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Article
What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can You Tell Whether a Strategy Has an Edge Over the Long Term?

In crypto trading, some people review their win rates and look for better entry points every day, yet overlook a more fundamental question: If you repeatedly trade according to the same set of rules, how much will you earn or lose on average per trade over the long term?

That is the question trading expectancy aims to answer.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the theoretical average return per trade under a given strategy and set of statistical conditions. It analyzes the
$INTC 56.40, up 4.42%
High 57.42, low 53.60
Now trading just 1.8% below the high
Four days ago, it was still hovering around 52
This move is semiconductor-wide
MU and NVDA are both following
But it’s the weekend
The U.S. market is closed—who set this price?
A few market makers on the floor are testing each other
Before Monday’s open, 56.40 means nothing
I’m not chasing it
If you really want to chase, wait for it to hold above 57.42
Set the stop-loss at 55.8, target 60
Risk-reward ratio of 2.8, but you have to wait until Monday
(Not investment advice; you’re responsible for your own gains and l
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INTC+0.05%
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C5xp...pump
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#每周来晒 #BTCETFOutflowsContinue Tracking the Liquidity Shifts at the $76,042 Boundary
The digital asset ecosystem is navigating a critical phase of capital repricing, driven by a sharp divergence between spot market resilience and institutional fund flows. Captured precisely at 11:18 AM PKT on Saturday, November 7, 2026, Bitcoin is trading firmly at the $76,042 zone, showcasing a robust structural defense against a week of intense Wall Street liquidations. Over the weekly cycle spanning November 2–6, U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs registered an aggregate net outflow of approximately $922 million, forci
BTC-0.67%
BITB-0.36%
GBTC-0.40%
The long-term downtrend structure remains intact, while the short-term rebound lacks volume: Is this support or just a pause before further declines?
Recently, several crypto friends have asked a very interesting question: Before Trump took office, Bitcoin surged from around $75,000 to $120,000. Now that Trump is about to finish selling off his Bitcoin, could it fall back below $70,000?

First, a correction: This is not a question of “prediction,” because Bitcoin is currently fluctuating above $75,000.

CME Bitcoin futures closed at 75,785 last night, with an intraday low of 74,810. About 140
BTC-0.65%
ETH-1.23%
#$AKE It’s a day off today, so there’s not much movement. Many people may not be able to resist trading altcoins, but I don’t recommend it. Its daily chart is heading straight down. It keeps getting pumped up, then crashes hard again. You can tell it’s a completely manipulated coin. Everyone should try to stay away and be careful not to get targeted for liquidation.
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AKE+6.07%
ICT reviews the signals that appeared before the drop
1. Bearish order block
2. MSS
3. iFVG
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🔴 $SOL SHORT SETUP — BEARS STILL HOLDING CONTROL!

$SOL is struggling to recover after a sharp sell-off, with price consolidating below key resistance.

Entry: 89.95
SL: 91.65

TP1: 89.20
TP2: 88.29
TP3: 87.30
Final Target: 86.50

Sellers still have the upper hand as buyers struggle to push price above 90.50–91.00. A breakdown below 88.29 could trigger another wave of selling toward 87.30 and lower.

Invalidation: A sustained recovery above 91.65 weakens the bearish setup.

Based on the supplied spot chart, not a live quote. Price is currently consolidating, so the short setup is speculative
SOL-0.77%
Technology Stocks Face Heavy Selling Pressure

The latest market weakness has put technology stocks under significant pressure, with Intel among the notable underperformers.

The broader selloff highlights how quickly market sentiment can shift, especially when investors become cautious about high-valued tech companies.

With technology stocks making up a large share of the market's biggest losers, the pressure appears broader than just one company.

The key question now is whether this is a temporary correction or the beginning of a deeper shift in market sentiment.

Investors will be watchin
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INTC+8.00%
68k lots in one hour; the past four hours added up to 194 lots.
Q: Who was chasing that 68k-lot candle at 19:00?
A: It rose from 238.11 to 259.86, up 9.1% in an hour, with volume 2.75 times the average.
Q: What about the traders now?
A: Just 32 lots at 13:00 and ten at 14:00. The quote providers have called it a day.
Q: Does this price still count?
A: 256.73 is the MA20. Now 256.69 is right on the line, but volume is zero.
A precise touch doesn’t count; the weekend order book is just an echo.
Now $MRNA 256.69, 7.1% below last night’s 276.39.
Trading resumes only at 22:30 on Monday; consider go
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MRNA-3.55%
In the cryptocurrency market, many people look for trading opportunities every day, but few take the time to make a trading plan. They go long when they see BTC rising and short when they see prices falling, then start questioning their judgment as soon as the market moves slightly against them. This kind of planless trading can easily lead to repeated losses.
So, what should a truly effective trading plan include?
First, define your trading direction. Before entering a trade, analyze whether the market is currently trending up, trending down, or moving sideways. Don’t decide on a direction ba
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BTC-0.67%
The batteries from 125 retired electric buses in Xiangyang went through 22 rounds of bidding on a trading platform. With an appraised price of 6,310.05 yuan per ton, they ultimately sold for 13,850 yuan per ton—a 119.49% premium and a total price of nearly 3 million yuan.

The buses have reached the end of the line, but their batteries have become hot commodities, with multiple recycling companies bidding up the price. retirement doesn't mean worthless—it just means taking on a new role and getting back to work.
$BTC
BTC-0.67%
Why Do Some Altcoins Often Fall More Sharply When BTC Drops?

A common phenomenon in the cryptocurrency market is that when BTC falls by a few percentage points, some altcoins may experience much steeper declines.

Why do different assets perform so differently when facing the same market downturn? This involves several factors, including market liquidity, risk appetite, capital structure, and leverage.

First, altcoins may have thinner liquidity.

Compared with major assets like BTC, some altcoins have less depth in their order books and may also have wider bid-ask spreads. When concentrated
BTC-0.67%
What Is Trading Expectancy? How Can You Tell Whether a Strategy Has an Edge Over the Long Run?

In cryptocurrency trading, some people review their win rate and look for better entry points every day, while overlooking a more fundamental question: If you repeatedly trade according to the same set of rules, how much will you earn or lose per trade on average over the long run?

That is the question trading expectancy aims to answer.

First, what is trading expectancy?

Trading expectancy is the theoretical average return per trade under a given strategy and set of statistical conditions. It ana
$PEPE , $FLOKI & $LUNC AREN’T JUST MEMES, THEY’RE SURVIVORS!
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PEPE+0.97%
FLOKI-0.82%
LUNC-2.74%
🔹 The US Democratic Partys AI regulatory offensive revealed: plans for intensive legislation to rig
live-cover
LIVE1,965
11.7 BTC Analysis

Over the weekend, the one-hour Bollinger Bands continued to contract. The earlier sharp drop formed a long lower wick, with clear buying support at the bottom, indicating a basing and recovery pattern after seller exhaustion. The rapid sell-off flushed out panic selling and stop-loss orders, fully correcting the oversold deviation. The price stabilized and rebounded off the lower Bollinger Band and is now consolidating near the middle band. Net inflows have recovered somewhat, while intermittent sell orders have struggled to exert sustained pressure on the market. Bulls have
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BTC-0.67%
$AKE $AKE I told you to buy the dip, but you were still trashing me in the comments. How about that—you got played by the market makers again.
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AKE+6.07%
🔹 High prices continue to erode purchasing power, and US consumer confidence remains weak.
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LIVE1,986
Entered a new long on $twt
SL: $0.3933
Tp: $0.408
2RR
— DTT
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TWT-1.16%
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