MatthewDixon

vip
Active for: 1.4y
Peak Tier 0
No content yet
Personally, I believe there is PLENTY of time for another #DXY low before a potentially rapid rise to coincide with the proposed Q4 low in #BTC & #Crypto
Selloffs can be violent affairs and as they say, corrections are often much more aggressive than rallies
BTC-1.02%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
USD/JPY may not be finished just yet.
Hidden Bullish Divergence, combined with an oversold RSI, suggests a relief rally could be close. If USD/JPY rebounds, it would likely imply renewed Yen weakness and a short-term improvement in risk appetite—potentially providing some relief for #Bitcoin and broader risk assets.
Markets rarely move in straight lines.
If you trade #USDYEN then we have perfect open and close signals with these divergences
USDJPY-0.71%
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • 1
  • Share
Perfect Storm Index™ | 2 August 2026
Today's Reading: 72/100 🔴
Risk conditions remain elevated. Liquidity continues to tighten while safe-haven demand is strengthening, with USD/JPY, the US Dollar and volatility all reinforcing a defensive macro backdrop.
The market doesn't need panic, it needs discipline.
When risk builds beneath the surface, protecting capital becomes just as important as seeking returns imo.
📉 Liquidity tightening
💵 USD firm
🇯🇵 Yen strengthening (risk-off)
📈 Volatility elevated
🌊 Elliott Wave remains corrective
The Perfect Storm Index™ isn't designed to predict every
BTC-1.02%
USDJPY-0.71%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
USD/JPY may not be finished just yet.
Hidden Bullish Divergence, combined with an oversold RSI, suggests a relief rally could be close. If USD/JPY rebounds, it would likely imply renewed Yen weakness and a short-term improvement in risk appetite—potentially providing some relief for #Bitcoin and broader risk assets.
Markets rarely move in straight lines.
USDJPY-0.71%
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
USD/JPY is one of the market's most important risk proxies. Here, Regular Bearish Divergence warned of the imminent reversal, with Yen strength reinforcing the shift to a risk-off environment across #Bitcoin and broader markets.
USDJPY-0.71%
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
- U.S. 30-Year Treasury Yield jumps to highest level since the run-up to the Global Financial Crisis.
(This is very bad for the US government)
-Washington Sold Euros to buy Japanese Yen in an extremely rare market intervention.
-Recent events confirm US Treasury notified banks of potential currency trades to support the yen, aligning with a sharp yen surge on July 30-31, 2026, suspected as Japanese intervention with possible US coordination via euro-yen exchanges.
— US national debt has officially surpassed $40 TRILLION for the first time in history.
Pressures of energy, war, and the AI arms
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Since the #BTC all-time high, we've seen a series of sideways corrective structures, each followed by another leg lower.
If this pattern continues, the current consolidation may represent another corrective B wave before a further decline.
Markets are driven by probabilities, not certainties—but for now, the weight of evidence continues to favour caution.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #ElliottWave #Trading
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • 4
  • Repost
  • Share
Arisaputra17:
hello, hope you have a nice day, chase your dreams as high as the sky
View More
Thank you to everyone following the Perfect Storm Index™ (PSI).
Behind every daily reading sits a broad range of macro, sentiment and technical indicators designed to quantify market risk, not headlines or opinions.
The goal isn't to predict the future. It's to help investors better understand probabilities and manage risk accordingly.
Thank you for being part of the journey.
#PSI #Bitcoin #Markets #Macro #Trading
PSI10.43%
BTC-1.02%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
While the broader #BTC outlook remains bearish, it is entirely possible that the B wave has one final push higher before the next impulsive decline begins.
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • 1
  • Repost
  • Share
GateUser-410bb95d:
While the broader #BTC outlook remains bearish, it is entirely possible that the B wave has one final push higher before the next impulsive decline begins.
Yesterday I explored the possibility of an impulsive count for #BTC, but after reviewing the evidence I don't believe it fits as well as the corrective interpretation from the all-time high.
My preferred count still calls for one more leg lower before the larger bull market resumes.
If correct, that should set the stage for a powerful advance to new all-time highs in 2027.
Elliott Wave isn't about certainty, it's about assigning probabilities and adapting as new information emerges.
#Bitcoin #Crypto #ElliottWave #Trading #PerfectStormIndex™
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
PERFECT STORM Index™
31 July 2026
Today's Reading: 76/100 🟠
Yesterday: 76 → Today: 76 (No Change)
The macro backdrop remains finely balanced. Sticky inflation, restrictive monetary policy and tight liquidity continue to limit risk appetite, while a firm US dollar keeps financial conditions relatively restrictive.
Key drivers:
• 📉 Liquidity: Constrained
• 💵 DXY: Firm
• 🌊 Elliott Wave: Corrective structure suggests caution
• 😐 Sentiment: Neutral to complacent
• 🛢️ Oil: Neutral
A 76 doesn't predict an imminent decline, it simply indicates that market conditions continue to warrant disciplin
BTC-2.93%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I present here a VALID alternative #BTC count (in black) that has a 5 wave impulse down from the ATH with the 3rd wave 2.618 X 1st wave. (thats pretty convincing)
Either way, whether corrective OR impulsive down, we should expect lower as 5th wave or C wave of Y section of WXY
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Perfect Storm Index™: 76/100 🔴
Bitcoin continues to consolidate, but the macro backdrop remains challenging.
The biggest uncertainty isn't today's price action, it's whether the Fed can return inflation sustainably to target without triggering a sharper economic slowdown.
Markets are pricing hope. The data still demands caution IMO
#Bitcoin #BTC #Macro #FOMC #Inflation #FED
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Perfect Storm Index™ | 30 July 2026
🔴 Today's Reading: 76/100 (Unchanged)
The macro backdrop remains challenging.
• 📉 Liquidity remains constrained
• 💵 A firm USD continues to pressure risk assets
• 🌊 Elliott Wave structure still favours caution
• 😨 Sentiment hasn't reached true capitulation
• 🛢 Oil is stabilising, but not yet a decisive tailwind
Markets don't need bad news to fall—they simply need conditions to remain fragile.
Protect capital. Stay patient. Wait for probabilities to improve IMO
#Bitcoin #Crypto #Macro #Trading #Investing #RiskManagement
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • 2
  • Repost
  • Share
GateUser-fef5a0e1:
The bull market is at its peak 🐂
View More
The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed 1,153.18 points lower, or 2.19%, at 51,594.14 for its worst decline since April 2025. The S&P 500 slid 1.52% to end the day at 7,316.15. The Nasdaq Composite fell 1.74% to 24,442.94, and crossed into correction territory.
Could this be the beginning of the leg down towards a potential Q4 low in markets, #Crypto etc
Nasdaq is highly correlated with #BTC
US300.82%
US5000.83%
BTC-1.02%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Could this be the beginning of the leg down towards a potential Q4 low in markets, #Btc #Crypto etc
BTC-1.02%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I spend my time looking for what's hidden, not what's obvious. That's often where the edge lies.
AI may become the defining technology of our generation. But the biggest uncertainty isn't the technology itself, it's how nations compete for dominance.
Innovation creates opportunity. Geopolitics creates risk.
The next decade could reshape markets, economies and global power in ways few investors fully appreciate.
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
I see the advance in $OIL as 5 waves (with wave 3 = 1.618 X wave 1) common with commodities!
This should be followed by a 3 wave correction before higher again ( marrying with my earlier analysis)
The 3 waves may me complete or still ongoing.
The following #OIL high should be substantial, driven by further geopolitical unrest and should HIT risk assets #BTC #Crypto etc
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
Perfect Storm Index™
🚨 Today's Reading: 76/100 🔴
Risk conditions have deteriorated further.
The increase from 68 → 76 reflects a broadening of macro headwinds rather than any single event:
📉 Dollar strength continues to tighten global financial conditions.
🌍 Geopolitical tensions have pushed investors towards safe-haven assets.
📊 Market breadth has weakened as fewer stocks participate in rallies.
🌊 Elliott Wave structure still favours a corrective phase.
😐 Sentiment remains complacent despite rising risks.
A reading of 76 doesn't guarantee a market decline—it simply suggests that the pr
BTC-1.02%
post-image
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
The CLARITY Act could prove to be a watershed moment for digital assets.
Greater regulatory clarity has the potential to unlock institutional participation, encourage innovation and strengthen confidence in the U.S. crypto market over the long term.
But investors should remember:
Good regulation doesn't eliminate macro risk.
Liquidity, the US dollar, credit conditions and market sentiment still drive markets.
That's why the Perfect Storm Index™ remains at 68/100 (Storm Warning) despite this positive structural development.
Successful investing means weighing all the evidence—not just the headl
BTC-1.02%
  • Reward
  • Comment
  • Repost
  • Share
  • Pinned