In a Truth Social post, Trump assured supporters that the U.S. will not attack Iran “at any time” before the midterms. He also revealed that the U.S. was having productive discussions with Iran.
The shift eased some geopolitical risk concerns, while oil prices also pulled back from recent highs. $BTC ’s ability to hold above $81K could be important for the rebound, but negotiations remain unresolved, so renewed tensions could quickly reverse the move.
With Trump’s statement, Bitcoin traders increased their bets. Specifically, they bet the U.S.-Iran ceasefire will last until mid-November. Polyma

#美联储9月纪要偏鹰
🔥 THE FED’S HAWKISH WARNING: COULD OCTOBER BECOME A TURNING POINT FOR BITCOIN?
The Federal Reserve is sending a message that crypto traders should not ignore: inflation remains a concern, and the possibility of another interest-rate increase has not disappeared.
The September meeting minutes revealed that some Fed officials remain concerned about persistent inflation and believe additional tightening could become necessary if economic conditions demand it.
However, there is an important distinction between what the Fed is warning about and what the market actually expects.
Investo

What has the market already priced in? Is the 80% probability of no rate hike reliable?

The CME FedWatch tool shows that the market has priced in an 80.6% probability of rates remaining unchanged in October and a 19.4% probability of a 25-basis-point rate hike. For December, the probability of rates remaining unchanged is 21.7%, the probability of a cumulative 25-basis-point rate hike is 64.1%, and the probability of a cumulative 50-basis-point rate hike is 14.2%.

Are these figures reliable? Let me break them down simply.

First, October. An 80.6% probability of no rate hike means the mar

💰 $126M in Net Inflows — Gate Ranks No. 3 Globally
According to PANews, Gate recorded approximately $126M in net inflows over the past month, ranking third among global centralized exchanges.
Gate also now serves 61M+ users across 150+ countries and regions.
Capital is flowing in. The global community keeps growing.
But here's the bigger question: Where will that capital go next?
BTC, GT, altcoins, or the next emerging trend?
Join Gate Square with #GateNetInflowsTop3 and share the assets, trading opportunities, or market trends you're watching.
👉 https://www.gate.com/post
Follow the capital.

$SOL
Rejected from 123.77, now bouncing off 105.72 support. Price is below all three MAs—bearish structure, but showing a relief bounce. Break above 110.72 triggers recovery; failure retests 105.72. Momentum cooling—wait for the close.
Entry Zone: 109.00 – 110.00
TP1: 110.72
TP2: 116.45
TP3: 120.16
Stop-Loss: 104.00
#SOL #ShareWeekly #GateAtTOKEN2049 #GateWCTCS9GlobalTradingCompetition #BTCPullsBackTo81000

Haha, I’m dying laughing
Several million people watched Japanese and South Koreans attack each other on X 😂
South Koreans: Japanese people are all short
Japanese: South Koreans are all like Liu Neng

#Themarkethaslostitsdirection.
BTC, AI Stocks, ZEC, and Negative Funding Rates
The underlying theme connecting these developments is rising market uncertainty and a potential shift toward risk aversion. The rebound in BTC, weakness in AI-focused stocks, the sharp drop in ZEC, and negative funding rates indicate that investors are becoming more cautious. However, these signals do not definitively confirm the start of a market-wide downtrend.
1. BTC: Is the $81,000 level a true bottom?
A rebound from $81,000 could signal that buyers are defending a critical support zone; however, it is too earl

Inflation expectations are at 3.9%, the highest since May 2023, and more gut-wrenching than the actual CPI. This is exactly what the Fed is watching—when ordinary people expect prices to rise, they really do feel emboldened to demand higher wages, and businesses really do feel emboldened to raise prices. One link leads to another, and inflation ends up feeding itself. Don’t ask why rate cuts are taking so long—it’s that simple. What do you think?

$SPY
has been grinding along support for ages. The 777 crowd is sweating as they wait for a breakdown, yet open interest has quietly risen 1.1%. If they can’t push it lower, that’s strength. I’m leaning bullish here; any pullback is an opportunity for the bulls to get on board😤

$ETH Latest strategy: short Ethereum at the current price of 2493, take profit at 2300, stop loss at 100 points; short on any pullback and catch the longs off guard.

🐋 245 BTC just moved on-chain, worth $20,306,567 at current price.
Whale wallet activity worth tracking.

never fade @base

I need this level of conviction in my life.

Gate Social National Day Rising Stars: Post & Go Live to Win GT https://www.gate.com/campaigns/6434?ref=VLARBF1YAG&ref_type=132

Buy $QNT before its too late.
Day 1067.

My ex-girlfriend was seeing another guy while dating me and cheated on me. I treated her very well, but she has no conscience. Is there anything I can do?!!

Good morning legends we made it to Friday!
Hope you all have a wonderful start to your weekend🩵

POV: Watching Drama Unfold without engaging