GertVanLagen

ALTCAP [2W] - Is bouncing from the bottom of the 2-year (!🥱) sideways range/handle.
A 2017 type of blow-off is still to be expected. Structure remained fully intact during cascade of retests.

$BTC is mimicking the breakout above the red horizontal resistance from the 2022 bear trap bottom (❌) at the lower trendline of a megaphone structure.
Both megaphones target the $300k-$350k zone.

$ETH continues to hold up very strong.
If bitcoin:native finally enters its blow-off phase toward ±$450K, I expect $ETH to reach the orange box.
From an Elliott Wave perspective, that would complete the expanding wedge with an impulsive C-wave.
Counterintuitive but interesting.

Bitcoin Dominance has been going sideways for over a year since breaking its uptrend in 2025.
Time alone doesn’t change structure or targets.
The green zone remains the magnet. 🟩

#DXY gets rejected for the 4th time at the 100.
Takes longer than anticipated, but the target remains patient.

Risk-on sentiment strengthens as Russell 2000 prints ATH after ATH.

📣^📣 = ±$400k
#Bitcoin

🟠$BTC is testing the lower blue trendline through
2018, 2020 & 2022 lows, confluent with the halving EMA/SMA.
Elliott Wave —> W-5 of W-(5) of W-⑤ next:
🎇 blow-off toward upper blue trendline (±$450K)
🎇 the finale of the 2009-born supercycle.
#Bitcoin

Partial sun eclipse in The Netherlands 🇳🇱

$ETH continues to respect the Expanding Diagonal - targeting the $12K–$20K orange box . 🟧
Nothing has changed: the cycle points to one final parabolic advance before the true bear market unfolds.
#Ethereum #bullmarket

$BTC [1M] is printing a third bear trap at the lower trend line of the rising channel since 2018 bear market bottom.
Blow-off wave (5) of ⑤ remains the primary anticipation, as long as price does not drop below ~$31k.
Target wave (5) has risen over time, currently at ~$400k.

Inflation is cooling way faster than expected. Fed policy seems too restrictive at the moment.
📉CPI surprised to the downside.
📉PPI turned strongly negative.
The implications are straightforward:
↓ Inflation
↓ Fed Rate
↓ USD
↑ Global liquidity
↑ Bitcoin/Risk-on

$ETH is bouncing from the bottom of the Expanding Diagonal structure, targeting the $12k - $20k orange box 🟧

#DXY gets rejected for the fouth (!) time at the 100-range 👀

$BTC vs. Global M1 Money Supply has now successfully retested the breakout from a 6-year accumulation range.
Structurally comparable to the post-breakout retest that preceded the 2017 expansion phase.
The longer the base, the more explosive the markup. 🧨

#Bitcoin vs M1 is retesting key resistance across all timeframes (🔵).
+ 2018 horizontal resistance broken → now being retested as support.
+ 2025 downtrend broken → now being retested as support.
The 4-year cycle narrative is starting to look outdated in this regime.

$Bitcoin faces some resistance at the $66k level, formed by the bi-weekly closes from Feb-Mar earlier this year.
With wars ending, a new Fed chair, oil dropping, BTC looks very cheap.

The broader risk-on rally is best reflected in the RUSSELL 2000 printing ATH's on a daily basis.
Crypto is only lagging slightly behind.