Bitcoin has been in ONE macro cycle since 2009.
Every major correction has still held the 210,000-block SMA — meaning no true structural bear market ever happened.
This isn’t “another 4-year cycle", rather the final blow-off phase of a now 17-year cycle.
🧨

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GertVanLagen 2 days ago

#Bitcoin Dominance is clinging to the bear flagpole...

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GertVanLagen 2 days ago

Long-term holders haven't capitulated since 2022.
Ever since, LTH-NUPL has never reached extreme Euphoria 🟦
No extreme euphoria → no major LTH distribution → no subsequent capitulation 🟥
A final blow-off phase should come FIRST, to extreme Euphoria.
±$450k would do 🧨

GertVanLagen 2 days ago

Long-term holders haven't capitulated since 2022.
Ever since, LTH-NUPL has never reached extreme Euphoria.
No extreme euphoria → no major LTH distribution → no subsequent capitulation.
A final blow-off phase should come FIRST, sending price to extreme Euphoria. 🧨

GertVanLagen 2 days ago

ethereum:native targets the orange box at ±$10k-$20k, with an Expanding Diagonal ⑤.

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GertVanLagen 2 days ago

$BTC [2009+] has bounced from the golden bull-market support — the 210K SMA — as in 2011, 2015, 2018, 2020 & 2022.
Major wave ① nears completion, with final subwave ⑤ targeting ±$450K.
Then... followed by major wave ② correction toward sub-$3K.

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GertVanLagen 2026-10-02

Soft jobs report and unemployment rate higher than expected —> chances for a October rate hike plummet 🤌

GertVanLagen 2026-09-26

The bull market top is projected to align with the upper trendline through waves ① and ③.
If this happens this year, target projections vary between $465k-$500k.
#Bitcoin

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GertVanLagen 2026-09-24

$BTC [2D] — Retesting the red neckline of the LTF double bottom.
A healthy retest before the next breakout.
If the neckline holds, the higher-timeframe upper trendline of the megaphone is the technical next stop, a fresh ATH.
📍 Key level: ~$82.8K
Don’t panic. Structure is building. 🟢

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GertVanLagen 2026-09-21

$BTC breaks its 1-year downtrend by printing its first higher high since the $126k ATH.
Time to print a fresh ATH next 🚀

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GertVanLagen 2026-09-19

bitcoin:native [W] will break its ATH and get rid of wave ④'s gravity - blowing off to $450k+.

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GertVanLagen 2026-09-19

$ETH and TOTAL3 are set to print a higher high on the weekly close.
bitcoin:native is lagging a bit behind. It needs to clear the red horizontal as well, exactly like in 2023, after a bear trap at the megaphone bottom.

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GertVanLagen 2026-09-19

$ETH is set to print a higher high on the weekly close!
The bearish downtrend since mid-2025 has officially been broken.
Confirmation would be a subsequent higher low.

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GertVanLagen 2026-09-19

#Bitcoin dominance screams bearish continuation after:
1. Breaking below the 3-year black uptrend,
2. A bearish retest at the black star,
3. Sideways consolidation.
Very reminiscent of the pre-2021 setup.
Doesn't mean bitcoin:native has to drop — alts are simply outperforming.
#Altseason

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