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Brent at $104 is putting a “tightening spell” on BTC
On October 7, BTC fell below $83,000, with $550 million in leveraged positions liquidated within 24 hours. On October 9, it touched a low of $80,427, while weekly ETF outflows reached $484.9 million.
That same day, Brent crude rose above $104. The 30-year U.S. Treasury yield hit 5.731%—the highest since 2002.
Three events, on the same day.
This is not a coincidence. It is a complete transmission chain.
The first link: Hormuz.
Kpler data shows that crude oil transit through the Strait of Hormuz has fallen 27% from its wartime peak to at least
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BTC+0.22%
CL+0.58%
BZ+0.71%
Analysis crypto market
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LIVE298
I'm trading on Gate, a top-tier exchange with a 13-year track record. Come join me and dive into the hottest events right now! https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6535?ch=8263&ref=VLBNVAHDVQ&ref_type=132
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  • 4
GM Everyone☀️
Another day to show up and put in the work.
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Bitcoin Will Stop Where If It Keeps Falling? CryptoQuant Forecasts Potential Bottom
CryptoQuant has analyzed Bitcoin's drawdowns across previous bull cycles to assess the current downside risk. The findings show the ongoing correction remains milder than the historical average.
The Bitcoin Bull Cycle Price Corrections indicator tracked the average drawdown for each cycle: 18.41% (2010–2011), 21.71% (2011–2013), 10.93% (2015–2017), 19.39% (2018–2021), and 7.58% (2022–2025). Across all five cycles, the average sits at roughly 14.39%.
⚠️ Personal market analysis only. NFA — manage risk and DYOR.
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BTC+0.22%
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There’s no need to deny $ERA ’s strength, but treating overheating as safety often comes when sentiment is at its most expensive.
I’m watching just one divergence: whether support remains after breaking above 0.0939. The current price is 0.0843, with volume at 0.16x. The 1-hour and 4-hour trends are both strong, with RSI at 57 and 79, respectively.
If volume continues to expand after breaking above 0.0939, the initiative will favor the bulls; if it falls below 0.0743 and fails to reclaim it, the short-term thesis is invalidated, and the next level to watch shifts to 0.0601.
Don’t rush to guess
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ERA+9.30%
ETH is range-bound, but this setup screams reversal.

$ETH /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 2498.8 – 2502.4
SL: 2518.4
TP1: 2487.3
TP2: 2478.4
TP3: 2465.1

Why this setup?
Why now? The daily trend is range, yet the 1h ATR of 7.398299 signals enough volatility for a sharp move. The 15m RSI at 40.31 shows bearish momentum without being oversold, allowing room to drop. The entry zone sits at 2500.6, with TP1 at 2487.3 and TP2 at 2478.4 offering clear targets for a short bias. The invalidation level of 2591.9 is the hard line that would prove this setup wrong.

Debate:
Are we pushing toward T
ETH+0.21%
GM Saiyans! 🙌
“Someday, you will thank the version of yourself that never gave up.”
----
$BTC : $83.111
$ETH : $2.503
#BTC Fear & Greed Index: 61
#Bitcoin Dominance: 60%
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BTC+0.22%
ETH+0.21%
$ENA Is at the Threshold—Surging Past It Does Not Mean It Can Hold
$ENA 24 hours +0.73%, current price 0.2205, just 2.22% below the 1-hour resistance at 0.2254. Positions like this most easily create an illusion: briefly crossing above during the session gets mistaken for a completed breakout. The truly meaningful answer is whether it can still hold after crossing.
Volume has not backed the move: Current 1-hour trading volume is only 0.05 times the average volume of the previous 20 candles. Low volume can still move prices quickly, but sustainability must be proven by the next leg of the move.
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ENA+1.00%
No livestream this weekend—heading to Chengdu for a two-day trip.
How is she just a wife? She’s clearly the strongest partner!
Eight years of holding $ETH through some of crypto’s worst crises, only to lose nearly $147,000 in a single wallet compromise.
On-chain records show approximately 59 ETH leaving a wallet that had received funds as far back as 2018.
The loss has reportedly been linked to a compromised wallet and the CryptoBillis Ledger drainer, although the exact cause still needs verification.
What makes this case particularly disturbing is that surviving market volatility wasn't enough. The biggest risk came from wallet security, not price action.
Self-custody gives you control, but that control is only as se
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ETH+0.21%
Good morning familia.
Happy weekend.
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#Bitcoin #Ethereum #etf
📉💸Outflows from Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs neared $1 billion
Since the beginning of October, U.S. spot BTC and ETH funds have lost $986.3 million in net capital
According to Farside Investors, as cited by Cointelegraph, Bitcoin ETFs accounted for $407.4 million and Ethereum ETFs for $578.9 million
On October 8, $244.1 million was withdrawn from Bitcoin ETFs, following an outflow of $484.9 million the previous day. The October 7 result was the largest daily outflow since June 25.
Over two sessions, the funds lost $729 million
Ethereum ETFs recorded an outflow of $72.5 m
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BTC+0.66%
ETH+0.46%
Bitcoin has already made its bottom.
If $BTC closes candle above $83,000 with strong volume in October, we will see a new ATH.
Massive pump is loading.
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BTC+0.22%
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crypto market update
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LIVE2,034
What grudge, what resentment? Feeling a little wistful
Former lovers who once shared unforgettable and beautiful memories shouldn’t be enemies either
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$TIA I have to say this: volume is three times higher, it’s up more than 20%, and the price is at a seven-day high—that does look like a breakout.
But precisely because it looks like a breakout, the last thing I want to do right now is rush in. I don’t know how much of that threefold volume and 20%-plus gain came from limit-up chasers piling in, but chasing at the highs and then getting caught by a pullback can hurt for several days.
If I’m not holding any, I’ll just watch from the sidelines and wait for it to establish itself. If I am holding, I’ll sit tight, not add to my position, and let i
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TIA+23.51%
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