Oversold rebound
11.9 $BTC $ETH | Morning market review
Short the rebound
BTC: Currently back around 75,300. This is a typical “V-shaped recovery after a sharp drop,” but the rebound has already hit short-term moving average resistance

ETH: Weaker price action, plunging from 2,247 to a low of 2,079 before rebounding to 2,153. The rebound was smaller than BTC’s, and the candlestick has an upper shadow, indicating clear selling pressure overhead

Short-term trading strategy: Short
BTC: Watch around 76,100; if momentum stalls, consider a small position
ETH: Watch around 2,200; if momentum stal

Why Can a Trading Strategy with a Very High Win Rate Still Lose Money Over the Long Term?

Many traders like to pursue a high win rate.

A 70% win rate sounds pretty good.

An 80% win rate seems even better.

But one easily overlooked issue is that if the amount lost on each losing trade is far greater than the amount gained on each winning trade, you can still end up losing money even if you are often right.

The win rate determines how many times you win, but it cannot alone determine how much money you ultimately make.

I. First, a Simple Mathematical Example

Suppose two strategies each ma

11.9 Gold Morning Outlook

Gold surged this morning, climbing rapidly from around 4025 to near 4130, with strong short-term momentum. After bearish nonfarm payrolls pressured it down to 4027 last Friday, it stabilized and rebounded, holding the key 4028–4030 support. The bearish expectations had already been priced in, and buying support remains solid.

On the 4-hour chart, lows are gradually rising, moving averages have shifted from flat to turning upward, and the MACD red histogram bars continue to expand, with the bullish structure gradually opening up. Gold has already moved above the 4100

Calling it a wrap; I'm not betting on the finals anymore
Made 30k U on this League of Legends prediction
Made 20k U on Polymarket
Same as last year and the year before
I'll just make 50k U a year and call it good
Thanks, League of Legends
You could say you've given me 1 million RMB over three years
All those years playing weren't for nothing

When Should You Pause a Trading Strategy? What Conditions Must Be Met Before Resuming?

There is a dangerous situation in trading:

You have already noticed that a strategy is performing increasingly poorly, but because it used to make money, you are unwilling to stop.

You tell yourself that it will recover after a few more trades; as losses mount, you start tweaking parameters, hoping to return to the previous profit curve.

But the question is: are you waiting for the strategy to recover, or using past success to convince yourself to keep taking on risk?

To address this, you cannot rely on

11.9 BTC Market Analysis
Bitcoin monthly hidden divergence; the weekly chart shows a MACD death cross (watch for inversion risk)
5-day/3-day charts: short at highs 2-day chart has fallen below zero This move is mainly a door-shaped selloff driven by the 6/8-hour below-zero rebound 1-hour hidden divergence; intraday, wait for a 15/30-minute setup to form before trading
Intraday resistance: 75674 76300 76800
Intraday support: 74476 73653 72778
‍$BTC

After BTC Plunges, How Can You Tell a Normal Correction from a Trend Reversal?

Whenever Bitcoin sees a sharp drop, the easiest mistake for investors to make is to rush to conclusions about the market. Some believe it is a normal pullback in a bull market, while others think a bear market has begun. But the truly important question is: What signals should we use to distinguish between these two scenarios?

First, look at market structure. A normal correction typically does not completely break the previous upward structure. Prices may pull back, but key support areas may still hold. If prices

BTC outlook today | Rebound lacks strength after the sharp drop to 73333; continue to expect choppy, bearish trading near 75000!

BTC saw a high-volume selloff in the early hours, touching a low of 73333, followed by a rapid rebound, but is still fluctuating around 75000.

On the news front, the US-Iran situation remains uncertain, and shipping risks in the Strait of Hormuz have not yet been eliminated. Geopolitical developments may continue to affect market sentiment, so avoid blindly buying the dip in the short term.

Trading plan for today:

Aggressive short: Try a small short position arou

#GateLaunchesPoSECProofOfSecurity — Redefining Exchange Security*

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Can someone teach me how to apply for a physical card?

#NvidiaCEOUnderInvestigation
Allegations against $NVDA Nvidia CEO are not merely a legal headline; they represent the ultimate stress test for an AI valuation built on singular leadership and unbroken execution.

Reports that Jensen Huang is under investigation introduce a variable that financial models cannot easily quantify: key person risk. For eighteen months, Nvidia has traded not just as a semiconductor manufacturer, but as the physical embodiment of the AI revolution, with its premium valuation inextricably linked to Huang’s visionary credibility and strategic foresight. When the archi

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On November 9, BTC saw a weak recovery after a high-volume breakdown; short into the rebound
Entry timing: Price rebounds to the 75000–75600 zone
Stop-loss: 76300
Take-profit targets:
First target: 74000–73600
Second target: 73400–73000

【Key Takeaway】
On the 1-hour chart, price plunged on heavy volume this morning, forming a large bearish candle with a body exceeding 2,000 points. It broke decisively below all short- and medium-term moving averages—MA7, MA30, and EMA30—and completely invalidated the previous consolidation range of 75500–76200, with a low of 73385. The drop was accompanied by

How to build a trading cost accounting sheet to see your true profits?

Many traders review their trades every day, but may overlook one key question:

Your account appears to be making money, but how much is left after all costs are deducted?

Without complete trade records, you may know which trades made money, but not what is steadily eroding your profits.

Today, we’re sharing a trading cost accounting method you can put into practice right away.

I. Record every trade

We recommend creating an Excel spreadsheet that records at least the following information:

* Trade date and trading pai

☀️ Good morning, everyone in the altcoin community! 🪙
A new week is underway! Last week was a thrilling roller coaster for the markets—the stronger-than-expected nonfarm payrolls cooled expectations for Fed rate cuts, and although the Nasdaq staged an oversold bounce on Friday, it remained under pressure for the week; our BTC also plunged in an instant amid a leveraged-position wipeout, briefly breaking through the $75K level and touching $73,420 before beginning an oversold recovery.
Even more explosive, the tech world dropped a bombshell over the weekend—NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang (aka “Jense

Aoying’s latest move: went long 284 Hynix tokens at $840 each, with a total position value of 200k U. $SKHYNIX

During gold’s last rebound, Bitcoin rose from 58,000 to 81,000; during this rebound, where will Bitcoin rise to from 73,000?

Bitcoin’s outlook for this week: 72,500 is not the bottom; I’m more inclined to expect another test of 71,000–71,400.
The Jiazi piece projected 73k based on a 10% drop from 81,490. This morning, spot hit a low of 73,510, already close to that level. But my view is not that “the target is almost here, so the decline is over.” Last week closed around 74,851, and 77,500 has been decisively lost; the bears have yet to give up control.
The Start of Winter ushered in the Ji-Hai month, when Hai water is in season. The Twelve Monthly Hexagrams move from the Bo hexagram in the Xu month to the Kun hexag