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The U.S. midterm elections are coming up in November.
Looking back at the three midterm election years, crypto suffered steep declines each time, with full-year losses exceeding 50%.
There were mainly two reasons:
First, due to Bitcoin’s four-year halving cycle, the bear-market bottom often happens to fall in a midterm election year;
Second, crypto is a high-beta risk asset. Uncertainty rises before elections, funds seek safety, and the declines are amplified.
Of course, each year also had its own additional negative factors (the 2018 BCH fork and the 2022 FTX collapse and rate hikes).
So I’ll
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BTC-2.45%
BCH-4.75%
Machi trading roller coaster is unreal.
He reportedly turned just $56K into $12.25M in four months, only to see his account drop back to around $27K after a series of liquidations.
From millions to almost starting over, a brutal reminder of how quickly leverage can wipe out even massive gains.
Making millions is one thing. Keeping them is another.
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IN-6.24%
Currently, multiple timeframes have not formed an upward resonance; overall, the structure is “bearish on the 1-hour/4-hour charts, while the daily chart is consolidating and pulling back from highs.” Short BTC with a light position around 82,500 on a rebound, stop loss at 83,300, targets 81,400→80,400.
For ETH: short at 2,480-2,500, stop loss at 2,530, targets 2,405→2,370.
What do you all think?
Feel free to leave a comment and discuss together.
#美国9月CPI超预期
BTC-2.45%
ETH-5.17%
🌈 Gate Live Livestream Inspiration - October 15
Hot Topic Recommendations:
🔹 South Korean stocks plunge into panic! KOSPI crashes 7%, while SK hynix plunges 10%—is the global AI chip bull market about to undergo a major reshuffle?
🔹 Anthropic's valuation evaporates by nearly $100 billion in one day! Its OTC market value falls nearly 5%—how long can the AI giant's sky-high valuation hold?
🔹 Gold has bounced back after its drop! It has basically recovered the losses following the CPI release—is safe-haven capital starting to bet on gold again?
🔹 The dollar takes a roller-coaster ride! It gi
GateLiveChinese
🌈 Gate Live Livestream Inspiration - October 15
Hot Topic Recommendations:
🔹 South Korean stocks plunge into panic! KOSPI crashes 7%, while SK hynix plunges 10%—is the global AI chip bull market about to undergo a major reshuffle?
🔹 Anthropic's valuation evaporates by nearly $100 billion in one day! Its OTC market value falls nearly 5%—how long can the AI giant's sky-high valuation hold?
🔹 Gold has bounced back after its drop! It has basically recovered the losses following the CPI release—is safe-haven capital starting to bet on gold again?
🔹 The dollar takes a roller-coaster ride! It gives back all its gains after the CPI release—why is the market no longer buying the logic that inflation benefits the dollar?
🔹 Whales sell BTC and aggressively buy ETH! 237.8 Bitcoin are swapped for 7,929 Ethereum—is big money beginning to bet on ETH's comeback?
🔹 CPI unexpectedly heats up, making Warsh's speech tomorrow even more important! Rising inflation disrupts market expectations—what will the Fed do next?
🔹 U.S. stocks and BTC both come under pressure! The Nasdaq falls nearly 2% and Bitcoin approaches its recent low—are speculative funds retreating en masse?
🔹 A 50-basis-point rate hike could come as soon as December! A top forecaster issues a stunning warning—has the market seriously underestimated the Fed's hawkish stance?
🔹 AI hot stocks face a broad sell-off! Optical communications lead the decline, while chip and memory stocks weaken across the board; Strategy falls 5.8%!
Choose any topic to go live for a chance to be featured on the official website's homepage!
🔥 More topic inspiration and tips: https://www.gate.com/help/community-center/live_chat/49345
repost-content-media
SK Hynix-11.06%
BTC-2.45%
ETH-5.17%
XAU+0.37%
$XAUT Short Fades a Strong, Accelerating Recovery Momentum Conflict
Pair: $XAUT /USDT
Direction: SHORT
Entry Zone: 4143.74
Take Profit:
- TP1: 4118.76 +0.6%
- TP2: 4102.10 +1.0%
- TP3: 4077.12 +1.6%
Stop Loss: 4177.05
Chart Structure:
- XAUT broke down sharply from ~4200 to a low near 4075-4080, then staged a strong, sustained recovery back through MA7/MA25 with a notably large green candle pushing to current price
- Price is approaching the declining MA99 (purple) from below, which is the next real resistance level but hasn't tested it yet
- RSI(14) recovered from ~25-28 at the low all th
XAUT+0.30%
$FET retesting.
Haven’t even started.
You are very early ✍🏻
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FET-8.64%
South Korean Stock Losses Raise New Concerns for Semiconductor Investors
live-cover
LIVE1,356
Winners will always make it happen by any means!
Losers will always have excuses
It's time to dance!
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If someone gets desperately hungry, she’ll run out to eat with a face mask on
I spent the entire afternoon getting body and facial treatments and almost starved to death
How come I stepped outside and everyone was talking about @StandX_Official?
If there’s no TGE, are those farming volume being treated like black slaves? I heard there’ll be an airdrop, but it probably won’t amount to as much as the fees, right?
And have the @KaitoAI users been exploited for free again? Why is it always us who get hurt?
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The market now estimates a 29.3% probability that the Federal Reserve will raise interest rates by 25 basis points at its October 28 meeting, up from 17.7% a week ago.
The Probability of a Fed Rate Hike in October Surges
This indicates that the market is beginning to worry about a rebound in inflation and another spike in interest rates.
Highly leveraged funds speculating on AI infrastructure are being forced to cut their losses and exit early.
In plain English:
If inflation cannot be brought under control, BTC and U.S. stocks may remain under pressure;
If rate hike expectations cool, a reboun
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BTC-2.45%
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If you hold Ethereum, you have no right to mock A-shares
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ETH-5.17%
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All eyes on this chart
$BTC
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BTC-2.45%
Anthropic revenue is surging, so why is the AI sector plunging?
Because the market is undergoing a “dramatic purge of valuations and funding channels.”
The numerator (application revenue) is strong, but the denominator (U.S. Treasury yields and the cost of highly leveraged financing) is soaring.
The asset-heavy intermediaries that previously relied on borrowed money to build computing capacity and lease GPUs are seeing their bubbles burst. The intense struggle between capital expenditures and ROI is driving a valuation pullback at the infrastructure layer.
Looking ahead: The AI narrative has n
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📈 Top experts, let the data speak!
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PAXG+0.36%
XAU+0.37%
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Down 5%! A bloodbath in chip stocks, $SNDK plunges, retail investors suffer heavy losses—is it time to buy the dip or catch a falling knife?
The falling knife keeps dropping until it draws blood! Memory chip stocks collapse across the board, with SNDK bulls wiped out!
Brutally slaughtered before the U.S. market opened! SK Hynix plunged 6%, SanDisk fell 5%, while Micron and Western Digital dropped 4%. TSMC’s earnings report caused turbulence, and panic spread. A one-way waterfall decline! MA10 is firmly capping the price, MACD is below the zero line, and RSI has hit the oversold zone at 31. Th
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SNDK-6.92%
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The three storage giants are really something—continuing to plunge after hitting their highs. TradFi is a battleground too; just look at how badly the 3x leveraged semiconductor long has fallen. #美国9月CPI超预期
$KOSPI is down 40% from ATHs
South Korean investors are facing a second wave of forced liquidations this year
Forced margin liquidations reached $44 million, the highest level in over two months, while margin loan balances climbed to $26 billion, their highest level in three months
Meanwhile, investor deposits fell to $75 billion, indicating rising leverage alongside shrinking cash buffers
Foreign investors also sold $3.4 billion in a single day, bringing their year-to-date net selling above $149 billion
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