September minutes leaned hawkish, so why did the probability of an October rate hike fall below 20%?

Let’s first look at a set of data that I find highly contradictory but extremely interesting.

The September meeting minutes showed that all 19 policymakers supported a 25-basis-point rate hike in September, with most officials believing that one more hike this year would be appropriate. But the CME FedWatch tool showed that the market priced in less than a 20% chance of a 25-basis-point hike at the October 27–28 meeting, down sharply from around 70% in the days following the September decis

The order I gave this afternoon took profit at 2518–2476. Dog has already exited. I’ve placed the overnight orders before going to sleep.
Dog added a bit to his gold position at 4180. There probably won’t be much volatility over the weekend.
As for ETH over the weekend, the range still appears to be here for now. I’ll update if anything changes.

$AMP Why is it moving independently while major coins trade sideways?
The answer lies in relative strength. Comparing the concurrently active $DO and $XRP : $DOT is up 6.23% over 24h, with a 16.48% amplitude across 30 candlesticks; $XRP is down 0.93% over 24h, with an amplitude of only 7.18%; meanwhile, $AMP is up 28.05% over 24h, with a 39.84% amplitude, leading in both gains and volatility, with significantly higher capital attention. Technically, $AMP is currently priced at 0.000744, with MA5=0.0006928 above MA20=0.00068865, maintaining a bullish alignment. The MACD histogram is positi

Today we are only verifying one question about $ZEC : whether buying support remains after breaking above 1,247.58.
The 1-hour chart is relatively strong, while the 4-hour chart is relatively weak, with RSI at 62 and 37, respectively. The current price is 1,217.69, about 8.40% above the 1-hour support at 1,115.46 and about 2.45% below the resistance at 1,247.58. The 24-hour change is +3.96%, but it cannot replace confirmation of key levels.
My view is not based on chasing rallies or selling into declines: I will first wait for a break above 1,247.58 or below 1,115.46—whichever comes first—and

$NEAR was such an easy buy yesterday at our B1.
I feel sorry for anyone who has panic sold, before we run to double digits.
Could never be me.

🟡 $XAUT
Long trade signal: If XAUT holds the $4,185 entry zone, the trend may continue to be bullish. Closely monitor resistance levels and wait for 4-hour confirmation before entering. 🟢 Entry price: $4,185* 🎯 Take profit 1: $4,205* 🎯 Take profit 2: $4,225* 🎯 Take profit 3: $4,250* 🛑 Stop loss: $4,160$XAUT* ⚖️ Leverage: Use low leverage and control risk. $XAUT ReusedBitcoinAddressesHold4.33MBTC

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BTC short at 83250: take profit and reduce the position, move the stop to breakeven! Congrats to those who followed and made profits.

JUST IN: Ledger investigates potential $86 million crypto theft linked to hardware wallets sold by a reseller in Southeast Asia.

Two more waves: 30,000 → 264,000 in oil achieved!

$OGN Short-Term Shift: Why Has the 4-Hour Timeframe Still Not Given Up?
$OGN 24-hour -11.55%, current price 0.0369. On the surface, this is merely a rise or fall, but the real conflict lies in the timeframes: the 1-hour timeframe is weak, while the 4-hour timeframe is strong. When two charts give opposite answers, the least useful thing to do is pick the one you like and believe it completely.
Let’s pull the lens back to the 24-hour range: the low is 0.03542 and the high is 0.05345. Where the current price of 0.0369 sits within this range directly affects the meaning of the same signal. Near t

A day of F1 team building🏎️

#SPCX Morgan Stanley Bullish on SpaceX: $300 Price Target, Favoring Long-Term Growth Potential from Enterprise AI, Computing Power Expansion, and the Rebuilding of U.S. Manufacturing.
BlockBeats news, October 9: Morgan Stanley has summed up the rebuilding of advanced U.S. manufacturing as “Tera‘Merica,” believing the opportunity extends beyond reshoring chip production to areas including rockets, satellites, industrial robots, humanoid robots, autonomous vehicles, and drones. SpaceX’s aerospace, satellite communications, and AI infrastructure businesses are expected to benefit from this trend.

BREAKING: LG CNS, the IT services arm of South Korea's LG Group, partners with Canton Foundation to drive institutional adoption of Canton Network in Korea.
@CantonNetwork

#Bitcoin Power Law Oscillator 📉
📝 The oscillator tracks $BTC deviation from its long-term trajectory. Current reading sits at -0.32, hovering right along the green Undervalued threshold (-0.30).
📍 Historically, sustained dips below this green baseline mark generational macro accumulation phases, far below the Fair Value (0.0) median.
💡 With price consolidating near ~$86K, the model shows Bitcoin remains fundamentally discounted relative to its multi-year power law corridor.

☀️ GM. Buckle up. 🎢
Markets can shift fast. Is your trading plan ready?
📌 Today's topic: What's your safety belt in a volatile market?
🛡️ How are you managing your positions?
👀 What risk signals are you watching?
📝 Any recent trades worth reviewing?
Chasing opportunities matters. Managing risk matters just as much.
Share your strategy or trade recap on Gate Square. Quality posts may get featured and receive extra exposure.
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ETH trades 20 below the nearest liquidity pool at 2518, with 2530 above and 2483 below. Lose 2483 and the next magnet is 2404. $ETH

BOUNCE FOR CRYPTO! 💥
#Bitcoin hits $83,000.
#Ethereum hits $2,500.