Yang Guang bit | October 29 $BTC FOMC hawkish; December rate hike probability at 85%, favor shorting rallies
【Today's Strategy】
Entry timing: Set up short positions on a rebound into the 80,900–81,200 range
Stop-loss: Above 81,600
Take-profit targets:
First target: 80,100–80,200
Second target: 79,300–79,500
【Key Takeaways】
Geopolitically, tensions eased at the margin. WTI fell 1% to $101.74/barrel, while Brent slid toward $114. Oil prices pulled back and diplomacy resumed, continuing to unwind the geopolitical premium. The FOMC held steady but was broadly hawkish. The Fed concluded its two-day

Lightning Tightens Invoice Rules After Attack Made BTC Withdrawals Look Unpaid
BOLT11 now requires exactly one payment hash and one payment secret. Operators must also verify how their software records withdrawals.
Quick Take
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

Baidu's algorithm is scary accurate!
I get it!!

10.29 ETH Silk Road
$ETH
Market Analysis
#BTC争夺8万美元关口
After a prolonged period of range-bound trading and bottoming, bears repeatedly tested the market and absorbed sell-side liquidity. A rapid sell-off then flushed out panic selling, with the price reaching a low-level support zone. Bearish momentum has now been substantially exhausted in the short term, and indicators have entered oversold territory. Combined with the market pricing in expectations of marginal positive catalysts, short-term buyers are starting to step in.
Although the medium-term moving averages remain overhead resistance,

$PEPE Current price: 5.07e-06. The first resistance overhead is the upper Bollinger band at 5.118e-06, while support below is around MA20 at 4.931e-06. The price is above MA5 (5.05e-06) and MA20, with the moving averages in bullish alignment. The MACD histogram remains positive at +1.26e-10, and the trend structure is bullish; however, RSI has risen to 66.0, approaching overbought territory, and the price is near the upper Bollinger band, reducing the risk-reward of chasing gains in the short term. The Fear and Greed Index is neutral at 51, indicating that market sentiment is not yet overheat

Holy sht, $MRVL is in the final stages of a deal to acquire $LITE.
Attempting to vertically integrate the most supply constrained chokepoints… with lasers.
Is very big brain if they pull it off and suddenly makes other laser players more strategically valuable.

When swapping tokens on-chain, you wait for ages, and then “Transaction failed” appears. The swap didn’t go through, but you still lost a little ETH. Was that money wasted?
It’s understandable to be frustrated, but first, it’s important to distinguish this: Gas pays for the computing resources used to execute operations on the network. It’s not a “service fee charged only after a successful transaction.”
Think of it like driving somewhere to take care of business, only to find out when you get there that you’re missing some paperwork. The task doesn’t get done, but you’ve still used fuel along

Chieftec Unveils an Ultra-Thin Air Cooler, Emphasizing Its Compact Design but With Fan Noise Reaching 38 Decibels.
As manufacturers pursue miniaturization, they still seem unable to solve the age-old problem of noise. A small form factor and quiet operation remain difficult to achieve at the same time.
AI-Assisted Creation
$BTC

Please choose your overseas vehicle cab

The Fed Holds Steady: Which Will Take Off First—BTC, U.S. Stocks, or Gold? The Real Suspense Is Just Beginning!
The Fed didn’t raise rates again this time, and the market thought it could breathe a sigh of relief. But inflation is still keeping everyone up at night! It’s like your boss announcing there’s no overtime today, then adding, “We’ll see how the numbers look next month.” Sounds reassuring, but the pressure hasn’t eased one bit.
The Fed kept rates at 3.75%–4.00%, but inflation remains above target, and policy hasn’t fully shifted toward easing. For the market, what really matters isn’t

Google plunged more than 8% overnight, with its stock falling from 325 to 298.
A couple of days ago, I said: if Search growth falls below 15%, 315 won't hold.
As it turned out, Search grew just 12%. 315 broke overnight.
Cloud is actually doing extremely well, bringing in $30.7 billion in a quarter—more than doubling and beating expectations. In the past, that would have sent the stock soaring.
But this time, the market wasn't buying it.
The problem is spending. It poured more than $50 billion into AI in one quarter, while free cash flow came in negative by $9 billion. It's been negative for tw

📢 BTCSOS just picked up a new signal
KOL channel: Soul | retirement arc Asset: $UNI Long entry: 7.283 Stop loss: 6.616 Targets: 8.137 / 9.485
Speaking of which, I just relayed Soul | retirement arc’s $BTC trade yesterday (10-28), and they’re back in action. I’m just sharing it as-is; whether to follow and how much to invest is up to you.
Signals like these can experience slippage on entry or exit, and they can also prove wrong. The stop-loss level is there for a reason. Shared as a personal record, not investment advice. #Meta financing rises to $97.5 billion, with Nvidia subscribing for $3

What Is Walk-Forward Backtesting? Why Might a Fixed Period of Historical Data Fail to Adapt to a Changing Crypto Market?
In the cryptocurrency market, a strategy may perform well during an uptrend over the past two years, yet incur frequent losses during the choppy market that follows.
This does not necessarily mean the strategy has no value at all; the market environment may have changed. If a trading strategy is developed and tested using only a fixed period of historical data, it may not fully reflect how well it can adapt to different stages.
One method worth learning about is Walk-Forward

BTC Back Above $80,000! Bulls Finally Turn Things Around—Is $90,000 Next, or Will They Be Sent Back to Square One?
Bitcoin is finally back above $80,000! The bulls have barely caught their breath, and the bears are already rubbing their hands. This market is more exciting than a TV drama: one moment you think the bull market is back, and the next you worry you’ve become the “exit liquidity” for the main character.
$80,000 is more than just a number; it’s an important dividing line for market sentiment. If BTC can hold above this level, while trading volume and spot buying gradually recover, th

In two days, the Bitcoin white paper turns 18.
On October 31, 2008, Satoshi Nakamoto posted to a cryptography mailing list, attaching a 9-page paper titled “Bitcoin: A Peer-to-Peer Electronic Cash System.”
Core idea: use proof of work to link transactions into a chain; the longest chain resolves double spending, without needing a trusted third party.
The paper is about 3,600 words and takes 20 minutes to read.

Guys, I'm going to short $EVAA $EVAA right now ‼️ After testing resistance, it failed to break through, and sellers strongly defended the area. The price is now in a strong selling zone, and selling volume continues to increase, so based on my analysis and experience, I think now is a good time to short. $EVAA Set TP1 at $1.20 and SL at 1.637. If it breaks below $1.20, we'll add to the position and move the SL to the entry price, holding until the final TP at 0.959. Trade here $EVAA 👇

$PEPE Currently trading at 0.00000508, up 7.63% over 24 hours (range: 0.00000471–0.00000523). The 1-hour trend is strong, with an RSI of 59; the 4-hour trend is strong, with an RSI of 80. If it breaks above 0.00000523 decisively, watch for further upside. If it falls below support at 0.00000471, the short-term structure may weaken. The market is volatile; for observation only.

10.29 ETH Trading Strategy
　　ETH rapidly plunged from the overnight high near 2391. The current price has fallen below the lower Bollinger Band and entered short-term oversold territory. The first support below is in the 2310-2318 range, with stronger support concentrated around 2290. Combined with the support from the previous low of 2292, this is a low-price zone following a concentrated release of bearish momentum. After the sharp drop, bearish pressure should gradually ease, and the price is due for a technical rebound. Consider building short-term long positions in batches in the support