A Brief Analysis of BTC’s Short-Term Trend Using Dow Theory, Chan Theory, Elliott Wave Theory, Volume-Price Relationship, Order Flow, and Price Action (Strategy Suggestions)
$BTC ‌#BTC Comprehensive Judgment
Dow Theory confirms the main trend is still in decline. The rebound from July 20–21 was completely negated by the sharp selloff from July 22–24. The “long trap” on July 24 further confirms bearish control.
Chan Theory shows extremely strong downside strokes (-3,246), and the “long trap stroke” has been completely invalidated. Bears are fully in control, and the new downward consolidation

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This round didn’t start smoothly. Not long after I got on, I ran into a spike and then a pullback, and for a while the market looked like it might be turning weaker. At the time, I really did feel a bit panicked, but I didn’t immediately chase the fluctuations to make a decision, because during the retracement the support was still holding, and the shorts’ dumping didn’t turn into a continuous onslaught.
The most tortifying part was that stretch of repeated oscillation—the price kept grinding back and forth, and my emotions moved up and down with it. A lot of people see a fake breakout and get

【$LIGHT Signal】1H rally speed slows down; range-high power struggle favors longs
$LIGHT RSI 1H is 75.60, and the MACD 1H histogram has shortened for three consecutive candles. The 4H Bollinger upper band has been broken, but 1H buy pressure has dropped sharply from 0.51 to 0.43. The funding rate is 0.0272%, which is on the high side, while OI is flat.
🎯Direction: long
⚡Entry/Orders: 0.151444 - 0.151900
🛑Stop loss: 0.150381
🚀Target 1: 0.154178
🚀Target 2: 0.155318
🛡️Trade management:
- Execution plan: After reaching Target 1, reduce the position by 50% and move the stop loss up to break

【$SOL Signal】short pressure + 4H sell-wall suppression, 1H rebound exhausts
$SOL 1H MACD bullish crossover expands, but the 4H MACD histogram bars remain negative. At 74.66, buy-side order-book thickness rapidly decays after pushing the price up. The Bid/Ask depth ratio is 1.14, but volume/flow has not been continuously amplified. The 4H Bollinger middle band at 75.32 forms strong resistance. RSI on 1H hovers around 60.5, lacking momentum to accelerate.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry/place orders: 74.4539 - 74.6600
🛑 Stop loss: 75.4066
🚀 Target 1: 73.5401
🚀 Target 2: 72.9801
🛡️ Trade manage

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【$BTC Signal】Shorting: 4H momentum decay + deep imbalance
$BTC 1H MACD bullish bars contracting volume; 4H Bollinger middle band suppressed; funding rate 0.0041% is on the high side. Buy-side depth is -46.12%, with sell pressure concentrated in upper-layer limit orders. Price is ranging tightly at 64,300-64,400, lacking momentum for an upside breakout.
🎯 Direction: short
⚡ Entry/Limit orders: 64263.590 - 64390.100
🛑 Stop-loss: 65034.001
🚀 Target 1: 63424.249
🚀 Target 2: 62941.323
🛡️ Trade management: - Execute strategy: after reaching target 1, reduce position by 50% and move the stop-l

$VELVET Long positions have already been opened—just waiting for financial freedom.

$DEXE
Better do spot.
The volatility is very high.

$EUL Being in cash is currently an advantage‼️

$CORE From January, it has been flowing in almost every day, with only 7 days of outflow. What the hell is going on here? These coins—over a hundred million worth—are still sitting in those wallets. Go to zero—let’s all go down to hell together. Heh

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🚨 Wait... $ORDI is testing resistance. 👀
Most traders will either FOMO here or short too early.
Smart money waits for confirmation. Don't fight momentum.
📈 Trade Setup: LONG
Entry: 3.62 – 3.64
🎯 TP: 3.78
🛑 SL: 3.56
Why?
Higher highs and higher lows are still intact.
Strong bullish momentum on the 1H chart.
A clean break above 3.66 could trigger the next leg higher.
⚠️ If price closes below 3.56 on strong selling pressure, the bullish setup is invalid. Don't force the trade.
Patience makes money. Chasing candles doesn't. 🔥

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【$1000SHIB Signal】Long + 1H retest confirmation, breakout beyond the Bollinger Band with a squeeze into the air
$1000SHIB The upper Bollinger Band at 0.0049 has already been broken through on a body. After the price retraced to 0.00485, it re-stood above 0.00496. The 4H MACD histogram continues to expand; the 1H RSI is 72, but the buy-side depth is 1.06. The funding rate is 0.01%, which is somewhat high, and the short-term squeeze structure is complete. Risk-reward ratio is 1.5; execution requires strict stop-loss discipline.
🎯 Direction: long
⚡ Entry / orders: 0.00495010 - 0.00496500
🛑 St

$EUL I’m not playing anymore. I got precisely located and washed out of the car; if I play again, I’ll get robbed.