How can you tell whether a trading strategy has stopped working, rather than mistaking a normal drawdown for a problem with the strategy?
A trading strategy taking losses during operation does not necessarily mean it has stopped working. Any strategy involving uncertainty may experience drawdowns. What really matters is distinguishing normal fluctuations from signs that the strategy’s edge is disappearing.
First, check whether the drawdown exceeds its historical range. If the current drawdown is clearly beyond the levels commonly seen in historical tests, further investigation is warranted. Bu

$SPY $Q
FEAR 34

$BTC Breaks Downwards From The Green Ascending Triangle Crumbling Below The The 15min 200MA 👀

This random hot Cheetos girl is currently calling the lowest market cap coins on pump.
Do not follow her callouts, she is using you for exit liquidity.

#每周来晒 #美股财报季
Positive news for the AI industry sparks a broad early-morning rally!
On the morning of November 4, the three major U.S. stock indexes closed mixed, with the Nasdaq up 0.83%, the S&P 500 up 0.36%, and the Dow down 0.38%. Chip stocks rose, with the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index up 2.63%.
AI hard-tech stocks rallied across the board. At the close, CoreWeave rose over 7%, Oracle over 5%, SanDisk over 4%, and SpaceX 3.62%. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and Broadcom rose over 3%, while NVIDIA, Micron Technology, SK hynix, Western Digital, Seagate Technology, ARM and others rose over

Bearish signals emerge: $XPL Watching for short opportunities
$XPL is currently testing the key 4-hour resistance zone of 0.06393–0.06414, with the price already close to this range. My current approach is to watch whether sellers can establish effective resistance here, without rushing in before a clear market reaction appears.
A few quick observations: - The bearish trend on the daily timeframe remains intact, with sellers continuing to control the pace - On the 4-hour chart, the price is below EMA50, currently quoted at 0.0640, with the structure favoring bears - The 1-hour RSI is 43, wit

VVV stalled near the 24-hour high of 22.9090 after repeated rejection by upper wicks, and the 15-minute RSI(6) pulled back to 57.48. The price is expected to mean-revert, correcting to the MA25 support level. A solid short entry opportunity for $VVV . Entry range: 22.867 - 23.186 Take-profit target 1: 21.9000 Take-profit target 2: 20.9988 Invalidation level: 23.882 Market anomalies: $ETH : Current price 2,287.56 - 24-hour gain: +1.54% $AGT : Current price 0.0436 - 24-hour gain: +33.87%

Everyone just needs to ask themselves one simple question:
If a company really were that good and about to skyrocket,
these people wouldn’t even have time to secretly buy it themselves, so why share so-called “inside information” on Twitter?
That goes for WOLF and AEHR.
Think about it.
When earnings send the stock up, they say their information was spot-on; when earnings send it down, they say they sold out, right?
I’m not like certain people who call themselves high school boys but secretly think like little girls and engage in cliquish behavior.
I have no personal grudge against them, but I

Before the exam, the teacher himself said you'd land somewhere near this score. Everyone took that as given. The papers came back with much higher marks.
$ANET ‌'s Q3 looks a lot like that. The company itself had said revenue would be about $3.3 billion. Analysts' estimates were $3.33 billion. The result was $3.66 billion, about 11% above its own forecast and 58.5% higher than a year ago, the biggest year-over-year growth since its IPO. The forecast for next quarter is $3.9 to $4 billion, while analysts had expected $3.6 billion.

My read is that the market was treating the company's own fore

$$AGT I only caught the first bit of this move and ran, and now looking at the K-line makes me want to kick myself. I entered at 0.031 yesterday with 20% of my position. This morning it surged to 0.058, but my limit order didn’t fill. I manually took profit when it pulled back to 0.052, and now it’s at 0.0436. The 24-hour range was 0.0272 to 0.0619, with $287 million in trading volume. With turnover this high, I somehow only snagged less than 30%. It’s a mindset issue: when it rises too fast, I can’t hold on and keep worrying about giving back profits, so I end up selling before the main rall

🔥Don't try to call the bottom—trade the right side. The short-term rebound window is open!
$BT
The 15-minute rebound structure remains intact. Support around 77000 has held up under pressure, and prices are currently consolidating. The first upside target is the 78000–80000 range; only a sustained break above it followed by a confirmed retest would truly open up more upside. 🔺Long positions entered near 76000 can continue to be held, with partial profit-taking to gradually recoup the cost basis and stops moved up in tandem to lock in profits. Don’t try to catch the bottom based on gut instin

Trump says he could lose both chambers at once
On the last night before the election, Trump said something rarely heard during a speech at the Lincoln Memorial: “No matter who is president, the sitting president’s party just can’t win midterm elections, but we’ve given it everything we’ve got.” CNN reported that he was more direct with allies in private: the worst-case outcome—Democrats taking both the House and the Senate—was quite likely. He has already been discussing with people around him how to respond to congressional investigations, and even impeachment hearings.
The markets are bettin

Nov 4 morning session
Congrats, everyone—both longs and shorts on BTC and ETH paid off yesterday. Keep your entry price as your defense, and take profit when the levels are reached.
Now, here are today’s trading recommendations:
Short: around 2317–2335
Around 78310, around 78800
Long: around 2210–2235, stop-loss at 2175
Around 76355, stop-loss at 75000

$AMD This is the only one among the recent hot stocks that didn’t fall after hours and actually rose, right, Li Na!

Yang Guang bit | November 4 $SOL Bearish alignment; short the rebound
[Today's Strategy]
Entry: Rebound to the 93.0–93.5 range
Stop-loss: 94.2
Take-profit targets:
First target: 91.2–91.6
Second target: 90.6–91.0
[Key Takeaways]
Geopolitically, risk-aversion sentiment remains elevated, putting high-risk assets under the most immediate pressure. Financially, with the midterm election results still unclear and capital on the sidelines, Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs have seen consecutive net outflows, while institutions' overall risk appetite has weakened. As a high-beta asset, SOL is most sensitive

What Is Walk-Forward Backtesting? Why Is One Out-of-Sample Test Still Not Enough to Prove a Strategy Is Reliable?
Passing a single out-of-sample test does not mean a trading strategy will remain effective in all market conditions. A particular market period may happen to suit the strategy, so we also need to use walk-forward backtesting to observe its performance across different time periods.
First, what is walk-forward backtesting?
Walk-forward backtesting follows chronological order: repeatedly use past data to develop or optimize a strategy, then test its performance on a subsequent period

#USEarningsSeason

📊 𝗨𝗦 𝗘𝗮𝗿𝗻𝗶𝗻𝗴𝘀 𝗦𝗲𝗮𝘀𝗼𝗻: 𝗦𝘁𝗿𝗼𝗻𝗴 𝗣𝗿𝗼𝗳𝗶𝘁𝘀, 𝗕𝗶𝗴 𝗘𝘅𝗽𝗲𝗰𝘁𝗮𝘁𝗶𝗼𝗻𝘀 — 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗦𝗵𝗼𝘂𝗹𝗱 𝗜𝗻𝘃𝗲𝘀𝘁𝗼𝗿𝘀 𝗪𝗮𝘁𝗰𝗵?
The US third-quarter 2026 earnings season is delivering a strong headline: more than half of S&P 500 companies have reported, and most have beaten analysts' profit expectations. But the results are not equally strong across the board. The bigger question is whether companies can maintain this growth in the coming quarters.
📈 𝗪𝗵𝗮𝘁 𝗜𝘀 𝗚𝗼𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗪𝗲𝗹𝗹?
As of October 30, approximately 60% of S&P 500 companies had

The market is still choppy; you can open a short near 78000 this morning.
Initial targets are 76800-76500, with ETH at 2250-2230.