The probability of it lasting through October 15 is close to 100%, with the market nearly unanimous in judging that the conflict will not immediately resume in the short term.
But as the time horizon lengthens, the probability gradually declines: it falls to 82% by the end of October and further to 62% by mid-November.

Affected by the situation in the Middle East and rising energy prices, the market expects the overall U.S. CPI for September, due to be released tonight, to post its biggest increase in five months, rising to 3.6% year-on-year, while core CPI is expected to slow; given disagreements among Federal Reserve officials over the subsequent rate-hike path, the data will be a key test for determining whether the Fed pauses rate hikes in October.#美国9月CPI即将公布

#GateWCTCS9GlobalTradingCompetition $BTC $ETH
Gate’s WCTC S9 starts Oct 26 and the headline number is big. I’m not here to sell it. I read the rules page, so here’s the math, the fine print and the risks.
1. Structure and dates
The trading window runs Oct 26 to Nov 25, 16:00 UTC+8 (08:00 UTC), about 30 days. The team track is split into two halves, Oct 26 to Nov 10 and Nov 10 to 25, taking 45% and 55% of the team pool. There’s also a solo track and a BTC/USDT event-contract PK. The leaderboard guide mentions solo rewards down to the top 300, plus experience tickets for ranks 301 to 1000. I co

$QNT I really can't make sense of it, but I'm utterly stunned.
It has fallen so badly, yet the square is completely silent—not even a single person cursing it. If you say it's unloading, there isn't enough trading volume; if you say it's a shakeout, it has fallen so hard that it could break through its own face.
The shady market maker really has a lot of inventory. Retail investors inside are just waiting for instructions, staring at the candlestick chart every day and hoping it will climb back up, but it just keeps grinding lower bit by bit. This kind of coin is the most brutal—it doesn't giv

Today's core view: ETH has rebounded, but it is too early to conclude that the trend has reversed. In the short term, focus on the $2,470—$2,500 support zone and the $2,550—$2,600 resistance zone. The U.S. September CPI is about to be released. It is recommended to wait for confirmation at key price levels and avoid taking a large directional position before the data is released.
The following strategy uses USD-denominated ETH/USDT perpetual contracts as a reference. Market conditions change in real time; please verify the latest price on the exchange before placing an order.
I. Latest Market

$ZEC
The group chat is open, and everyone can join

People who like socializing are, at their core, drawing energy from others.
Unfortunately, leaders like people with strong social skills. This is probably also a form of survival of the fittest and natural selection!
Kindness is sometimes also an original sin.
#社交

Ledger: All Confirmed Cases in Suspected $87M Drain Tied to Reseller CryptoBilis
Ledger said every confirmed case in last week's wallet-draining incident involves devices sold by Southeast Asian reseller CryptoBilis.
Ledger said the number of affected devices is "limited," that it is working with authorities, and that CryptoBilis has ceased all hardware wallet sales.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
Educational content, not investment advice or a recommendation to buy, sell, deposit, or withdraw any asset. No paid promotion or referral/affiliate links.

$SUI What is most worth watching out for is not whether prices rise or fall, but that price has moved while participation has failed to keep up. I would rather lay out the bear case first.
Bears see the risk after a break below 1.029, while bulls need to prove that buyers remain after a break above 1.0784. Current volume is 0.54x.
The current price is 1.05, about 2.00% from the 1-hour support at 1.029 and about 2.70% from the resistance at 1.0784. The position determines which side is more urgent; the next level to watch shifts to 0.9935.
Waiting for the boundaries to provide an answer is more

$BTC After breaking through support for the second time, Bitcoin was quickly pulled back just like during the first move, forming two false breakdowns. The double bottom below and the two long lower wicks clearly show that there is buying support underneath. After the rebound, it returned to range-bound trading, and bulls and bears are currently locked in a tug-of-war, waiting for the CPI data release at 8:30 p.m.
I remain bullish on the four-hour structure. I also mentioned in last night's analysis that a long-short imbalance zone had been left on the four-hour chart. In the analysis I posted

Four consecutive intraday wins on gold
Shorted at 4152, exited at 4147, 5 points, 709🔪$XAUT

$BTC CPI data is about to be released! The range is waiting for the data to break out
The market remains range-bound, waiting for the impact of tonight's CPI news, with neither bulls nor bears daring to make a major move in the short term. The key focus on the news front is this CPI inflation data. If inflation is higher than expected, it will reinforce expectations of higher interest rates and weigh on the market; if inflation declines, it will boost risk assets and provide momentum for a rebound. The data could quickly break the current narrow range, so be sure to manage risk when placing or

XRP Technical Outlook: XRP Holds $1.37 as Recovery Momentum Weakens Near Resistance
XRP is currently trading around $1.3731, holding above the $1.2944–$1.3459 support region after a sharp recovery from the August low near $1.00.
However, the recovery is facing resistance after XRP failed to sustain its move toward the $1.50 area. Price is now trading below the 20, 50 and 200 EMAs, while the $1.3794–$1.4256 region remains an important resistance zone.
The broader chart still shows a potential recovery structure, but buyers need to reclaim the major moving averages and break above nearby resista

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$DOGE Another opportunity to get on board, everyone. The market saw a deep pullback yesterday, so some of you may not have managed to enter. Today, we’re being given another opportunity!
The 4-hour chart shows that the 0.08 bottom support is very strong. We’re now going long around 0.084, and the risk-reward ratio is excellent. Good entry points wait for no one—bulls, get in!
For spot, consider building a long-term position in batches, with 0.095 as the first target!
But long-term holding does not mean lying flat. The market is always uncertain, and risk management must always come first!
#微策略

CPI Today, PPI Tomorrow: Markets Focus on Inflation Data
US inflation data is once again at the center of attention this week. The September CPI data, set to be released today (October 14), is being closely watched as a key benchmark for risk assets, including cryptocurrency markets.
What Are the Expectations?
According to the median forecast of economists:
- Annual headline inflation (headline CPI): Expected to be around 3.6% (it was 3.4% in August). Much of the increase stems from rising energy prices.
- Core inflation (core CPI, excluding food and energy): Expected to be in the 2.4%–2.5% ra

There are CPI data releases today, so there will likely be no market movement before the data.
Operate around selling high and buying low: minor support at 826, strong support at 80000, minor resistance at 845, and strong resistance at 865! The real market direction, whether a major rise or fall, will only emerge after the data!
The data will most likely establish a direction tonight. Personally, I believe the core CPI month-on-month figure is most likely to come in at 0.2%. The market has already priced in the bullish sentiment from the data, so there should not be much upside after its relea