market. The problem may not necessarily lie with the strategy itself; it may also stem from the gap between backtesting and live trading.

First, historical data does not represent the future. Backtesting can only assess a strategy’s performance in specific historical market conditions. Market structure, volati

**$MU /USDT Perp – "Steady Uptrend – Long"**
Trading Plan Long $MU
Entry: 816.00
SL: 801.63
TP1: 821.41
TP2: 831.94
MU is trending upward from the 760.26 base. MACD remains bullish; targeting a breakout above the 821.41 local high.

What exactly is the risk-reward ratio in trading? Why doesn’t a high win rate necessarily mean you’ll end up profitable?

In the crypto market, some traders focus heavily on their win rate, believing that as long as most of their trades make money, they will be profitable in the long run. In reality, win rate is only one part of evaluating a strategy; the size of each win and loss matters just as much.

First, understand the risk-reward ratio. The risk-reward ratio measures the relationship between a trade’s potential loss and its expected profit. For example, if you plan to lose 100 USDT and

What Is Slippage? Why Isn’t the Price You See When Placing an Order Necessarily the Final Execution Price?

In crypto trading, many people see one price when placing an order, only to find that the actual price is different after it is filled. This phenomenon is commonly known as slippage. It may seem like just a small price difference, but in highly volatile markets, large trades, or leveraged trading, it can significantly affect trading costs and final results.

First, what is slippage?

Slippage is the difference between the expected execution price and the actual execution price. When buyi

$BTC bears are taking control, and the latest move says it all.

Bitcoin dropped sharply after the call, nearly reaching the key support zone before pushing below the $70,000 level.

The downside prediction played out strongly, and now the market is showing serious bearish pressure.

Bulls need to reclaim $70K quickly to change the momentum. Otherwise, further downside could be on the table.

The big question now: Is this just a temporary shakeout, or are we heading into a deeper correction?

Keep your eyes on the support zone. The next move could be crucial for Bitcoin.

#黄仁勋辞职 Jensen Huang resigns, CFO takes over on an interim basis, $NVDA perpetuals fell 9.79% to 158 yesterday, then bounced back to 164.79 (+2.30%) today. I haven't touched my small position—this move looks more like a sentiment dip triggered by the news. As for long-term valuation, the CUDA ecosystem he built himself and the orders aren't going away just because a new CEO takes over. The earnings report on the 17th will speak for itself. AI stocks will definitely be dragged around in the short term, but demand for the leaders is right there. I'm watching, not chasing; I wouldn't touch levera

There is nothing new under the sun. Wherever you are, business ultimately comes down to a contest of politics, interests, and power.
When a company grows powerful enough to influence a country or even shape the world order, it is no longer just a business entity.

What Is Breakout Trading? How Can You Tell Whether Price May Continue the Trend After Breaking a Key Level Rather Than Falling Into a False Breakout?

In the cryptocurrency market, when prices break above important resistance or fall below key support, they often attract a lot of traders’ attention. Some choose to enter in the direction of the trend, hoping to catch the start of a new trend; others suffer losses in false breakouts after chasing rising or falling prices. What really matters is not whether the price crosses a certain line, but whether the breakout receives further confirmation f

What Is Mean Reversion Trading? Why Do Prices Sometimes Revert After Deviating from Their Historical Mean, but Sometimes Continue Moving Away?

In cryptocurrency trading, prices often fluctuate within a range. When a price deviates significantly from its recent mean, some traders look for opportunities to trade in the opposite direction, hoping the price will return to its normal range. But mean reversion is not a guaranteed market rule. Especially when trends are strong or fundamentals change, prices may continue moving away from the mean.

First, what is mean reversion?

Mean reversion is a

On the day Bitcoin fell below $70,000, an anonymous major short seller on Hyperliquid pocketed $5.39 million in 24 hours and has already made $23.77 million this month.
🔥 The on-chain community calls him VBVIT. His address is public, and every position can be seen. Here’s a look at his hand: about 1,000 $BTC short positions, opened at an average price of $77,600; now just above $68,000, with this position alone showing $8.97 million in unrealized profit.
Even more impressive, he weathered a major loss: he lost over $15 million in one week in mid-September, sending his cumulative profit into

Btc back to almost June price
Btc d hasn't reached the same pivot?
This means btc has sucked up most of the liquidity
And alts have taken more hit
Good news - money flow into btc is healthy

**$SNDK /USDT Perp – "Rejection Wick – Short"**
Trading Plan Short $SNDK
Entry: 955.71
SL: 966.34
TP1: 937.14
TP2: 923.82
SNDK rejected the 966.34 high and is falling back. MACD is rolling over bearish; targeting the 937.14 support area.

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I only short coins that are skyrocketing. I’m siding with the bears this time.
$AKE What are you panicking about? Guys, short the top two coins on the gainers list. In this market, if altcoins dare to rally, it’s just their last gasp. They’ll bounce around for a day at most, then fizzle out the next day. Shorting now is like picking up free money. $AKE
AKEUSDT perpetual contract: short opened, unrealized profit +18.00 USDT, AKE up +89.06% intraday.
Risk warning: The above is solely a record of my personal trading activity and a sharing of my views; it does not constitute investment advice. Co

What Is Maximum Drawdown? Why Can an Account That Once Made a Lot Still Face Huge Risks?

In cryptocurrency trading, looking only at how much an account earned in the end makes it easy to overlook how much risk it faced along the way. Even an account that once achieved very high returns may experience a severe drawdown and, due to poor capital management, may even struggle to recover. Maximum drawdown is an important metric for measuring this risk.

First, what is maximum drawdown?

Maximum drawdown is the largest percentage decline in an account’s net value from a peak to a subsequent low dur