#Fed July Decision 🧐
What the Latest Data and Signals Tell Us 🤔
The Federal Reserve's July 28-29 meeting is just days away, and the picture has shifted meaningfully over the past few weeks. Here is where things stand.
The Baseline Expectation: Hold
All 104 economists surveyed by Reuters between July 17-21 expect the Fed to leave rates unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% . A three-fourths majority see no change through the end of the year . The market-implied probability of a rate hike has dropped below 15% after the June CPI and PPI reports came in softer than expected .
CaixaBank Research expect

US Initial Jobless Claims data is coming up soon! The forecast is 212.0K, higher than the prior value of 208.0K.
The worse the unemployment data, the more it will boost the “big bet” for rate cuts; if the employment data comes in above expectations, it will weigh on market action. Volatility in the trading screen is set for tonight—be cautious with your positions! #Gate事件合约首发狂欢 $BTC ‌

July 23 Crypto–US Stocks 🇺🇸 Market Analysis ‼️【Crypto Big Opportunity】The weekly close is not good, and a second pullback is likely。【US Stocks】The Fed’s rate decision meeting is getting closer and closer, entering the phase of chasing highs for profit realization. If you keep pushing higher, it’s the “bottom-buy” profit-realization phase—should you increase your positions after the meeting outcome is finalized? Right now it’s all defensive positioning. Big tech has collectively rebounded slightly and then pulled back. The main trading focus is trimming as holdings rise, waiting for a second

🚨 UPDATE: The exploiter behind Drift Protocol’s $285M hack is moving funds after three months, sending ETH to Tornado Cash in rapid 100 ETH batches per Arkham data.

🚨Brent Crude is on its way to reclaim $100 per barrel

Three crypto exploits in one day
$35.55M drained
AFX Trade lost $24.15M
Verus’ Ethereum bridge lost $7.55M
B² Network lost $3.86M
at this point, I don’t even want to connect my wallet to anything today
hackers are farming harder than the rest of CT

$DEXE Be fully satisfied with the plan fees and profit immediately.

People complaining about how hard it is to earn Variational points are going to get a wicked surprise once API trading goes live
Variational has managed to scale to $1B in daily volumes/OI without any API trading
Once APIs are out, we'll see the likes of TreadFi, Arbital, etc all integrate Variational and users will light their money on fire to try and stack points
You're not early, but it's not too late (yet)

#SummerCreationCamp
🚀 Turn Your Crypto Knowledge Into Opportunity with the Gate Plaza Summer Creative Camp!
The Gate Plaza Summer Creative Camp is more than just a content competition—it's a chance for creators, traders, analysts, and blockchain enthusiasts to turn their knowledge into real value. With a 💰 50,000 USDT prize pool, this campaign rewards originality, creativity, and meaningful contributions to the crypto community.
What makes this event stand out is its strong focus on quality over quantity. Instead of reposting news, creators are encouraged to publish original market analysis

An edited transcript of Liang Wenfeng’s four-hour interview
#deepseek #Liang Wenfeng

【$ZAMA Signal】1H breakout with volume surging above the Bollinger upper band; funding rate negative, laying the groundwork to squeeze shorts
RSI 1H spikes to 74.24, buy pressure keeps pushing the price higher; although the 1H MACD volume histogram shows some shrinkage, the price hasn’t broken down. On 4H, the Bollinger Bands’ opening expands, and the upper band at 0.0503 has been firmly held by the body. Order book imbalance -11.43%: sell-side liquidity is thin, and the intent to defend the price is clear. Funding rate -0.0294%, short costs remain high; OI is stable, and short-squeeze conditio

I only wanted to catch a quick breakfast, but the order book directly handed me the rhythm. When the market dumped at the open, $ETH looked scary, but I kept my eyes on the low-level bids that were being absorbed: the pullback didn’t lose the level, selling pressure gradually eased, and there were always people buying below. After I saw the price hold around 1570.09, I signaled to open a long—not chasing the pump to grab it, but waiting for the structure to confirm before executing the trade. Now the price is at 1927.98, and the long position is up +3964.32% unrealized. This bite of meat feel

BREAKING: Kakao Group and Circle sign MOU to develop Korean Won stablecoin and blockchain payment rails.

$SKHYNIX At this level, I still look bullish. The position has already successfully flipped back into green. This move has been genuinely impressive—it directly helped secure $96 profit. The team executed this trade beautifully. Also, $SNDK and $BANK can be worth keeping an eye on as well. There may be more action afterward, but everyone should still watch the risks when trading—don’t go in too aggressively.

Here's an interesting Bitcoin fractal.
2022 versus 2026.
As we all know, the 2021-2022 cycle top looks very similar to what we're seeing now.
And it seems not just the top, but on the way to the bottom, $BTC looks similar as well.
Side by side, this level looks concerning. It mirrors a similar bullish pump from 2022 that led to nothing afterwards.
History might not repeat itself, but it sure does rhyme.

gm,
is a good day to have a good day. and to do something ridiculous.
🐸

#GUSDYieldRisesto3.8% GUSD Now Supports USD1 Minting: Unlock Flexible Stablecoin Minting, Daily Compounding, and Multiple Earning Opportunities
The stablecoin ecosystem continues to evolve as users demand greater flexibility, reliable yield opportunities, and seamless access to decentralized and centralized financial products. Responding to these growing needs, Gate has introduced an important enhancement to its GUSD ecosystem by adding USD1 minting support. This update allows users to mint GUSD using USDT, USDC, or the newly supported USD1 on a 1:1 basis, making participation easier for a br

$ADA Considering a bearish outlook. Right now, the market can’t recover the moving averages, and the trend is weak. If it breaks below 0.1733, the next step may be to test 0.1705. For entry, you can watch the 0.1737 to 0.178 range; looking down to 0.1689 and 0.1633, with defense set at 0.1833. Also $ON and $ZAMA can be monitored on the pullback as a side note. But note: the current price is exactly sitting on a local support level, so there may be a false breakout and rebound move. Everyone should control position sizing based on your own account—never go all-in at once—watch the risk.