If MSCI removes Strategy from its indexes, it could face up to $2.8 billion in selling by passive funds.

Yesterday, the monthly CPI came in hotter than expected.
Headline rose 0.4% on the month against the 0.3% the market expected, and core came in at 0.3% against 0.2%.
I believe the market reaction is also muted, considering the yearly data wasn’t released due to the 2025 government shutdown.
So it could’ve been much worse, considering the last PPI spiked to a 4-year high.
The odds of a hike at the December meeting have now jumped to around 87%.
In fact, the debate is no longer hike or hold, but hike once or more, as there’s a 12% chance of a 50 bps hike.
Not looking good for $BTC , as higher rat

Many traders see BTC break through a key resistance level on a surge in volume and immediately chase the rally, believing a new uptrend has begun. But sometimes, after breaking out, the price quickly falls back into its previous range, catching those who just entered off guard. This is commonly known as a false breakout.

Why can a breakout on high volume still fail?

First, buying lacks follow-through. A large amount of capital may enter at the moment of the breakout, but without new buyers stepping in afterward, it is difficult for the price to hold above resistance.

Second, strong selling

How to Find BTC Support and Resistance Levels? Master 4 Practical Methods!

In BTC trading, support and resistance are among the most fundamental and practical concepts in technical analysis. But many beginners simply draw a few horizontal lines and assume they have found the key levels. In reality, support and resistance levels that are truly useful need to be assessed by looking at price structure, trading volume, and market reactions.

First, watch historical highs and lows. If BTC repeatedly rises to a certain area and then pulls back, that area may form resistance; if the price repeatedly

Gm
Another day, another opportunity to show up and give it my best.

Should You Choose Short-Term, Swing, or Long-Term BTC Trading?

In BTC trading, many people are always looking for the most profitable way to trade. When they see others making frequent profits from short-term trading, they start learning day trading; when they see others earning returns by holding for the long term, they feel they should stick with a long-term approach. In reality, no trading style is inherently better or worse. What matters is whether it suits your time, capital, and risk tolerance.

First, short-term trading: prioritizing flexibility and efficiency. Short-term trades typica

In BTC trading, many people see a candlestick with a long lower wick and assume buyers are starting to fight back and the price is about to rebound, so they rush in to buy the dip. But in reality, a long lower wick does not necessarily mean a trend reversal; it may just be a brief rebound during a downtrend.

So, how should you assess it?

First, look at where it appears. If a long lower wick forms near an important support level from earlier, it suggests that strong buying may have emerged after the price fell to this area, making the rebound signal relatively more meaningful. But if it appea

$AGC Can it take off this time?

Why Can an Account Still Be Force-Liquidated Even When It Has Funds?

Many crypto futures traders have a question:

Why does an exchange still force-liquidate a position when there are still available funds in the account?

The reason is that futures liquidation mechanisms do not simply check how much money is left in the account. They assess position risk, margin requirements, and platform rules.

Having funds in the account does not mean the current position is necessarily safe. Understanding maintenance margin is essential to truly understanding liquidation risk.

I. What Is Maintenance Mar

BTC Market Cycle Analysis: How to Identify the Different Stages of Bull and Bear Markets?

In the BTC market, many investors are used to judging market conditions based on short-term price movements, but overlook a more important question: Which stage of the cycle is the market currently in? Understanding market cycles can help traders develop better strategies instead of using the same trading approach at every stage.

First, the accumulation phase. After a downturn, prices gradually stabilize, market interest is low, and trading volume may be relatively subdued. This phase is usually accompa

How can you tell whether a trading strategy has a genuine statistical edge rather than making money through luck?

One of the easiest things to misjudge in the trading market is treating profits as proof that a strategy works.

A string of profitable trades could mean the strategy has an edge, or it could simply have encountered market conditions that suited it.

So how can you distinguish between the two?

The key is not how much a few trades made, but whether, under sufficiently reasonable testing conditions, the strategy has a repeatable positive expected value that remains positive after c

Does Higher Leverage Really Mean More Profit? Understand Leverage Risks and Avoid Liquidation!

In BTC futures trading, many people believe that the higher the leverage, the faster they can make money. If 10x isn’t enough, they use 20x; if 20x isn’t enough, they use 50x. But many overlook one fact: leverage amplifies not only potential gains but also losses, bringing the account closer to its liquidation price.

So, what does high leverage really mean?

First, leverage changes capital efficiency, not market direction. Whether you use 5x or 20x leverage, it won’t change whether BTC moves up or

Profitable in backtests, losing in live trading: How can you tell whether it’s an execution problem or the strategy has stopped working?

Why does a strategy perform well on historical data, yet produce completely different results once real capital is put to work?

After taking losses, many traders’ first instinct is to change parameters, add indicators, or even scrap the entire strategy.

But the problem may lie at different points in the process. Making changes blindly without identifying the cause may only make the strategy more complicated.

I. First: Compare key backtest and live-trading

@MEADGod Is Oz ready to spend Christmas with Fugui? 🥳

BTC is currently down for six consecutive weekly candles.
U.S. stocks have now stabilized, rising yesterday evening and again in tonight’s overnight session, especially AI hardware stocks, which carry significant weight.
However, U.S. stocks related to crypto are still falling, possibly due to concerns about Democrats taking power and pessimism about Trump’s crypto policies, compounded by worries early this morning that MicroStrategy could be removed from an index. They have yet to stabilize.
The next level to watch is a stabilization above 7000. #BTC

$ZEC has dropped below $1,000!
Trader 0x8742 opened a 10x long on 18,000 $ZEC ($17.63M) and is now down over $2.8M.
Liquidation price: $895.46.

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Inflation Exceeds Expectations, but the Market May Not Necessarily Crash! One Important Detail in This CPI Report Was Overlooked!

Don’t rush to declare a bear market! Although U.S. October CPI came in higher than expected, there are also aspects of the data worth analyzing calmly.
Headline CPI rose 0.4% month over month, down from 0.6% in September. This means the pace of overall price increases has slowed, not accelerated across the board.
Core CPI rose 0.3%, unchanged from the previous two months, indicating that inflationary pressure remains but has not accelerated further.
Taken together,