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U.S. stocks rallied last night, but semiconductors were singled out and hammered😮‍💨
The S&P 500 rose 1.6%, while Micron $MU , SanDisk $SNDK , and Marvell all fell more than 7%, and Nvidia wasn't spared either
I think this sell-off needs to be viewed in the context of the U.S. midterm elections:
The Democrats won the Texas gubernatorial election, and the incoming governor had previously explicitly called for a pause on approvals for new data centers until stricter regulatory rules are introduced
This is a major shift:
In the past, AI chips were priced with an implicit assumption: tech giants
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MU-0.63%
SNDK-0.18%
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Supporters of President Bola Ahmed Tinubu and Vice President Kashim Shettima have held a solidarity walk in Nasarawa State.
#ArewaForAsiwaju
#A4A
Trenches
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🏭 Conindustria projects 14% growth for 2027. Behind the optimism is a painful figure: in 2025, formal businesses spent nearly 63% of their net profits paying taxes.
The manufacturing association brought together business leaders, trade groups, and the economic cabinet in Caracas for its annual conference. The goal is ambitious: revive manufacturing and grow 14% in 2027, with the “Made in Venezuela” label on shelves at home and abroad.
But the day’s hard numbers came from the technical panel:
📊 63% of net profits went to taxes in 2025
📊 Nearly one-third of cash flow was absorbed by taxes
📊
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I started with dessert at the buffet and was full after that 🤣
I feel like I got ripped off, but also pretty satisfied, haha.
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If the AI bubble really bursts for Micron and SanDisk
and they return to the bottom of the memory cycle
they could fall another 4x, or -80%
back to the median PE of a normal cycle😂
But if the bubble doesn’t burst
in an optimistic scenario
long-term contracts lock in capacity and profits through 2030
then even SK Hynix could buy itself
Actually, the bottom is right now: -10% to -30%
This is the point
where people are unsure whether it’s cyclical or non-cyclical
To balance things out
combining an extreme scenario with long-term contracts
they could fall another 30%
If you’re taking a left-side
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SNDK-7.93%
NVDA-3.03%
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Four seasons a year, two meals a day,
Life is simple; peace of mind is home.
BTC was called at $77,800 on the 30th, and now it’s at $80,600—a $2,800 gain per coin.
You guys remember what things were like the day I called it, right? Binance had just been hacked for $6.3 billion, everyone was yelling about a crash, and BTC had just plunged to $76,400.
What Dachao said back then was: a dip caused by an unexpected event gets filled quickly.
It wasn’t like we never got spooked in between. During election week, it plunged to $75,700 again, leaving me down over $1,000 on paper. Plenty of people couldn’t hold on and got out. I never moved the $74,800 stop-loss, and just rode i
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BTC-0.67%
Current price: 4129. Enter a trade; defense at 4135, with targets at 4121 and 4115$XAU #BTC重返8万 #黄金 ‌
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XAU+0.38%
What Happens If BTC Breaks Above $82,000?
live-cover
LIVE3,210
Hahahaha, it's rare in Tokyo to see a construction site for a building like this with a little window open for passersby to look in.
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Successful short on AXSUSDT futures on Gate! 📉 Position closed in profit with +9.62% ROI. Entry at 0.8775, exit at 0.8681. Moving on! 🎯🚀 #GateSquareTradingChallenge
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11.5
Yesterday, Bitcoin surged nearly 6,000 points.
The key catalysts were a sharp increase in optimism around crypto-friendly regulation, a short squeeze, and a recovery in dollar liquidity.
The trend has turned bullish, with price now above all short- and medium-term moving averages and breaking out of the descending channel.
This consolidation is not a pullback from a market top, but a pause in the uptrend. The price is likely to push higher again.
Trading plan
Go long on a pullback to 790–805.
Add to the position on a deeper pullback to 790.
Target around 812, then look toward 825.
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BTC-0.67%
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#10月非农数据聚焦
Strong employment data does not always signal a rally; markets will focus on how these figures might influence the policy of the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed).
Ahead of the Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report, my stance is one of "cautious optimism." Rather than taking aggressive positions before the data is released, it would be wiser to observe the market's initial reaction and the movement in interest rates.
My NFP Strategy: Strong Employment or a Healthy Cooling-Off?
The ADP report for October showed that the U.S. private sector added 86,000 new jobs—a figure that exceeded economists'
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Nearly $290 million in Bitcoin shorts were liquidated in a single day - the most since September 21. Funding has remained positive since May.
Will there be enough fresh buying to sustain the rally after the shorts are closed?
I break it down in Morning Brief #294
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BTC-0.65%
Guys,
Am I being stupid with this trade?😂
$XBRUSD #BTC重返8万
XBRUSD+0.58%
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The Most Dangerous Misconception in Futures Trading: You Got the Direction Right—So Why Were You Liquidated?
In cryptocurrency trading, there’s an experience that’s especially frustrating:
You predict that Bitcoin will rise, and the market eventually does—but your long position was liquidated long before then.
You got the direction right. Why did you still lose money?
Because many traders overlook one fact:
Getting the market direction right does not mean a trade is guaranteed to make money.
What really determines whether a futures trade can survive to the end is not just direction, but also p
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BTC-0.65%
BTC is currently at 80458, and ETH is at 2425.
A quick look at the news: the relevant election results have come in, which could affect the market in the short term. Next, we need to 🤔keep a close eye on major events such as US-Iran communications, the Russia-Ukraine situation, and developments from the US.
Now, looking at the charts:
On the 15-minute timeframe, after yesterday’s bearish news had run its course, buying support was strong, and the price rallied to around 2450 before starting to trade sideways.
There are two signals here: many short positions are trapped above, and the major pl
BTC-0.67%
How can you identify market conditions? Why might the same trading strategy perform very differently in bull, bear, and ranging markets?
In crypto trading, many people look for a fixed strategy that can keep generating profits regardless of how market conditions change. But markets do not always behave the same way. When trends, volatility, and capital flows change, the same strategy can perform very differently.
First, what are market conditions?
Market conditions refer to the overall characteristics of the market during a given period, and are usually categorized as bull, bear, or ranging ma
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