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Breaking: Democrat Chris Pappas wins election to U.S. Senate from New Hampshire
#USElections
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How can out-of-sample testing help prevent mistaking chance patterns in historical market data for a lasting edge?
A trading strategy performing well in historical backtests does not mean it can adapt to future markets. To reduce the risk of overfitting, out-of-sample testing is a crucial step in validating a strategy.
First, what is out-of-sample testing?
Simply put, it means dividing historical data into different periods: one portion is used to develop the strategy and adjust its parameters, while another is kept out of the optimization process and used specifically to test how the strategy
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Trenches
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#ChipStocksRebound
The AI Selloff Is Losing Momentum, but the Market Has Not Confirmed Its Next Direction
November 3 delivered an interesting shift in the semiconductor market. After several sessions of pressure on AI-related stocks, buyers returned to some of the industry's biggest names. NVIDIA recovered 2.3%, AMD gained approximately 3.65% during regular trading, and the Nasdaq Composite finished 0.83% higher.
NVIDIA's market capitalization also moved back around the $5 trillion milestone.
At first glance, this looks like renewed confidence in the AI trade. However, I think the more import
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MU+2.65%
NVDA+2.15%
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This is a female judge, right?
42 hotel dates, 188,000 yuan, an average of 4,476 yuan per time.
I wonder how the judge came up with that price.
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The Nasdaq Composite has confirmed a top on a very small scale; whether it can expand to a larger scale remains to be seen at monitoring point $BTC ‌
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BTC-0.65%
GATE.IO ⚡ HOT TRADER | BTC MARKET ALERT 🔥 | BULLS OR BEARS? 🚀
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LIVE2,074
XRP market update
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LIVE1,894
Both reminders last night and this morning revolved around a short strategy; combining them into one ultimately paid off $BTC 77900 fell to 76827, $ETH 2300 to 2258, netting 1000+40 points.
ChenMingyuan_guanjin
Good evening, November 3! Bitcoin rose to 77297 on today's bullish candle before turning bearish and falling to 76360, in line with the direction we gave this morning. It is currently trading at 77100.
Tuesday evening
Short near 77400-77900, targeting
around 76500-75800
Short near 2280-2300, targeting
around 2240-2210
$BTC $ETH
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
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How can you tell whether a trading strategy has stopped working, rather than mistaking a normal drawdown for a problem with the strategy?
A trading strategy incurring losses during operation does not necessarily mean it has stopped working. Any strategy involving uncertainty may experience drawdowns. What really matters is distinguishing normal fluctuations from signs that the strategy’s edge is fading.
First, check whether the drawdown exceeds its historical range. If the current drawdown is significantly greater than levels commonly seen in historical testing, it warrants further examination
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A short position from the current price captured $15 of downside in 8 minutes! The value speaks for itself—follow along and take off!
$ETH $XAU #黄金 #SEC发布加密代币分类FAQ
ETH-1.23%
XAU+0.38%
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Actually, next Friday you'll find out that iPhones didn't have a bug at all
The extreme cold apocalypse really will come, but only Apple users can know in advance and prepare; all Android users can only freeze to death
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#USEarningsSeason
#USEarningsSeason
The US earnings season is attracting major attention from investors, financial analysts, and market participants around the world. This is an important period when major American companies release their financial results and share updates about their business performance, revenue, profits, and future expectations.
During earnings season, investors carefully examine how companies are performing in the current economic environment. They want to understand whether businesses are growing, managing costs effectively, and preparing for future challenges. Strong e
BTC-0.67%
Yang Guang bit | November 4 $BTC Rebound faces resistance, bearish momentum continues
【Today's Outlook】
Entry: Place staggered short orders on a rebound into the 77500–77800 range
Stop-loss: 78300
Take-profit targets:
First target: 76800–76500
Second target: 75500–75000
【Key Takeaway】
Geopolitically, negotiations remain deadlocked, and risk aversion has not truly faded. Financially, midterm election voting has ended, with Democrats highly likely to win the House; Senate votes are still being counted, so investors are inclined to wait and see until the results are fully clear. Overnight, the N
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BTC-0.65%
Good morning, Zuo Zuo stayed up through the U.S. overnight session for you☕
Just last night, Zuo Zuo wrote a long post saying AMD was down more than 20% from its high. Then earnings came out early this morning, and the stock briefly surged nearly 10% after hours. It’s now still up about 7%🚀
$AMD Third quarter:
Revenue of $13.38 billion, up 45% year over year
Data center revenue of $8.55 billion, nearly doubled (+97%)
Fourth-quarter guidance of $17 billion, while the market was only expecting $16.2 billion
Lisa Su even said revenue is expected to grow more than 80% again in 2027
The broader ma
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AMD+3.79%
SPX500+0.19%
AAPL-2.17%
BTC-0.67%
JPM-0.82%
What exactly is being elected in U.S. midterm elections? A guide to 435 Representatives and 100 Senators!
The U.S. Congress is the federal legislature, consisting of the House of Representatives and the Senate. To understand U.S. midterm elections, first you need to understand these two chambers.
The most important point: The two chambers are independent of each other, with no hierarchy between them, and operate separately.
I. House of Representatives: 435 seats, apportioned by population
Seats: 435
Term: 2 years
How members are elected: Each state is allocated seats according to its populati
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$LIT Currently at 3.3243, 24H +6.95% (3.0354–3.4571). The 1H trend is strong, with RSI at 61.51 and EMA20 at 3.2892; the 4H trend is strong, with RSI at 58.24 and EMA20 at 3.1729. Volume is 0.39x. If price holds above the 3.4571 resistance, watch for continuation; if it breaks below the 3.0354 support, the short-term trend may weaken. In the follow-up review, check whether price can hold above 3.4571 and recover after losing 3.0354. Volume is only 0.39x, so a break of either level needs confirmation from participation; failure to recover after a breakdown invalidates the setup. Markets are vol
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LIT-4.56%
$TW88 ‌
Anyone sitting on a big gain feels a small knot in the stomach holding it. What if it all slips away?
Something like that played out in Taiwan's market on Tuesday. The TAIEX fell 3.59% to close at 43,307, the seventh-largest one-day point drop on record. In a single day, foreign investors net sold NT$107 billion of shares. At the same time, the NT dollar sank to its weakest level against the US dollar in 18 months.
The background raises a question. The market is up more than 60% so far this year. According to Taipei Times, foreigners are taking big profits and rebalancing their portfo
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TW88+0.31%
What Is Walk-Forward Backtesting? Why Is One Out-of-Sample Test Still Not Enough to Prove a Strategy Is Reliable?
Passing a single out-of-sample test does not mean a trading strategy will remain effective in all market conditions. A particular market period may happen to suit the strategy, so we also need to use walk-forward backtesting to observe its performance across different time periods.
First, what is walk-forward backtesting?
Walk-forward backtesting follows chronological order: repeatedly use past data to develop or optimize a strategy, then test its performance on a subsequent period
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