#GateIPOAccessSpaceX SpaceX's pre-market contract surged 12% — How much further can the SpaceX IPO rally go?
The current rally appears to be driven by three factors:
1. IPO Expectations — SpaceX is expected to be priced in on June 11th and begin trading on the Nasdaq on June 12th. Reports suggest it will be one of the largest IPOs ever attempted, with a target valuation of approximately $1.75 trillion and a record funding of around $75 billion.
2. Extremely Limited Supply — Only a small percentage of the total shares are expected to be freely traded at launch. Many analysts have warned that the unusually low supply could lead to exaggerated price fluctuations if demand exceeds the available shares.
3. Fear of Missing Out (FOMO) and Indexing Expectations — Investors are already discussing the possibility of inclusion in major indices such as MSCI and possibly the Nasdaq-100, which could generate additional passive funding demand.
Will SpaceX rise on day one?
Absolutely, it could.
The combination of these two factors:
* Strong retail participation,
* Reports of an oversold IPO,
* Very little publicly traded stock,
historically creates conditions that can lead to a sharp day one rise.
However, a strong day one is not guaranteed. High-profile IPOs often experience intense volatility after the initial excitement subsides.
How much further could the rally continue?
No one can reliably predict the exact peak, but key dates are:
* June 11: IPO pricing
* June 12: First trading day
* Subsequent weeks: Potential index-related buying and developments related to the lockdown
Many IPO-driven rallies peak around pricing or day one events, with investors buying based solely on expectation and beginning to take profits when the catalyst arrives.
Chase now or wait?
There are two common approaches:
Bull/FOMO approach
* Buying before the IPO in the hope of continued momentum and a day-one rally.
* Highest upside potential if demand exceeds expectations.
Risk-controlled approach
* Waiting for actual trading to begin.
* Accepting that you may miss some of the move, but learning more about price discovery and market demand.
The second approach generally reduces the risk of buying near the short-term peak.
Could this be the biggest IPO story of the year?
Most likely.
SpaceX's planned valuation would immediately place it among the largest publicly traded companies in the U.S., and the size of the IPO is expected to surpass previous IPO records. The combination of Elon Musk, space technology, Starlink, AI, and significant retail interest makes it one of the most closely watched market events of 2026.
In conclusion: A 12% move before the IPO reflects growing enthusiasm, but the same factors fueling the rally (limited supply, high retail participation, and FOMO) could also cause sharp pullbacks. The most volatile period will be the first few trading sessions after the listing.
