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A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend from Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationships, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Recommendations)
Comprehensive Assessment
Dow Theory confirms a short-term bullish trend, with 84,400 as the medium-term confirmation line
The Chan Theory consolidation zone has shifted upward into the Iron Curtain, with three types of buy points approaching
Elliott Wave Theory’s Wave D target is 84,700-86,850
Volume-price relationship: a low-volume spring + increased volume + Monday’s early session + 240 million Delta, indicating buye
BTC+0.82%
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Starlink|BTC|October 12 Outlook
Go long with a light position at the current price, with the main position around 83000; add another 20% after breaking through 84500.
After rebounding from the low of 80344, BTC has reclaimed 83000 and is currently around 83800.
At this point in the rebound, there is no need to rush into chasing the highs. 84500 is a key short-term level to watch. Whether the price can break through it decisively will determine whether there is further room for an upward move.
Today's plan:
Current price: Go long with a light position and control the position size.
Main positio
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Current market consensus is extremely strong, with the vast majority betting that BTC will remain at elevated levels; in a highly consensus-driven market, beware the “consensus trap.”
78,000–80,000 is the collective psychological support range; 82,000 is the key threshold for further opening up upside.
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LTH dumped 32,000 BTC—has the bull market peaked? Wake up, this is the real golden buying opportunity!
Bull markets never die from old holders selling; they only die when new capital dries up.
On October 12, Murphy data showed that long-term holders (LTHs) transferred approximately 32,000 BTC to exchanges between October 7 and 8, marking the largest single-day inflow since February 5. The market panicked, but my view is clear: this is not a top signal, but normal rotation in the middle-to-late stages of a bull market.
Approximately 17,200 BTC came from US government-related wallets and were tr
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BTC+0.82%
ETH+1.39%
Holy shit you miss two days and you feel like years went by
How the hell are we doing guys?
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10.12 ETH Market Trend$ETH
ETH's trend is similar to BTC's rhythm. After rising to a high of 2555.22, it pulled back for a correction. A rapid dip in the middle completed a shakeout, followed by gradual stabilization amid consolidation and the start of a new rebound. The current price is above the MA7, MA25, and MA99 moving averages, whose bullish alignment is supporting the price. The MACD DIF has remained above DEA, maintaining a bullish stance. Trading volume has increased moderately during this rebound, with strong buying support.
#以太坊三季度涨超71%
Trading Strategy
Entry: Go long on a pull
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🔥🚨 HOT TRADER LIVE | BTC BREAKOUT OR DUMP? 🐂🐻 | BIG MOVE ALERT ⚡📈
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LIVE1,581
It’s at 60, and you’re still pretending not to see it?
The CMC Altcoin Season Index has hit 60. Historically, once it holds at this level, several meme coins usually emerge.
$WIF is one of Solana’s established memes—not a newly launched shitcoin, but a project that has survived several bull and bear cycles. Recently, whale addresses on-chain have been active, with net accumulation for several consecutive days.
If you don’t want to switch apps to check the price, just click the $WIF tag below to view the live order book—it’s all right there.
Don’t dismiss memes as lowbrow. When the market takes
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ONDO+5.81%
TIA-5.81%
10.12 ETH Intraday Market
Ethereum’s 3-day timeframe has already formed a death cross. The 2-day timeframe MACD indicates high-level shorting, while the daily timeframe is rebounding (a hidden divergence has formed on the daily/12-hour timeframes). The 4-hour to 8-hour timeframes are developing a bottoming pattern. Intraday, watch for a below-zero rebound on the 4-hour timeframe.
Support below: 2513 2485 2450
Resistance above: 2572 2611 2632$ETH
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ETH+1.43%
Stop avoiding the inevitable. The time is now. Lock tf in.
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Trade & Hold to Earn, Enjoy 3,000 GT in Rewards https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6438?ref_type=132
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$ZEC Second short-term long
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10.12 ETH take a light long position near 2520, targeting 2600/2650
A light short position can be taken near 2600, with a stop-loss above 2620
ETH 1H dropped from 2738 all the way to 2405. Although the current price of 2552 has rebounded, the medium- and long-term moving averages are still exerting pressure
2570-2600 is the resistance zone above. If the rebound fails to hold, continue to watch for a pullback.
9 years of trading: don’t catch falling knives during a crash, and don’t blindly chase rebounds.
Look at the position first, then determine the direction; $ETH #ETH
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All profits come from market conditions; never go against the market.
My student sometimes trades against the trend and often asks me about it. I ask, “Do you understand the overall trend?” He says yes—he just wanted to take a bite, but got wrecked.
The market moves you look forward to are nothing more than wanting to get rich overnight, but are you prepared? Do you understand trends? Do you understand the market?
If you understand nothing, how can you make profits?
$LUMIA ‌ $GRASS ‌
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LUMIA+7.94%
GRASS+27.58%
Featured32,000 $BTC Coins Dumping Scare? The Bull Market’s Ultimate Master Plan Behind LTH Distribution!
“Every deep dip in the market is for a more violent takeoff; every transfer of coins is a redistribution of wealth.”
Data from analyst Murphy shows that from October 7 to 8, LTH transferred 32,000 BTC to exchanges. Excluding the 17,200 BTC transferred by the U.S. government to Coinbase Prime, the actual potential selling pressure was only 14,800 BTC, originating from coins held for 6–12 months and 3–5 years. During the transition between bull and bear markets, LTH transferring an average of 2,000–
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These two short positions—fortunately, we reversed course in time
🔹South Korean Stocks Suddenly Tumble! KOSPI drops over 2 with SK Hynix leading the losses. Are Asia
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#EthereumUpOver71%inQ3 ETH is printing a classic Wyckoff accumulation signature — and the next few weeks could decide the next big leg.
Ethereum has spent recent months hunting liquidity on both sides of a wide base roughly between $1,747 and $2,464. This kind of two-sided liquidity grab is exactly what you often see at the end of a prolonged corrective phase — the market shakes out weak hands on the downside, traps late shorts on the upside, and allows smarter money to quietly accumulate.
Right now ETH is trading around the mid-$2,500s after reclaiming higher ground. The structure still looks
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ETH+1.39%
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