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The most uncertain one in years—will the Fed scare the market tonight?
1. Most likely they’ll still hold steady, but this time it’s really up in the air
The mainstream view is almost unanimous: all 104 economists expect the interest rate to stay put at 3.50%-3.75%.
But over in market futures, there’s still roughly a 30% chance priced in for a rate hike, making this the most “uncertain” meeting in recent years.
In plain terms: everyone says “they shouldn’t move,” but deep down people feel the new chair, Waller, might pull a sudden attack.
2. Why is this one so uncertain?
Mainly for these reason
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Before going to sleep tonight, remember to close out some leveraged positions first—you never know what crazy things those people might come up with.
$BTC $ETH #FOMC‬⁩ #利率决议
BTC0.22%
ETH-1.27%
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$ETH Signal: 4H bearish momentum continues, 1H weak consolidation
$ETH 4H MACD green histogram keeps expanding, and bearish momentum shows no signs of weakening. The 1H RSI has fallen to 39.6; the lower Bollinger Band is under pressure, and price repeatedly tests the 1890-1900 range. The order-book imbalance bid_ask_ratio is 1.84—buy orders are stacked, but the price lacks the strength to rebound. There are clear signs of sellers actively pushing down the price.
🎯Direction: short
⚡Entry/Limit orders: 1890.9301 - 1896.6200
🛑Stop loss: 1948.7429
🚀Target 1: 1818.4356
🚀Target 2: 1779.3435
🛡️T
ETH-1.27%
USD10.03%
BTC0.16%
SOL-1.56%
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BREAKING: Ethereum Institutional closes its initial funding round with backing from 100+ ecosystem participants.
Anchor funders include BitMine, SharpLink, Joseph Lubin and Mihai Alisie, with support from Aave, Arbitrum, Bitwise, Chainlink, Circle, Consensys, Lido, Ondo, Optimism, Uniswap and ZKsync.
ETH-1.36%
BMNR-3.15%
SBET-4.19%
AAVE-2.10%
ARB-1.97%
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🚨 JUST IN: BlackRock, the world’s largest asset manager with roughly $15 trillion in assets under management, is urging the U.S. Senate to pass the Crypto CLARITY Act.
BLK0.23%
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BULLISH: 🇺🇸 Bloomberg reports that 10 Democrats are now expected to vote yes on the Bitcoin and Crypto Clarity Act.
The Senate now appears to have the votes needed to pass the bill.
CLARITY IS COMING SOON 🔥
BTC0.16%
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$ETH looks primed on the btc pair
ETH-1.36%
BTC0.16%
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fefer:native 1B Soon
SOON-22.56%
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My status isn’t good today. I was originally trying to escape at 247%, then it went up—I wasted a whole day just to earn 146%.
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纬小宝
1/50
30D Return %
+3.17%
+141.05 USDT
30D P/L Ratio
0
AUM
$10
30D Win Rate
100%
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Congratulations to our subscribers
The little snacks are in hand
1919 to 1895
The live stream is starting
If you like short-term trades, come on in
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GateUser-be40f8e2:
👍🏻
Layout large pie, Ethereum dog head
gate liveLIVE
2,045
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XSEAM:
📰 Gate Square Daily | July 29
What are today's biggest market stories?
Catch up with the latest headlines,
then head over to Gate Square to share your thoughts and market insights.
💰 Great content could earn you Content Mining rewards. 👇
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JUST IN: Lemonade Q2 revenue up ~79% YoY to ~$294.4M, beating estimates, yet shares plunged >20% amid lofty expectations, valuation questions, and a CFO transition plan. Could signal a classic buy-the-news sell-off dynamic in AI-insurtech. $LMND
LMND-22.56%
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$COTI Signal】1H Bollinger Bands open + negative funding rate short-squeeze, long-side sniper
$COTI RSI 1H 75.93, the upper Bollinger Band at 0.0167 has been broken through. The 1H MACD histogram at 0.0004 shows bullish expansion; the 4H Bollinger Bands have opened like a megaphone. The order book bids are being absorbed at 0.92, with a gap in the standing orders, but the funding rate at -0.0668% remains negative; OI is stable, and short-squeeze conditions are still in place.
🎯 Direction: Go long
⚡ Entry / place orders: 0.01665189 - 0.01670200
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.01586690
🚀 Target 1: 0.0179546
COTI29.63%
USD10.03%
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$RIF Signal】Breaks through the upper Bollinger band on 1H + buy-side depth advantage
$RIF On 1H, it breaks through the upper band and rises with consecutive bullish candles to 0.0978. The MACD bullish histogram accelerates in expansion, and the 4H upper band at 0.0997 is within striking distance. Order book depth is imbalanced by 16.67%, with buyers accounting for 60% of resting orders; the intention to push up with funds is clear.
🎯 Direction: long
⚡ Entry / orders: 0.0973770 - 0.0976700
🛑 Stop loss: 0.0927865
🚀 Target 1: 0.1049953
🚀 Target 2: 0.1086579
🛡️ Trade management:
- Executio
RIF19.28%
USD10.03%
BTC0.16%
ETH-1.36%
SOL-1.56%
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The market really is awful.
People’s enthusiasm for these “saving money” projects is far less than it was back then—if it were in the past, these $50 million would already have been fully filled.
Still, it’s better to be steady: the lock-up period is not short, it’s on-chain. It’s right for everyone to be cautious.
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To be honest, getting this round of feedback out still makes me feel pretty comfortable. Before opening the position, I didn’t rush to chase a short; I waited for the price to repeatedly test higher levels and fail, and only after confirming that there wasn’t enough support above did I execute around 0.25266.
After opening the position, the rebound briefly made the market look a bit hesitant, but the price never really strengthened again, and the bears gradually took the initiative. Now we’re at 0.16532, with a +342.93% result, and it also gives a response to the waiting beforehand.
What’s har
BTC0.22%
ETH-1.27%
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Hot Topic Prediction CXMT
gate liveLIVE
1,889
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Come on—does anyone think I can do it? How much $U do you think I can achieve? Put it in the comments below 👇🏻
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$RIF Signal】Go long on negative funding rate + 4H MACD expansion
$RIF The 1H Bollinger upper band is capped at 0.0989, with price hovering around 0.0953. The sell-side depth ratio is as high as 56%, but the 4H MACD bullish histogram has been continuously expanding for three straight candles, with momentum building up. Funding rate is -0.0029%; shorts keep bleeding, while OI steadily provides support.
🎯 Direction: Go long
⚡ Entry / Limit orders: 0.095034 - 0.095320
🛑 Stop-loss: 0.090554
🚀 Target 1: 0.102469
🚀 Target 2: 0.106044
🛡️ Trade management: After reaching target 1, cut 50%, and
RIF18.25%
USD10.03%
BTC0.16%
ETH-1.36%
SOL-1.56%
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Don’t touch the parts you’re not good at⚠️
Getting hit again⚠️
In the last wave, I thought I could make profits run, but I didn’t follow the ancestral teachings⚠️
Making 10 orders isn’t enough—there are two losses that wipe it out⚠️
Although I’m confident I can pull it back⚠️
But not following discipline is really disgusting⚠️
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frank_在路上
8/50
30D Return %
+7.33%
+243.11 USDT
30D P/L Ratio
0.62
AUM
$1,261.99
30D Win Rate
74.21%
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