Why can a trading strategy with a high win rate still lose money over the long term?

A trading strategy with an 80% win rate sounds excellent, doesn’t it?

But suppose you make 100 trades, win 80 times and earn $10 each time, and lose 20 times and lose $50 each time.

What’s the final result?

Profit: 80 × 10 = $800

Loss: 20 × 50 = $1,000

A final loss of $200, not including fees and slippage.

That’s why you can’t evaluate a trading strategy by looking only at its win rate.

I. Why can a high win rate still lose money?

What truly determines long-term returns is the relationship between the

**$FATCOIN /USDT Perp – "Erratic Chop – Long"**
Trading Plan Long $FATCOIN
Entry: 0.00015
SL: 0.00014
TP1: 0.00016
TP2: 0.00017
FATCOIN is down -42.31% with very erratic wicks. MACD is completely flat; looking for a mean-reversion bounce to 0.00016. High risk due to low liquidity and erratic price action.

Understand DeFi Protocols—Don’t Just Focus on APY: Where Does the Yield Come From, and Who Bears the Risk?

In DeFi (decentralized finance), one question that’s easy to overlook is: when a protocol advertises an attractive annual percentage yield, where exactly does that yield come from?

APY is just a way of presenting the result; it does not, on its own, prove that a protocol is worth participating in.

To assess whether a DeFi protocol is sustainable, you can start by looking at these four areas.

I. Where does the yield come from?

Yield may come from interest paid by borrowers, trading fe

The AI industry's most awkward moment is here: revenue keeps climbing, so why doesn't that necessarily mean...

The AI industry is putting on a remarkable business performance.
On one side, revenue is growing rapidly, enterprise customers are multiplying, and the user base keeps expanding; on the other, GPU purchases, data center construction, power consumption, and R&D spending are all increasing.
It looks like a company whose business is getting better and better, but a look at its financial statements reveals that making money is far from as simple as it seems.
Why?
Because AI has one impor

I think I underdressed again,
And it’s strange how my sense and understanding of temperature are always a bit abstract,
Really, everywhere else is fine (because the AC is on)…
Except my hands—they’re just cold🥶!!!
They say people with cold hands are angels with broken wings, and are lovable…
I’m frozen stiff, so surely I should get some love first, right?
Hope there are lovable little sweethearts everywhere today! (I’ll boil a cup of water to warm up and show myself a little love first—my typing’s getting all messed up)
#Anthropic推进IPO估值最高1.4万亿美元
$ETH

Why do prices often reverse after breaking through support and resistance levels?
In cryptocurrency trading, many people have encountered this situation: BTC suddenly breaks through resistance, traders immediately go long, but the price quickly turns lower; or the price falls below support, shorts have just entered, but the market suddenly rebounds. This phenomenon is often related to false breakouts.
First, understand what a false breakout is. When the price breaks through a key support or resistance level but fails to establish a sustained directional move and instead quickly returns to the

Why Can Continuous Profits Make Losses More Likely?

In cryptocurrency trading, consecutive losses can make people cautious, but consecutive wins can sometimes make them let their guard down.

After making profits on several trades in a row, many people may unconsciously start to feel:

“I’ve figured out how the market works.”

So they start taking larger positions, widening their stop-losses, and gradually abandoning the trading plans they used to follow strictly.

It is only after an unexpected pullback wipes out a large portion of their accumulated profits that they realize the risks may ha

As more earnings reports come in and more executives speak, the market will eventually find out. Holding is still the most profitable strategy, and it will keep making money.
Buy the dip, hold long term. Discord is in my profile.

Does a Breakout Above Resistance Mean the Market Is About to Take Off?

In cryptocurrency trading, many people have experienced this:

The price finally breaks through a key resistance level, and trading volume also increases. Traders think the market is about to take off and jump in, only for the price to suddenly reverse and fall back into its previous range.

This is what traders often call a “false breakout.”

What really needs to be determined is not just whether the price has broken through, but whether the market can continue to accept higher prices afterward.

I. What Is a False Breako

Is the Fed turning hawkish again? Investment opportunities may be changing significantly by the end of 2026!

The hotter-than-expected US October CPI reminded the market of one thing: rate cuts have never been something the Fed is obligated to deliver.
Headline CPI rose 0.4% month over month, while core CPI rose 0.3%, showing that price pressures remain.
The market had previously expected interest rates to gradually decline, but now has to consider the possibility of rates staying higher for longer, or even rising further.
What does this mean for investment strategies?
First, investors can no

Why Can Prices Still Fall Despite Large Buy Orders on the Book?

In the crypto market, many traders see a large stack of buy orders in the order book and assume prices have strong support. But reality often tells a different story: buy orders look plentiful, yet prices keep falling. Why does this happen?

First, it is essential to distinguish between orders and trades. A buy order is simply a price at which a trader is willing to buy; it does not mean the funds have actually been used to complete a trade. If the buy orders are canceled before the price reaches them, what looked like solid supp

11/11 Midday Bitcoin:

On the short-term 4-hour chart, the current price is trading below the Bollinger middle band and close to the lower band. It has pulled back from the 76160 level, while the middle band continues to slope downward. Overall, the market is consolidating at low levels after a bearish alignment, with the previous low around 72690 serving as key short-term support.
​
On MACD, DIF is below DEA, and both lines are below the zero axis. The MACD histogram is at -63, so the bearish setup has not fundamentally reversed. However, the green bars have narrowed slightly after the declin

#Anthropic启动纳斯达克IPO路演 #ShareWeekly

Anthropic’s Nasdaq IPO: Can AI Turn Massive Investment Into Sustainable Profits?

The AI industry is approaching an important turning point. For years, investors have rewarded companies for their technological breakthroughs, future potential, and aggressive expansion. Now, the market is asking a much harder question: Can these companies convert extraordinary AI demand into sustainable profits?

Anthropic’s planned Nasdaq IPO could become one of the biggest tests of this transition.

My view is that this IPO is not simply about introducing another technolog

[Whale Positions]
Two more addresses have recently gone long $PEPE
on the evening of the 9th, two new addresses on Hyperliquid opened long positions in $PEPE 47 minutes apart; they have bought a total of about $7.94 million over the past two days and are both still adding to their positions
① Two newly entered addresses
0xd0f1: Began building a position at 22:59 on the 9th, using 10x cross margin and TWAP to buy in batches
Total purchases of about $4.2 million; current position worth about $4.27 million, average entry price of 0.005357, unrealized profit of about $67,900
Still adding to the p

Before Cross-Chain Transfers, Don’t Just Look at Fees: These 5 Checks Matter More

In the Web3 world, cross-chain transfers let users move assets between different blockchains and participate in applications, while bringing multi-chain ecosystems closer together.

But cross-chain transfers are not as simple as choosing a network, entering an address, and clicking confirm.

A successful cross-chain transaction does not mean the entire process was risk-free.

If you’re preparing to make a cross-chain transfer, these five things are worth checking in advance.

1. Confirm the Source and Destinatio

When you buy an NFT, what do you actually own? The image, the copyright, or a record on the blockchain?

Many people encountering NFTs for the first time think of them as digital images that can be bought, collected, and resold.

But the core value of an NFT is not just the image itself. It lies in using the blockchain to record the ownership and transfer of a specific token. The key question is: What rights do you actually acquire when you buy an NFT?

I. Owning an NFT does not mean owning the copyright to the work

Buying an NFT usually means you gain control of that token on the correspondi

A small batch of finished Plus products is now listed
Only 5 are up; if they sell out, we may restock tomorrow.