#WeakNFPShakesRateHikeOdds
The relationship between weak Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data and Federal Reserve rate hike odds is one of the most closely watched dynamics in global financial markets. When the Bureau of Labor Statistics releases a disappointing jobs report—showing fewer jobs created than expected, downward revisions to prior months, or signs of labor market cooling—investors immediately recalibrate their expectations for monetary policy. The mechanism is straightforward: the Federal Reserve's dual mandate centers on maximum employment and price stability. When employment data weakens

Drop a like if you're still up and still grinding for the money

July 3 Midday Analysis
Yesterday's short position at 61800 should take profit, it's about time to close now. Currently $BTC 61424.90, daily increase 1.70%, 24-hour fluctuation range 60081.00—62173.60;
24-hour net capital inflow -170 million USDT, incremental funds continue to flow out slightly, this rebound lacks external capital support.
Currently on the 4-hour medium-term cycle, the overall trend and key resistance and support structure of this rally can be clearly analyzed: The market started a strong bullish main uptrend from the lower band low of 57775, continuously broke through the mid

#ETHBreaks1700
Ethereum has successfully broken above the critical $1,700 resistance level, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment and opening the door for further upside potential. This breakthrough represents more than just a numerical achievement, it marks a psychological turning point where bullish momentum has overtaken previous selling pressure, creating renewed optimism among traders and investors who have been waiting for confirmation that the downtrend has reversed.
The $1,700 level served as a formidable barrier for Ethereum throughout recent trading sessions, acting as a

$IBIT put sellers went wild this week

#SECChairPushesOnChainShift
The latest discussions around the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) highlight a growing focus on blockchain-based financial infrastructure. The phrase "SEC Chair Pushes On-Chain Shift" reflects ongoing efforts to explore how tokenized assets, blockchain settlement, and transparent digital record-keeping could modernize parts of the financial system while maintaining investor protection and regulatory oversight.
An on-chain financial ecosystem has the potential to improve transaction efficiency, reduce settlement times, and increase transparency through i

Just a few days ago it looked like it was playing dead, and today it directly delivers results! 🔥 When I opened the chart this morning and saw $RESOLV this breakout, my spirits really lifted instantly.
Before the market had fully kicked off, the price hovered around 0.01885 for a long time. At that time, I focused on two things: whether the key level had been broken, and whether the pullback could hold above it👀 It turned out that every dip was bought up, and the sell pressure didn't continue to increase, so the long idea was still worth following.
Don't fall in love with profits.
Whe

Gotta say, this move today was really decisive! 📉🚀
A few days ago in the early morning, $FET was still pretending to be strong at the high, superficially rebounding constantly, but actually each time it went up, no one was buying, volume didn't follow, looked like a rally, but turned out to be weak.
At that time, I was watching FET's resistance reaction and found that once it hit the top, it started to soften 👀 Buy orders weren't following through, and as soon as selling pressure came out, the rhythm immediately weakened, so I suggested not to be misled by the fake pump, and to go short ar

Tongge 7.3 ETH Analysis
$ETH Short near 1715-1730, stop loss above 1750, first target 1680, second target 1650.
ETH has been recovering from 1550, and the overall structure is indeed showing a phase of relative strength, but it is essentially a recovery move, not a trend reversal. The pace of the rise is relatively fast, lacking clear pullback confirmation in between, which is a high-slope recovery. This type of movement either continues to squeeze shorts or enters a consolidation phase after a surge.
The price has now reached the previous resistance area, but there has been no structural conf

Everyone is chasing gold’s pump, but XAUT just flashed a 4h bearish signal that nobody sees.

$XAUT /USDT - SHORT

Trade Plan:
Entry: 4160 – 4168
SL: 4219
TP1: 4123
TP2: 4095
TP3: 4054

Why this setup?
80% confidence SHORT with 1D trend already bearish. RSI on 15m is 66.6—overbought squeeze incoming. Entry zone is tight: 4160–4168. TP1 at 4123 is 1.1% drop, TP2 at 4095 is 1.7%. ATR on 1h is 17.5, so volatility is primed for a fast move. Why now? Because the 4h MTF just confirmed the reversal pattern.

Debate:
Are you fading the gold hype here or waiting for a break below 4160 to short?

Don’t say this—this wave really played out the rhythm! 📢 When I opened the chart this morning, $FARTCOIN it directly realized that grinding trend from a few days ago. Everyone on the ride should’ve already burst into laughter in their sleep 😎
A few days ago, in the early morning when I was watching the charts, FARTCOIN was moving sideways at low levels. Price kept swinging around 0.14196, but the key area wasn’t lost—pullbacks held firm, and the buy-side started picking up more aggressively 👀 At the time, I prompted going long; what I was watching was that the low-level support was getting

To be honest, this market really knows how to toy with people.
A few 🚨📉 days ago in the afternoon, $BSB was wobbling around at a high level. Many people saw it not dropping and wanted to go long, but I was even more cautious instead. It softened as soon as it hit the upper resistance, and the volume didn't support it either.
While everyone was still waiting, I was watching the rebound strength of BSB. Each upward attempt fell short; there was no one to catch it up there. This kind of market looks lively, but actually the short-side opportunity 👀 is clearer.
Afterward, I executed a lo

#ETHBreaks1700
June NFP Data Released, Bitcoin Surges to $62,000
The US labor report for June 2026 recorded a significant slowdown, with Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) increasing by only 57,000, far below the market expectation of 115,000. Data from the previous two months were also revised downward, to 129,000 for May and 148,000 for April, respectively. Although the unemployment rate improved to 4.2% with annual wage growth of 3.52%, the overall slowdown in hiring signals that the US economy is beginning to cool.
Bitcoin responded to the below-expectation data with a price increase, reaching the $6

$RIVN : Deliveries update sparks rally
Sentiment: Positive
'''Rivian shares surged after a bullish Q2 deliveries update that beat internal and Street expectations, alongside commentary questioning how much upside remains after the pop. Insight: strong deliveries can reset confidence, but follow-through likely depends on whether production/demand strength translates into improved financial trajectory.'''

This one came out, the market directly stopped pretending! 📉🔥
A few days ago before sleep, I saw $ZEC still grinding at a high level, on the surface it seemed like it wanted to continue rallying, but volume wasn't keeping up, the upper resistance would go soft at the slightest touch, at the time I felt this move was more like a bull trap, not suitable for chasing up.
While everyone was still waiting and watching, I was watching ZEC's support, several upward pushes didn't get bought up, the rebound was clearly weak 👀 so around 569.28 I opened a short position as planned, waiting for it to r

The last look before sleep was still grinding, waking up directly gave the bears the answer! 📉😎 A few days ago in the early morning $NIL was rubbing back and forth at a high level. Many thought it would continue to push up, but what I saw was that every upward surge was a step short, volume didn't follow, and support wasn't solid. While the market was grinding the top, I focused on the details of NIL. The price looked lively, but it fell back as soon as it was pressed from above👀 I didn't want to chase longs in this kind of market, but rather wait for the bears to exert force. So I opened

At this level $PEPE if the price is 0.1, it’s great, isn’t it? #pepe ‌ ‌ ‌

GM! New day, work mode: ON. 🫡